Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Iran Threat Is a Tactic: Main Goal Is to Checkmate Syria

A two post day. I had planned on doing some vaccine/flu news for today.
That didn't happen. Maybe tomorrow?
Came across an interesting take on Iran as it relates to Syria.
It's a good read, lots of food for thought
The piece I will excerpt from and link to below, seems to tie in to the post I put up earlier today
Another explosion in Iran?

So here we go.......

Iran Threat Is a Tactic: Main Goal Is to Checkmate Syria

The international scene has been recently witness to various threats by Israelis, Americans and certain European countries against the Islamic Republic of Iran. Although such threats, especially from the Israelis, had started before release of the recent Iran report of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on the country's nuclear program, they became more serious after IAEA director general, Yukiya Amano, published his report. The report has been assessed by most experts as being purely motivated on political grounds. In that report, IAEA claimed that it is in possession of information which proves the existence of a military dimension to Iran's nuclear activities. Interestingly, Israeli and American officials knew all about the content of the report before it was officially circulated and orchestrated an intensely negative propaganda campaign against Iran. According to IAEA Statute, the content of the reports, which is considered confidential, cannot be revealed before they are released to all members of the Agency.

Although recent threats against Iran have been very extensive, the West's claims about diversion in Iran's nuclear activities are nothing new. Efforts made by the western countries to intensify sanctions against Iran are not new either. Even Israel's military threat against Iran is not new.( all of this is correct, given the previous posts on the blog on this subject)

Many experts maintain that all these threats and measures are aimed to help the United States to set the stage and encourage the international community to agree to more serious and extensive sanctions against the country. In this way, they want to make Iran totally isolated in economic terms. Even before IAEA released its latest report, they talked about imposing sanctions against the Central Bank of Iran to disturb the country's import and export system. According to this viewpoint, although the White House has followed its usual strategy toward Iran in which no option has been ever taken off the table and military assault is always an option, a threat to military strike against Iran seems to be nothing more than a political tactic.

Under present circumstances, a military strike against Iran is not strategically possible for the United States because of various reasons.

Author of the piece goes into the numerous varying reasons why AT THIS TIME the strike is not strategically possible- read the linked article

Back to the piece:

In more precise words, the region is in the vortex of extensive strategic changes and concurrent pressure on Iran and Syria can be considered along the same line. In view of the aforesaid reasons, military intervention in Iran is currently out of the question. Therefore, the United States and Europe are trying along with their allies to boost political, economic, and psychological pressures against Iran to make economic and political activities more difficult for the country. Intensification of Iran's geopolitical isolation will have profound psychological effects on the spirit and power of Tehran's strategic ally. The United States and its allies have done their best in recent days to occupy Iran with grave psychological and economic problems in order to prevent its political and military support for Syria.

Examples to the point include recent allegations about Iran's complicity in an assassination plot targeting the Saudi ambassador to US and insistence of Washington and Saudi Arabia on taking the case to the United Nations Security Council to adopt an anti-Iranian resolution as well as intensification of tensions between Iran and the Saudi - Turkey axis. They have been also escalating international sanctions against Tehran to include the Central Bank of Iran in a bid to disrupt the country's import and export mechanisms.The undocumented report of IAEA director general (mostly based on US claims) about Iran's nuclear activities and its consideration by IAEA Board of Governors was done with the purpose of using that report to further incite the international community against Iran. They have also launched an unprecedentedly widespread propaganda campaign about possible military attack on Iran. Add to this long list the fact that Iran is already entangled in domestic political, foreign, and economic crises.

Distract Iran to destroy Syria?

On the other hand, Syria, as Iran's closest strategic ally, is experiencing totally critical conditions on the other side of the equation. Now that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is done in Libya, the United States and its allies have completely focused on Syria. Although Damascus has threatened that foreign intervention in Syria will be like playing with fire, the United States and its allies have decided to reduce the power of Damascus before any form of direct intervention. As said before, unlike Iran, foreign military intervention in Syria is by no means impossible. At present, Syria's conditions have become once more critical. Perhaps this is somehow due to the reality that just a day after the Syrian government announced its agreement to the Arab League's plan to stop harsh treatment of protesters, withdraw security forces from the streets and start negotiations with the opposition, clashes heightened between protesters and government forces. Some opposition figures even noted that the Arab League's plan was too reconciliatory and lenient and asked the protesters to continue street demonstrations, avoid of negotiations with the government, and continue their struggle until the Syrian regime is toppled with the help of foreign forces.

The conditions provided the Americans and their allies with a good opportunity to use a multifaceted active diplomacy (one facet of which was worsening geopolitical isolation of Iran) and clear the way for a regime change in Syria. It is quite evident that the Arab League's plan was meant for justification of foreign intervention from the first. After opposition groups treated the plan coldly, the European Union announced that its members have reached an early agreement to impose more sanctions against Syria. Meanwhile, the pressure exerted on Syria by Russia and China to accept the Arab League's initiative should not be ignored. If it was not for such pressures from Russia and China, the Syrian government would not have accepted the plan even orally. (Syria did not accept the last round of Arab league edicts resulting in sanctions)

One day after the Syrian protesters carried placards asking the Arab League to suspend their country's membership in the League and officially recognize the transitional council, the League members took the Syrian government by surprise and in addition to suspending its membership, recalled their ambassadors from Damascus.

Judging from their positions on Syria, it seems that Arab countries have been convinced about regime change in Syria. Diplomatic pressures, in the meantime, are tightening on the Syrian government. It started by suspension of Syria's membership in the Arab League and was followed by the Jordanian king's call on Assad to step down and the three-day deadline given to Damascus by the Arab League to stop suppression of protesters and allow foreign observers to enter the country. In addition, it was recently announced that some Arab leaders have said they were ready to grant asylum to the Syrian president. Turkey has also announced that if military intervention gains relative legitimacy from Arab countries and even the EU, it will directly take part in the conflict. Turkey has already ended cooperation with Syria in exploring oil reserves and has threatened that if the violence continued in the country, it would cut power exports to its southern neighbor.

On the whole, the international community has not reached a final conclusion on the necessity of military intervention in Syria, as it did in the case of Libya. However, overall political situation in the region as well as threats leveled and pressures exerted by the Americans and their allies against Iran and Syria indicate that all the pieces of the regional political and geopolitical chess have been arranged in a cunning way by the United States and its allies against Syria. In fact, the United States and its allies are trying to kill two birds with one stone through this strategy. Firstly, they want to increase Iran's geopolitical isolation by boosting concurrent political and economic pressures on Syria. If successful, this process will provide Turkey and Saudi Arabia, as the sole regional rivals of Iran, with a vital geopolitical opportunity.

Therefore, the main goal of all the ongoing propaganda as well as political, economic and military threats by the United States and its allies is to change the Syrian regime. At any rate, Iran's diplomatic apparatus should take West's threats quite seriously because increased sway of the West in Syria will lead to contraction of Iran's geopolitical borders.




  2. Yeah Pen, these are all just tactics, a matter of schedule. Iran will be destroyed, it's just a matter of when. In the meantime the Western golem takes out all the weakest allies (and potential allies) and then we finish off the last man standing at the end.

    Whilst I can't remember the precise sequence of dominoes laid out in Yinon's Strategy for Israel in no way is it selective about which dominoes cop it. They all will.

  3. HI Pen, Yeah i thought the same thing :)

    cheers A13

    WV = rearpeni ( i kid you not :)

  4. hi Pen, Iran is a threat to the usual suspects in another way, too.

    Up until the last Caliphate was dismantled in 1923 it was centred in Turkey. All the moves in the last few years have been to increase Turkey's street cred against israel (the prime movers in all this including of Turkey).

    Reducing prosperous, secular Arab countries to poverty and rulership by fundamental religious organisations sets them up to adopt a new Turkish led Caliphate against the West when the time is ripe.

    Iran would be a natural rival for that leadership of the Caliphate and hence are a real threat to israel's plans. Iran (and Hizbollah) are a threat also because while being religiously fundamentalist, they are economically progressive and not militarily aggressive. All no-no's as far as the israel/US are concerned as they are looking for a damn good war and as much economic destruction as they can cause.

  5. "China will not hesitate to protect Iran even with a third World War" Major General Zhang Zhaozhong

    China is a puzzle: on one hand the PTB have been building it up, on the other hand USA is trying to threaten and control it. Maybe its just the dialectic in action again. Maybe it just highlights the disconnect between the PTB and USA. USA is also under the thumb.

    James' thesis on the Turkish-Islamic empire is interesting.

    The more I know the less I understand.

  6. Hey NYS
    went over and read through the posts.

  7. Hey Nobody!

    I think James left a link previously to this "plan" that you are referencing
    In case anyone missed it, here is another one.

    Plans can go awry.

  8. Hey A13: I will check that out, thanks

    As for the move to take out Syria prior to Iran, if that has been your thought, it has been right on.
    And obvious for a while now.

    funny word verification?!

  9. Hey James!

    "Up until the last Caliphate was dismantled in 1923 it was centred in Turkey. All the moves in the last few years have been to increase Turkey's street cred against israel (the prime movers in all this including of Turkey)"

    I left you a comment way back about the psyop of Turkey's prominence, or rise to prominence, with the help of the Muslim Brotherhood (lackies, stooges et al)

    Reducing prosperous, secular Arab countries to poverty and rulership by fundamental religious organisations sets them up to adopt a new Turkish led Caliphate against the West when the time is ripe.

    looks as if that is working out well in Egypt

    Iran would be a natural rival for that leadership of the Caliphate and hence are a real threat to israel's plans.

    I would agree with the fact that Iran would be perceived as a rival to Turkey's "leadership"
    I am using the apostrophe's around leadership because that is a misnomer, completely.
    Turkey is not a leader.

    All no-no's as far as the israel/US are concerned as they are looking for a damn good war and as much economic destruction as they can cause.

    Agreed. Destruction, mayhem and chaos. Then Israel and the US can create the order.

  10. Freethinker!

    The more I know the less I understand.

    And still you muddle along?
    Like the rest of us?
    Trying to make sense of the nonsense?
    See through the lies?
    Remain lucid through the artificially generated illusion?

    I hear ya. :)

  11. excellent article here by Pepe Escobar:

    saying everything you've been tracking Pen. hey don't you get paid the big bucks?!? hahaha.

  12. Hey AP!

    Yah, well I am swimming in my boatloads of cash sea......
    But I can't drown in it, cause it's dry!


    I will disagree with this ambiguous statement from Pepe

    "It's fair to argue that masses of Syrians want something other than the Assad regime"

    How big are the masses?
    Define a mass?
    Is a mass a horde?
    Of course he is being intentionally "cloudy"
    Not to challenging-

  13. yeah i notice how he threw that in at the end. seems like the typical gratuitous 1-10% disinfo obligatory crap they have to toss in there to get anything published in the "real" journalism world.

    enjoy your meeeelions....