Thursday, July 3, 2014

Experts Challenge Israeli attempt to derail P5+1 Deal

So, if I am reading this correctly, Israel looks to be lobbying hard to derail any agreement being made with Iran? Link
“A handful of non-proliferation experts are taking issue with the Israeli position on a final agreement with Iran over its nuclear program, specifically, Israeli demands that the deal model the plan that ridded Syria of its chemical weapons (CW) stockpile and that intrusive inspections won’t prevent Iran from building a nuclear weapon.
Top Israeli officials, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, have argued that the entirety of Iran’s nuclear program — including the civilian energy component — must be dismantled, a position that many, including President Obama, have said is unrealistic”
You know who? Nuttyahoo
Ron Dermer, Israel’s Ambassador to the United States and former top aide to Netanyahu, (Bibi’s Brain) this week referred to the Syria chemical weapons deal should serve as a blueprint.
Good background on bibi's brain at the link- typical dual national more loyal to Israel
“We hope that the model of Syria will be the model that you’ll see with Iran,” he told Charlie Rose on his PBS program on Tuesday. (Ron Dermer) “You’re removing all of the enriched uranium, you’re removing all of the centrifuges, you’re removing all of the capabilities that Iran has to build weapons in the future.”
Dermer, who sources have said is making the rounds on Capitol Hill to make the Israeli case on Iran, added that “inspectors will not do the job. The only thing that will do the job is to remove this nuclear weapons capability from Iran.”
The ACA’s Greg Thielmann agreed. “I’m struck by Amb. Dermer’s endorsement of the Syrian chemical weapons agreement as a model,” he told ThinkProgress. “Syria still knows how to make CW and has the industrial base to recreate its CW production facilities. Likewise, even if Iran were forced to destroy its centrifuges, it would still know how to rebuild them and use them to produce weapons grade uranium — and it has the scientific and industrial capability ultimately to build a nuclear arsenal.”
Jeffrey Lewis of the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies, said Dermer’s claim that inspections won’t stop Iran from building a weapon is “nonsense.”
“How does he know, since we don’t yet know what inspections in Iran will look like?” Lewis said in an e-mail to ThinkProgress. “These are the same guys who said inspections weren’t working in Iraq when they were. He might prefer an airstrike, but the reality is that even imperfect inspections will work better than starting a war.”
Yup, Israel, same guys who said inspection weren't working in Iraq, though they were, which is why Iraq was attacked.
 Kingston Reif, Director of Nuclear Non-Proliferation at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, also took issue with Dermer’s Syria CW model.
“Pointing to Syria as a model for Iran doesn’t work in the way Dermer thinks it does,” he said. “Syria possessed a large chemical weapons arsenal for over three decades before it was forced to give it up in the wake of the actual use of these weapons. This arsenal was a direct threat to Israel. Clearly it would not be in Israel’s interest for Iran to acquire and possess nuclear weapons for decades before giving them up.
“While the complete dismantlement of Iran’s nuclear arsenal might be ideal from a nonproliferation perspective it is unrealistic and not necessary to prevent a nuclear-armed Iran. Insisting on such a position would greatly increase the likelihood that the outcomes most threatening to Israel would come to pass: an unconstrained Iranian nuclear program and a nuclear-armed Iran.”
The P5+1 and Iran started a final push in Vienna this week to reach a final deal by the July 20 deadline. “The United States has sent some 15 officials, led by Deputy Secretary of State Bill Burns and Under Secretary of State Wendy Sherman,” reports al-Monitor’s Laura Rozen, “an unprecedented investment of top personnel and policy bandwidth that demonstrates the high value Washington has placed on the goal of trying to reach a negotiated agreement with Iran to ensure it does not obtain a nuclear weapon.”
If Israel doesn't want this deal how hard will the US really work to get one?

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