Tuesday, July 31, 2018

Pakistan’s Gwadar Port: A New Naval Base in China’s String of Pearls in the Indo-Pacific

Going long. Again.........

In the post:  After Pakistan’s Soft Coup- Imran Khan’s Dangerous Victory 
The little list highlighting Pakistan's geopolitical importance was included. By no means extensive, but, hopefully enough to understand the great game is at play in Pakistan.
Pakistan & the geopolitical global game of chess
  1. Pakistan is a critically important piece in the geo political game that is taking place in that part of the globe.
  2. There are plans to balkanize Pakistan.
  3. There is an area called Baluchistan that is a specific point of interest
  4. There is a giant port at Gwadar- Built by China
  5. This also connects back to Afghanistan and India.
Pretty certain I've mentioned the separatist movement that is being encouraged in Baluchistan province- Quetta, Baluchistan was where the suicide bombing took place on election day- That was no accident.

In 2009  Pushing South Asia Toward the Brink

Really early days for this blog and blogger- I'd postulated that the US was working to destroy Pakistan- By pitting India against Pakistan. In an arms race.
"By enabling an India-Pakistan arms race, rather than focusing on resolving the conflict and helping them make peace, the United States is driving Pakistan toward the very collapse it fears"
"The Pakistani army, which rules the country even when civilians are in office, will not easily shift its view of India. The army and those who lead it see the threat from India as their very reason for being. The army has grown in size, influence, and power, to the point where it dwarfs all other institutions in society and would lose much if there was peace with India"
9 years ago the Pakistani military was so massive and powerful, having out sized influence within that impoverished nation state that no one could lead the nation without it's blessing. 
Which is what Imran Khan has now! 

Consider all these years later how much more powerful this army has grown. At the expense of the Pakistani people's well being.  The latest IMF bailout will undoubtedly pay for lots and lots of military hardware... Purchased from the US, of course. Since the US is the largest provider of funds to the IMF.  Keeping that in mind, it's not a coincidence that Khan is set to take the largest IMF/US bail out package in the history of Pakistan.

As was confirmed yesterday Mr Khan is set to take Pakistan's largest IMF bailout ever
If the US can succeed in balkanizing Pakistan, as they have planned, the bulk of Pakistan will absorb Afghanistan or some portion of it. The US/UK NATO World order will have succeeded in blocking China's one belt/one road project by controlling the separatist province of Baluchistan which will be a proxy state of Usrael/UK or the NATO world order?

Baluchistan is the home of Gwadar and that giant Chinese naval base. China also has plans to build rail lines extending from China to Pakistan. In fact they have an entire economic corridor planned

 China/Pakistan economic corridor
1. Gwadar Ownership – A CPEC Hub
Gwadar is a city of Balochistan province in Pakistan, and it’s a future economic and trade hub as defined in China-Pakistan Economic Corridor route map. Gwadar is popular due to its strategic and geographical importance in region and also for a Gwadar Port.

Nutshell summary- the economic corridor from China to the strategically located Gwadar port has everything to do with Sharif being removed and Imran Khan/Con being anointed.
I'm still shocked today at the claims being made in the alternative sphere regarding Imran Khan. It boggles the mind!

CSIS
The Issue
    The development of Gwadar Port is a key element of the greater China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). It speaks to both the strength of the China-Pakistan relationship and the reach of China’s grand strategy.
    With Pakistan’s two other major ports operating near capacity with no room for expansion, projects in Gwadar promise to eventually handle one million tons of cargo annually, while also providing significant industrial, oil, and transportation infrastructure.
    Though a “monument of Pakistan-China friendship,” there are misgivings on both sides about CPEC, including the safety of Chinese workers, the resentment of Baloch nationalists, and the growing debt trap created by the project.
    The prospect of the PLA Navy in Gwadar poses greater security questions, as it forms another link in China’s efforts to expand its maritime presence in the Indo-Pacific region.
    The members of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, or “Quad,” comprised of India, Japan, Australia, and the United States, should counter China’s strategic outreach by networking with other like-minded countries on cooperative security frameworks to ensure a free, open, prosperous, and inclusive Indo-Pacific region.

Gwadar, gateway to the $62 billion China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), was until recently a cluster of small, little-known fishing villages on the Makran coast of Pakistan. Gwadar is only 107 miles (172 km) from Chabahar across the border with Iran and, now, both ports are being developed into maritime hubs by China and India, respectively, triggering what is being called the New Great Game in South Asia. The CPEC is projected to link Kashgar in Xinjiang with Gwadar on the Makran coast of Balochistan, the largest province of Pakistan. It is expected to bring economic prosperity to the region and is part of President Xi Jinping’s “dream of national rejuvenation.”
He Lifeng, chairman of National Development and Reform Commission–China, said in a message, “The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is an important loop in the larger chain of Belt and Road Initiative, and would enable the possibility of a 21st Century Maritime Silk Route.” Earlier called One Belt, One Road (OBOR), the bold initiative under which multiple projects like CPEC are likely to be launched has been renamed Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Other terms such as the New Silk Road and the Maritime Silk Road are also in use.

Gwadar Port: Plans and Progress
Gwadar port, now under construction, is located close to the mouth of the Persian Gulf just below the Straits of Hormuz. It is the third commercial port of Pakistan after Karachi and Qasim. Together the older two ports handle 95 percent of Pakistan’s sea-borne trade, but their capacities have been fully exploited and there is no scope for further expansion. Gwadar port is being built in phases. When completed, it will have three 200-meter-long berths and one Ro-Ro (roll on-roll off) facility. At present the port has the capacity to handle 50,000 deadweight tonnage (DWT) bulk carriers drawing up to 12.5 meters.
According to the Gwadar Port Authority’s vision statement, “Gwadar deep sea port is the second great monument of Pakistan-China friendship after the Karakoram Highway linking Pakistan and China.” Besides Gwadar port, CPEC will include transport infrastructure, oil pipelines, power plants, and industrial zones with a capital outlay of nearly $60 billion. A $2 billion oil refinery is planned to be set up near Gwadar. The port is being developed by the China Overseas Port Holding Company (COPHC), to which it was leased by the Pakistan government for 40 years in April 2017. The final expansion of the port and ancillary systems will be undertaken by the Chinese.

Funds for this ambitious project will be provided by China both through the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) and by way of direct government-to-government soft loans. To help China to recover its capital investment, COPHC will get a 91 percent share of the revenue from the operations of the port and the terminal and 85 percent of the revenue generated by the free zone. Under this arrangement, though the port is expected to handle 1 million tonnes of cargo annually, the impression in Pakistan is that benefits will accrue mainly to the Chinese. Also, there are misgivings within Pakistan regarding the debt trap that the huge investment in CPEC will result in. The Pakistani elite are no doubt watching the disaster that the developments of Hambantota port and international airport have been for Sri Lanka.
Balochistan-
The separatist resurgence is thwarting Pakistan's plans to optimally utilize Balochistan’s energy reserves. It is also hampering efforts to build transnational gas pipelines from Iran and Turkmenistanwith the potential to generate royalty worth $700 to 800 million annually. (This is the TAPI pipeline- there is additional information below)
Accepting responsibility for an attack on construction workers near Gwadar in which 10 laborers died in May 2017, Jeander Baloch, the BLA spokesperson, said in a statement, “This conspiratorial plan [CPEC] is not acceptable to the Baloch people under any circumstances. Baloch independence movements have made it clear several times that they will not abandon their people’s future in the name of development projects or even democracy.” In previous years, some Chinese workers have also been targeted.
Yes, the Baloch separatists have been killing workers- And they won't stop. Not for a better future, jobs or even democracy- weird huh?

Efforts to Counter China’s Strategic Outreach
In China’s grand strategy, Gwadar is an important foothold that is part of its String of Pearls strategy for the Indo-Pacific. Other “pearls” in South Asia include Myanmar’s Kyaukpyu port and Hambantota in Sri Lanka. Maldives has also negotiated an agreement with China for the long-term lease of a port. Chinese maritime strategy draws heavily from Mahan’s theory of sea dominance. Mahan’s hypothesis was that whoever controls the Indian Ocean will dominate the whole of Asia. The PLA Navy is expanding rapidly and clearly aims to dominate the Indo-Pacific. If Gwadar port is converted into a naval base sometime in the future, it will enable the PLA Navy to maintain a permanent presence in the Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Oman. In the eventuality of India having to fight a two-front war—undoubtedly a low-probability scenario—the Indian Navy would have to contend with a formidable maritime force. India’s energy supplies from the Gulf and maritime trade will become highly vulnerable to interception.
Both China and Pakistan view the development of Gwadar port as a win-win situation. The CPEC is part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) that seeks to extend China’s strategic outreach deep into the Indo-Pacific region and counter U.S. influence in the Indo-Pacific. It is also designed to give a fillip to China’s slowing economy by generating large-scale construction activity, building an alternative route for oil and gas supplies and creating new markets for China’s products. Notably, China is simultaneously engaged in building its first overseas military base in Djibouti. China’s military assertiveness in reclaiming land and building air strips and ancillary support facilities on some of the disputed Spratly and Paracel islands in the South China Sea, in blatant violation of the Law of the Sea Treaty and other international norms, has led to instability and fueled the possibility of future conflict in Southeast Asia.
Background:
It is not so well known that at the time of independence of India and Pakistan from Britain in 1947, Gwadar was a principality that had been in the possession of the Sultan of Oman for almost 200 years. Gwadar had been given as a gift to Oman by the Khan of Kalat in 1783. From 1863 up to independence in 1947, it was administered by a British assistant political agent on behalf of the Sultan of Oman. At that time, the enclave comprised a few fishing villages.

After independence, Gwadar was administered by an Indian administrator on behalf of the Sultan of Oman as the two countries enjoyed excellent relations. When, at the urging of the Pakistan government, the Khan of Kalat requested the Sultan of Oman to return Gwadar to Pakistan, reportedly the Sultan first offered the port to India. However, India declined to accept the gift. Oman is then reported to have sold Gwadar to Pakistan for $3 million on September 8, 1958. Since December 1958, it has been an integral part of the Balochistan province of Pakistan. It is now being developed into a deep-water port with Chinese assistance.

It appears to me, based on information I’ve availed myself of previously, the US/UK has long been invigorating the separatist desire. Through the use of terrorists. Hence the ISIS attack on Quetta on election day

Then there are pipelines to consider: IPI & TAPI

Which links back to a 2007 article
“Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama said on Wednesday the United States must be willing to strike al Qaeda targets inside Pakistan, adopting a tough tone after a chief rival accused him of naivete in foreign policy. “

Obama said if elected in November 2008 he would be willing to attack inside Pakistan with or without approval from the Pakistani government, a move that would likely cause anxiety in the already troubled region.

“If we have actionable intelligence about high-value terrorist targets and President Musharraf won’t act, we will,” Obama said.
Of course it was Obama that 'captured' Osama- I roll my eyes!
Pakistan-China Relations and CPEC

The China-Pakistan relationship has been labeled by the leaders of both counties as an “all-weather friendship.” It has been variously described as “higher than the mountains, deeper than the oceans, stronger than steel and sweeter than honey.” The two countries have colluded in developing nuclear warheads and ballistic missiles. They also have a close relationship in manufacturing military hardware. Most of Pakistan’s weapons and equipment now come from China. The relations between the two have become even closer with the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) beginning to take shape. Together the two countries have been assiduously wooing Afghanistan, Iran, and Russia to join CPEC for mutual benefit. India opposes CPEC, as the project is being built through disputed territory in Gilgit-Baltistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK).

The $62 billion project will link Xinjiang Province of China with Gwadar port on the Makran Coast west of Karachi. China is extremely concerned about the safety and security of its workers engaged in construction work in CPEC projects. Though Pakistan is raising a Special Security Division comprising approximately 15,000 personnel to provide security for the CPEC against terrorist attacks, the experience of Chinese dam construction in Gilgit-Baltistan has shown that eventually PLA soldiers are inducted for this purpose. The presence of PLA personnel in Pakistan in large numbers will further vitiate the security environment in South Asia.
With its growing investment in infrastructure projects in Pakistan and increase in the number of its citizens on Pakistani soil, China will have a greater stake in regional peace and stability and could play a positive role to help resolve a future crisis. However, in view of its recent track record in the South China Sea, its handling of the dispute over the Senkaku (Diaoyu) Islands, and its failure to intervene effectively to curtail North Korea’s nuclear ambitions, it is doubtful whether China will actually do so.
Understanding this background helps one make sense of the installation of Imran Khan and the IMF bail out-

As for nonsensical claims of the US leaving Afghanistan- Bull biscuits!
  • They need the drug money for black market ops and weapons.
  • They need to hold the strategic location to keep Pakistan in line
  • They need to hold the location to antagonize Russia.
  • And they need the location to destabilize Iran.

Monday, July 30, 2018

Imran Khan Confirms Seeking Biggest IMF Bailout Ever- As Expected!

 Times of India

NEW DELHI: Days before his oath-taking ceremony as the Prime Minister of Pakistan, Imran Khan is set to approve country's largest ever bailout package from International Monetary Fund (IMF) to stabilize his country's economy, reported UK-based The Times.
The $12-billion bailout is expected to put into motion as soon as Khan takes over the office of the Prime Minister. He is expected to take oath on August 11.
But an IMF bailout would likely hamper his aim of creating an Islamic welfare system, at least in the short-term. 
Exactly as I'd suggested days ago.

After Pakistan’s Soft Coup- Imran Khan’s Dangerous Victory 

Pakistan faces a mounting economic crisis that is likely to require a bailout from the International Monetary Fund, although PTI has not ruled out seeking succour from China, Islamabad's closest ally.

Khan will go with the IMF- That's why he won. He's the bankers boy.

And my comment
The IMF will as part of the bail out make their usual demands for restructuring of Pakistans spending.

Which most probably indicates any big promises he made will fall to the wayside, necessarily of course.

Reinforced with information from the comments section,  shared in today's earlier post

IMF: Bailing Out Pakistan & The Chinese Invasion of Pakistan

Penny, in response to your speculation that Imran will choose the IMF over China, he already promised to approach the IMF back in May of this year.

From The News International: 'Imran hints at approaching IMF after coming to power'

During a meeting with UK-based equity firm, Exotic Capital, Imran privately admitted that the IMF's "investments would be necessary for Pakistan. Imran had also expressed disapproval of CPEC, calling out its lack of "transparency", while signalling towards more "constructive ties with the US". The banksters at Exotic were quite pleased with what they heard; indeed, this is bad for China.

Link: https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/313185-imran-hints-at-approaching-imf-after-coming-to-power

Based on the type of leader Khan appears to be I had speculated he will go to the IMF instead of China for funds Pakistan needs. It appears Khan had in fact previously informed Exotic Capital in the UK that was the route he intended to take. 

Which will result in his lofty electoral promises being null and void.

Khan/Con knew months ago he was going to the IMF for a bailout.
It's so easy to make promises one never intends to keep.

Well, just a few days have passed and already I've got two correct predictions under my hat!
1-Khan will take the IMF bail out
2-Khan will not be able to keep whatever lofty promises he made


 

IMF: Bailing Out Pakistan & The Chinese Invasion of Pakistan

From the comments section of this post: After Pakistan’s Soft Coup- Imran Khan’s Dangerous Victory 
Penny, in response to your speculation that Imran will choose the IMF over China, he already promised to approach the IMF back in May of this year.

From The News International: 'Imran hints at approaching IMF after coming to power'

During a meeting with UK-based equity firm, Exotic Capital, Imran privately admitted that the IMF's "investments would be necessary for Pakistan. Imran had also expressed disapproval of CPEC, calling out its lack of "transparency", while signalling towards more "constructive ties with the US". The banksters at Exotic were quite pleased with what they heard; indeed, this is bad for China.

Link: https://www.thenews.com.pk/print/313185-imran-hints-at-approaching-imf-after-coming-to-power
Based on the type of leader Khan appears to be I had speculated he will go to the IMF instead of China for funds Pakistan needs. It appears Khan had in fact previously informed Exotic Capital in the UK that was the route he intended to take. 

Which will result in his lofty electoral promises being null and void.

 This article discusses why the IMF will bail out Pakistan, despite the problems internal within Pakistan

Nuclear-armed Pakistan is not a model of stability. It just elected a new prime minister after a campaign that featured widespread violence and election day bombings. The apparent loser has alleged vote-rigging in favor of his opponent, who was supported by the omnipresent Pakistani army. 
That’s one half of the context in which the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will soon consider another financial bailout for Pakistan, which has benefited from a dozen of them since the 1980s.
The other half is the fact that Pakistan’s economy is in shambles due to large-scale corruption and a growing debt crisis. The money it owes other nations and non-Pakistani entities is more than 30 percent of its GDP partly (but not entirely) because of the extensive loans it has received from China to build parts of CPEC, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, by which China is building roads, power plants, railroads and military bases in Pakistan.
You'll begin to notice this article is really big on countering China's influence
Pakistan needs about another $3 billion in the next few months to avoid defaulting on loans from the IMF, the World Bank and China. The IMF will almost certainly bail Pakistan out of its financial troubles again. But should it? There are two reasons that weigh heavily against such an action.
 Don't worry this article ends with a yes to the IMF  bail out Pakistan
The first is Pakistan’s continuing support of a variety of terrorist networks through its infamous Inter Service Intelligence agency, ISI. (that's not as much of an issue for the IMF as you and I might think it should be) Among the terrorist groups Pakistan supports are al Qadea, the Taliban (also supported by Russia and China??) and Lashkar-e-Taiba, which massacred more than 160 people in Mumbai, India, in 2008. Osama bin Laden hid for years in Abbottabad, Pakistan. (???) It’s inconceivable that ISI wasn’t responsible for his concealment.
The Trump administration has terminated military aid to Pakistan because it refuses to cease supporting terrorist networks with money, fighters and intelligence information. But there is no action we, or any other nation, can take to stop Pakistan’s religiously-based support for terrorism. Why, then, shouldn’t we block another IMF bailout?
Based on the OBL in Pakistan nonsense & this  feigned concern for terrorist support as a reason to not have another IMF bail out? Those arguments can't be taken seriousl.

The second reason not to bail out Pakistan is China’s growing de facto colonization of Pakistan through CPEC. According to a Wall Street Journal report, China is investing about $62 billion in Pakistan to build infrastructure projects. Three years into the program, according to that report, about half of the CPEC planned projects have begun.
China is conducting what some call “debt trap diplomacy,” (imagine that statement when talking in the same breath about the IMF's bailout process?)  through which Pakistan is becoming so indebted to China that it will be compelled to follow China’s policies in Southwest Asia and beyond. In fact, the debt trap has already been sprung with the eager assistance of the Pakistan’s government, ISI and army.
Gwadar is a large Pakistani city on the Arabian Sea.
Recall my mention of the Gwadar port?
Chinese officials have demanded that much of the nearby population be moved away for security reasons and to make room for thousands of Chinese military and civilian people being brought in to construct large port facilities and eventually transform Gwadar into a Chinese naval base.
We're going to read more about this massive port in another post- watch for it
Pakistan’s government — dependent on its army for whatever level of stability it can achieve — will not suffer de facto colonization gladly. Despite Pakistan’s support of terrorism, China’s corrupting largesse will be able to satisfy the Pakistani army and ISI sufficiently to quell any thoughts of rebellion.

In June, Defense Secretary James Mattis said of China, “The Ming Dynasty appears to be their model, albeit in a more muscular manner, demanding other nations become tribute states, kowtowing to Beijing.”

Another IMF bailout for Pakistan would be a Western contribution to China’s transformation of Pakistan into a tribute state. In these circumstances, the United States — the largest contributor to IMF — needs to voice its opposition to another bailout of Pakistan and try to prevent it. We probably can’t prevent it, but we certainly need to try. We have some leverage.

According to a 2016 report by the Congressional Budget Office, U.S. obligations to the IMF were then $164 billion. But, as the CBO reported, it is very difficult to account for the actual costs we incur. Nevertheless, as the CBO wrote, because of the risk of defaulted loans U.S. contributions to IMF are at risk.

Some will argue that denying Pakistan another IMF bailout would force it to borrow more from China, accelerating its dependence on Chinese largesse and power. Unfortunately, that dependence is already established and whether IMF grants another bailout or not won’t change that.

Instead, denying another IMF bailout would make Pakistan’s subservience more obvious to the Pakistani population and government. The attendant embarrassment to Pakistan could create friction between it and China, which is sufficient reason for another IMF bailout to be blocked.
I would think taking yet another IMF bailout would make Pakistan's subservience ever more obvious to Pakistan's population. Rather then denying a bail out
 Subservience,  is obviously the point of the IMF bail out.
Pakistan’s immediate importance to us is the logistics route it has provided for supply our and our allies’ forces in Afghanistan. China’s power over Pakistan may cause future closures. Thus, our policy toward China has to factor in the war in Afghanistan. India, which borders both Pakistan and China, is the key.

But our policy toward China is unclear. President Trump’s accelerating tariff war won’t turn it into a fair trader, far less an ally. It would be far better for the president to speak out on the dangers of China’s de facto colonization of Pakistan and other nations.
If such action were coupled with a clear embrace of India, comprised of a new trade agreement and the beginning of a defense alliance, the president’s policy could help contain China’s ambitions.

This ties into the earlier post from this morning:

Imran Khan "Victory" is a Pakistan Military Win- Again.


Unipolar vs Multi polar
Challenging the silk road
And more

Imran Khan "Victory" is a Pakistan Military Win- Again.

via NPR

Shamila N. Chaudhary (@ShamilaCh) is senior adviser to the dean at Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies, a fellow at the school's Foreign Policy Institute and senior fellow at New America. She served as director for Pakistan and Afghanistan on the National Security Council during the Obama administration.

The Pakistani people have spoken. In Wednesday's parliamentary elections, they voted in Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaaf (PTI), a political party led by former cricket star turned politician Imran Khan, to form the next government. PTI will most likely install Khan as the prime minister.

But have the Pakistani people told us what they want? We can't be sure, and here's why: The campaign environment leading up to the elections was heavily manipulated by pro-PTI forces, namely members of the military, judiciary and the political elite — a collection of powerful individuals and institutions commonly referred to in Pakistan as "the establishment."
The civilians who join forces with the military to achieve its dominance — including a politicized judiciary that historically has been used as a tool to justify the military's extra-constitutional measures — often reap benefits typically reserved for those in uniform.
We might call them  the "deep state"- Many believe the "deep state" is opposed to Donald Trump. That's a load of nonsense.   
We get that idea from the way the media carries on about Mr Trump. Despite the fact that the Donald has carried on the work of those that had come before. 
We should understand that the media manages our perceptions. Or it tries to.

Many Pakistanis believe that the establishment is behind the pressure tactics directed against the electorate during this campaign season. In this election season, assassination of candidates, intimidation of the media and the imprisonment of Khan's primary rival, former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, no doubt silenced critical aspects of the electoral process.

Nawaz suddenly critically ill will surely silence still more voices.

Ousted Pakistani PM Sharif “falls sick in jail” , "seriously ill" Hospitalized. Timing?


Did the media report freely? Were people scared off from voting because of violence and fears of retribution? Did the judiciary's pursuit of corruption charges against Sharif distract from his party's successes in running the government for the past five years? In a place like Pakistan, where a layer of political manipulation by the establishment has clouded every election since the country's birth in 1947, we will never fully know the answers to these questions.

As I'd explained in 2017 Mr Sharif was doing a good job of running the economy 


But we're not meant to. The difficulty of ascertaining what the people want is part of the establishment's plan. It does not want a government led by Imran Khan per se. Rather, it wants a government that is weak and where civilians cannot strengthen themselves against a powerful military, which wants to maintain its influence over national security issues such as relations with India and nuclear proliferation, issues over which civilians in a democracy should have primacy.
Which is something Mr Sharif had challenged. It's not likely Khan will challenge the military's power. 
So while Imran Khan got the votes in this election, it is Pakistan's military that has won — again.

The military has been cautious about overtly involving itself in politics in the past decade  (not correct) — a result of the unpopular legacy of former military ruler Gen. Pervez Musharraf, the military's negative exposure in Wikileaks documents and the difficult fight against anti-state militants. But that inclination has steadily receded over the past few years. The Pakistani military is no longer lurking in the shadows. It is walking down Constitution Avenue in Islamabad in broad daylight.

Khan, who can reach millions of Pakistanis in a way that no other politician can, is its newest foil. His popularity as a sportsman is unparalleled and his brash, populist rhetoric appeals to young, working-class voters. What better candidate to break the dominance of the dynastic former ruling party, Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz, in Parliament?
Yes, his colour revolution style of street rhetoric aimed at the young and gullible. Gee, where have I read about that tactic before?  The fact that he's a celebrity also plays in his favour. 
Far too many people worship the cult of celebrity. Their new gods
But the legitimacy of Khan's government will undoubtedly be questioned for the duration of his tenure. Ironically, in shaping the political environment to favor Khan, the establishment has effectively handicapped its own candidate.

With Sharif's party sidelined and Khan having to defend his legitimacy, the establishment has taken a page out of a playbook from the 1990s, when the military would pit politicians against each other to ensure weak coalition governments wouldn't unify against military influence. This era ended in 1999, when Musharraf ousted Sharif in a military coup.

The return to 1990s-style party politics has ushered in a backsliding of Pakistan's democratic culture, which begs the question: Could it also eventually lead to another coup? The makings of it are already underway, with Pakistan's politicized judiciary, compromised media, an exhausted and untrusting electorate, and a fractured political elite.

Critics of Khan will say that a soft coup has already happened and with him in place, the military already runs the show. But we must consider what the Pakistani military would do if Khan's government fails to adhere to its expectations. And there will be many opportunities to fail, from determining the imprisoned Sharif's future and rapprochement with India to working with the United States to end the war in Afghanistan.
Apparently, I'm a critic of Khan. Well, not exactly. However,  a soft coup took place last year. And the military worked hard, alongside the establishment to install Khan. He won't bite the hands that fed him so well.
All this talk of political manipulation distracts from the ambitious agenda Khan has for his vision of the "new Pakistan," a place where the stark divide between the poor and privileged is addressed through a welfare state system. Amidst fraught relations with Pakistan's neighbors and the United States, Khan's government will also need to define its agenda and approach with the international community. The hardest part will be how Khan refashions himself as a unifying figure who can bring together the political parties who believe his victory is a sham.
Khan won't have to be a real and true unifying figure. That's not what is desired. 
Observation; I had no idea there were so many supporters of military dictatorships in the alternative sphere- but life is for learning and I learn something new every single day

Sunday, July 29, 2018

Ousted Pakistani PM Sharif “falls sick in jail” , "seriously ill" Hospitalized. Timing?

Another stroke of sheer luck for Imran Khan! 
What timing. How convenient. Who benefits from this? 
Imran Khan, of course.  Alongside Pakistan's powerful military and it's corrupted judiciary
Daily Mail & Japan Times 


*Update: DAWN

Sharif is in critical care
According to jail sources, the doctors today advised moving Sharif to the critical care unit as he has been suffering from acute pain in both his arms, likely due to lack of adequate blood circulation.
Meanwhile, security has been beefed up in and around the jail. Security personnel have been deployed around its premises and the media have been advised to steer clear of the premises

Curious. Security has been beefed up- Are they worried about an angry, questioning populace?
Why is the media being advised to stay away from the premises?
 Shouldn't questions be asked about how it was Sharif was able to travel to and from the UK, but, within two weeks of his return and incarceration he is suddenly in critical condition, being whisked away for 'treatment' to some medical facility under the cover of secrecy? Away from questioning?  

*Update ends

UPDATE # 2 Begins-

Keeping in mind that Sharif  had just returned from the UK when he was arrested. 

Thinking he had to have been in good health, because had he been in such deplorable health at that time, critically ill, undoubtedly he would have stayed put in the UK. 

It's also interesting to consider:
"A caretaker government source, however, told the English daily that Sharif was being medically examined on a regular basis in the jail, where his prognosis appeared to be normal"
And yet today he's critically ill? 
Sharif supporters chant in support of Sharif


UPDATE #2 ends


 As previously mentioned the real Prime Minister of Pakistan was ousted in a soft coup last year.

With the help of colour revolution ‘leader’ Imran Khan.
"For Mr. Khan, 64, the moment was sweet. He had been the main petitioner before the court and fomented widespread street protests against Mr. Sharif"
Just 2 weeks ahead of the anointment of Imran Khan, Sharif was jailed.
Timing?

"Former Pakistani premier Nawaz Sharif, jailed earlier this month,  has fallen sick inside prison and is being moved to hospital.
“Sharif and his daughter were jailed on July 13 after a graft court sentenced them to 10 and seven years respectively over properties in Britain which emerged in the wake of Panama Papers revelation"
The Panama paper angle is bogus. Sensational but bogus.  That’s been covered here.
"Mr. Sharif was not afforded a trial nor, strictly speaking, was he found guilty of corruption. Rather, the supreme court declared him ineligible for office."
What’s interesting is that Sharif was well enough to travel, but, has "suddenly" taken ill after two weeks in prison and has to be moved to hospital. 
"Caretaker Punjab province Home Minister Shaukat Javed said on state-run Pakistan Television that doctors had advised his transfer to hospital after an electrocardiogram had shown “variations.”
“How many days he stays in hospital depends on doctors,” Javed said, adding that the former prime minister will be transferred to the Pakistan Institute of Medical Sciences in Islamabad
How many days he stays in hospital 'depends on doctors' Doctors, what? That's vague.
How many days he stays in hospital could also depend on how long he lives? If he recovers?
Other factors?  And isn't it interesting that he's having heart troubles...  this is a familiar sounding narrative  Perhaps he's being  poisoned?.  I'm not discounting that possibility.
With his daughter imprisoned who can intervene on his behalf?
“Sharif, who claims he is being targeted by the country's powerful security establishment”
He's claiming that because that's obviously true. In the past and possibly at this time

“His brother Shahbaz, who heads the party now, has rejected election results along with other parties who have demanded fresh elections and announced they would protest against alleged election rigging.”
"But it (the election) was marred by violence and allegations of military interference in the months leading up to the vote, with Khan seen as the beneficiary"

Friday, July 27, 2018

After Pakistan’s Soft Coup- Imran Khan’s Dangerous Victory

I’d started working on this yesterday: Personal matters kept me from finishing.

Shocked and flummoxed cannot begin to describe my feeling when reading 5 eyes alt media present Khan's win as  anything remotely close to being a good thing for Pakistan. But then what else to expect from 5 eyes alt media that actually claimed the US backed Kurds were the best fighters against US backed ISIS.??  
Or one that suggests another nations government needs to be violently overthrown. Via Willy Loman: Moon of Alabama Blog Calls for Regime Change “by force” Due to Turkish Referendum Results

Also worth noting: The 5 eyes main stream media is pretty quiet on the innumerable issues with the Pakistan election- By that I mean there is very little coverage and almost no condemnation- 

One would think the rape threats being made against women journalists alone would have the media out in droves condemning this election. But, no. Silence. Sure they're reporting the opposition is making the claims- but the 5 eyes media is presenting it more as sore or disgruntled losers. As if to downplay their claims. The Asian media is covering the news better.


 All that aside let's talk about Pakistan and Imran Khan’s “win”. If one can call his placement a win? 
 Without questioning who is it a win for? 
 As of this moment it looks as if the globalists/bankers and nation destabilizers are the winners. Not the people of Pakistan

 I've seen comparison's to Turkey's election. Laughable comparisons.  Pakistan's election was nothing like Turkey’s elections where unsubstantiated claims of election shenanigans are made ignoring the FACT that Turkey’s elections always have hundreds of observers present- from all places.  Including but not limited to local parties along side observers from the Shanghai Cooperative & the EU- (all of that has been covered here in previous writings)


Pakistan's recent election was clearly an exercise in election engineering, undoubtedly with lots of outside assistance. Unlike the innuendo surrounding Turkey's election the claims of rigging and unlawful influence including the use of terror attacks looks legitimate. 

They are substantive, widespread, detailed and documented claims.  

All parties, the media and many others are crying foul indicating expansive and systemic election fraud. I'm linking one article, one source, that goes through an extensive listing of problems before the election took place. Excerpted below- read the entire link
Just citing a few documented/investigated offences

  1. The witch-hunt against the media began after journalist Matiullah Jan wrote highly critical articles against Pakistan's military and judiciary
  2. Ahead of the general election, the Pakistan Army tamed the country's leading media outlets, reporters and columnists. Those working with the Dawn group, Geo News and Jang group were particularly targeted. These media outlets were told to drop certain columnists and remove certain articles.
  3. Ahead of the recently held elections, the situation worsened. The English daily was blocked from military areas, while its copies were confiscated and sellers intimidated
  4. Dawn said that the newspaper suffered a continued onslaught in a "wide-ranging and seemingly coordinated manner", that includes its distribution being stopped in several areas.
  5. Curbs to distribution of print and broadcast media and their impact on businesses, curbs to freedom of expression in the Pakistani media, press advice and intimidation, bribes, favors and "fed" narratives.
  6. Journalists who are critical of the military or authorities were abducted or attacked.
  7. Many print and broadcast journalists say that a common consequence of 'disobeying' instructions is vicious character assassination through anonymous social media accounts and 
  8. Social networking platforms that go so far as to incite violence against mediapersons — and in the case of women, rape threats." 

CBC:
Campaigning has been plagued for months by allegations the powerful armed forces have been trying to tilt the race in Khan's favour”
Ah social media.. Or as I like to call it anti social media. Take a guess what Pakistani candidate was a master of social media manipulation? It was Imran Khan. Last year he employed social media in a heavy handed manner to oust Sharif.

The article above, just one article alone, details extensively the multiple ways the election was manipulated and it ends with the sentence below:
"We need to closely look at how the media will fare under Imran Khan."
 I'd suggest the media in Pakistan already has a very good idea of it's future under Imran Khan.

Keep in mind that just one year ago Imran Khan had both the military and the judiciary in his back pocket. How do I know this? Well, I wrote all about it back in 2017!
The soft coup of 2017 was largely unnoticed in the 5 eyes alt and mainstream media. 
However, having written about Pakistan previously and understanding it's importance in geo politics the framing and imprisonment of Nawaz Sharif wasn't lost on me!

Pakistan’s Soft Coup- The Deep State Ousts Nawaz Sharif

PFYT nearly one year ago to the day!: "The deep state with the assistance of outside interests?  Can't say for certain. Let's just say there is a high probability of outside interest involvement considering all players and nation states affected by the removal of
Nawaz Sharif
Nawaz Sharif
How was Sharif ousted? He was simply declared ineligible for office by the judiciary.
 "Mr. Sharif was not afforded a trial nor, strictly speaking, was he found guilty of corruption. Rather, the supreme court declared him ineligible for office."

Imran Khan's win was guaranteed.

By hook, crook  and text book colour revolutions/ street protests Gene Sharp style. 
"For Mr. Khan, 64, the moment was sweet. He had been the main petitioner before the court and fomented widespread street protests against Mr. Sharif"
And ISIS suicide bombers in strategic locations.
Quetta-
"The explosion occurred near a school where polling was taking place," witness Majeed Akbar said. "There was a cloud of smoke after the blast, it filled the sky and then after that I saw a pool of blood, dead bodies and others injured."
 
How to foment revolution for overlords

Not a way in hell was Imran Khan’s electioneering a positive for Pakistan. In fact, it reminds me very much of the coup in Armenia. My bad, the "Velvet Revolution” 

Flashback: Armenia's Velvet Revolution: Rockers and Revolutions

 Reiterating:  In 2017 Imran Khan colluded with the Pakistani military to toss the very popular leader of Pakistan into jail.
 On the flimsiest of trumped up charges one could imagine! Somehow Khan had gained the trust and support of the Pakistani military which, not coincidentally, Sharif had lost.  
How had Khan done this? I suspect it would have been with promises of money, arms and power... And war. What’s the point of a military with no war to wage? I'm sure Khan had help and lots of it.

Background on Khan: Some old and some new information- Some banker and foundation ties.

Imran Khan has  his own dirty money dealings- He’s a foundation man. He’s funneled money through his charitable foundation to his own political party. Think of the Clinton’s charitable foundation? Yes, just like that.

“The Imran Khan Foundation (IKF) is a nonprofit corporation showing an address of 385 S Lemon Ave, Walnut CA 91789. IKF is a registered tax-exempt public charity under section 501 (c)(3) of the United States’ Internal Revenue Service Code. “

"Mr. Khan too faces cases against him in the Supreme Court and the election commission, stemming from accusations of hiding assets and of foreign funding of his political party.”

Mr Khan has two sons with his former wife &  heir to the Goldschmidt banker fortune, Jemima Goldschmidt, anglicized to Goldsmith. That  gives us a direct connection to the bankster classes and all their machinations straight through Imran Khan. Yes, you are reading that correctly.
Imran Khan, former cricketeer,  Oxford Educated, charitable foundation man was previously married to jewish socialite Jemima Khan nee Jemima Goldsmith- Goldschmidt . Of the Goldschmidt banker family

Khan was the anointed one.  He didn’t win.  His leadership was foisted upon Pakistan. 
From on high. I'm not talkin' God either. It's as if  higher hidden powers placed him front and centre to a coup that saw a leader, quite popular with the people, tossed out and incarcerated.  Under trumped up pretexts.  Imran Khan then has the luxury of an entire unchecked year to bend the will of the media and the masses to his ways. Enabling him to "win" an election.

Pakistan & the geopolitical global game of chess

  1. Pakistan is a critically important piece in the geo political game that is taking place in that part of the globe.
  2. There are plans to balkanize Pakistan.
  3. There is an area called Baluchistan that is a specific point of interest
  4. There is a giant port at Gwadar- Built by China
  5. This also connects back to Afghanistan and India.

 A couple of blasts from the past: 2010  The CIA's covert 3,000 strong army crossborder raiding Pakistan. & 2011- Raymond Davis outed as CIA operative in Pakistan
There is additional information here covering Pakistan. Click the Pakistan label at the bottom of this post to access them directly

DW: Imran Khan's Dangerous Victory

Populist (actually Globalist) politician Imran Khan is on course to become Pakistan's next premier, with his party set to win the most seats in general elections. The results have split the country like never before, says DW's Shamil Shams.

Cricketer-turned-politician Imran Khan's victory in the July 25 general vote was all but certain because his main rival, former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, had fallen out with the country's powerful military.

 You must understand Sharif didn’t fall out with the populace. He’d lost support of the powerful military. And without that in Pakistan? Well, let’s just say you could end up running for your life like Erdogan did during the coup attempt in 2016. Or incarcerated.

From 2017 post:
    “The Supreme Court, however, removed Sharif from office exclusively on the basis of evidence provided by the JIT that he did not declare an amount of UAE Dirhams 10,000 (equivalent to Rs 1.7 Lakh) he received from a UAE Company, while filing his nomination papers for elections in 2013.

    The Supreme Court used convoluted arguments, which have been questioned even by eminent Pakistani lawyers, to justify its decision. The court held that even though Sharif never received this money, he was bound to declare it as a "receivable"

    The army reacted strongly. It sought and secured the sacking of Sharif's personal foreign policy adviser Tareq Fatemi for leaking information about these differences. Ensuring that Sharif does not return to power will be high on the army's agenda, which the judiciary evidently shares”


DW continued:
"Sharif, who is currently incarcerated on corruption charges, along with his daughter Maryam Nawaz, had increasingly adopted a defiant tone toward the army generals. ( This is where Sharif is similar to Erdogan in Turkey) He sought to bring foreign and domestic policies under his civilian rule and improve ties with India and other neighboring countries. He also confronted the military on the issue of militant Islamists amid Western allegations that Pakistani authorities use them to destabilize the Afghan government"
 Imran Khan has not been empowered to unify the country or to have friendly relations with India. 
Imran Khan will be sure that Afghanistan becomes still more destabilized. 
As a means of targeting Russia. ISIS is there to help as well:  French ISIS Fighters Relocate to Afghanistan from Syria



PFYT 2017 “ the mercurial and virulently anti-Indian Imran Khan, who has been a protege of the army, could emerge stronger than he is now.”

Who wants India and Pakistan at each other’s throats? Hmmm...

Under him, (Sharif) the economy was showing promising signs. He improved fiscal discipline, reduced poverty, put money in middle class's hands, and the stock market responded with enthusiasm. On 15 May, 2017, index provider MSCI announced that it was reclassifying Pakistan's status from lowly 'frontier' to more prestigious 'emerging market'.”

Can’t have a promising economy- reduced poverty and makin’ friends with India. Peace might break out. Bad for business.

DW: “Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) and rival Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) both said their monitors in many voting centres were either kicked out during counting or had not received the official notifications of the precinct's results, but instead got hand-written tallies that they could not verify.”
"It is a sheer rigging. The way the people's mandate has blatantly been insulted, it is intolerable," Shehbaz told a news conference as the counting continued.

Pledge to unify country?

Khan offered to investigate all the claims of rigging and said he wants to "unite" the country under his leadership.
He won't investigate anything- 
Fictional Khan- Bad boy as well

Pakistan faces a mounting economic crisis that is likely to require a bailout from the International Monetary Fund, although PTI has not ruled out seeking succour from China, Islamabad's closest ally.

Khan will go with the IMF- That's why he won. He's the bankers boy.

In closing, and sad to say, Pakistan is in for a very bumpy ride. A deadly ride. Worse then has already been the case. Khan is there to 'make it so'

Wednesday, July 25, 2018

Danforth Shooting & Gun Control/Police State Push in Canada: Updated!

I’m not a gun grabber. If that bothers you stop reading now.

Canada already has very stringent gun laws. They’ve been in force for many years.


Until recently Canada has NOT had a “gun problem”. But suddenly it does. Or so we're told?
The media has been spinning on gun deaths for a while now. This skews perceptions. 

Would you be surprised to know that Canada was working on tighter gun laws before this shooting took place?


Tighter Gun Laws Considered before Toronto Shooting
 Ralph Goodale: That being said, he noted that “a number of groups and organizations made presentations to that effect earlier this year, and I said that we would be prepared to consider their arguments and we will do that.”
Canada is Introducing New Gun Control Laws

Although Canada has much stricter firearms restrictions than the United States, Ottawa says crimes involving guns rose 30 percent from 2013 to 2016. Gun homicides jumped 66 percent in the same period.

Changes to gun laws were much more then merely being considered before this shooting. Legislation was already put forward! Obviously, Ottawa was going to say crimes involving guns increased and the media is going to hyper focus on them to justify pushing through this legislation.
 "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."

Reality Check Gun Law Changes
"The Canadian government unveiled new legislation on Tuesday that will tighten controls over the sale and licensing of firearms, including provisions that would reclassify two controversial families of rifles as prohibited weapons.

The new bill will also boost background checks, require owners to apply for authorizations to transport weapons and require gun vendors to keep a record of sales for at least 20 years"
Reading through the entire article
“Officials said they expect that measure will see the number of such firearms owned in Canada decrease over time.”

Directly above is an incorrect statement from the linked article. What do officials really mean when they make statements of this type? Misleading statements.  What the state expects/knows will be the outcome is that the number of LEGALLY, in full compliance with the law, owned firearms will decrease in Canada. ( While smuggled weapons continue to flow unchecked across the border- As they have for years already.)

In other words the Canadian government intends to make it so difficult for an ordinary law abiding citizen to get a gun that they simply won’t bother.
 

Plainly speaking: this new legislation will do nothing to address the ILLEGAL guns that are flooding into Canada because not one criminal is going to bothered by or with these restrictions.

Conservative public safety spokesman Pierre Paul-Hus said the measures "treat law-abiding firearms owners as criminals."

Isn’t that the point of the legislation? To criminalize/ disenfranchise law abiding citizens?
It sure is!
Without ever addressing that always obscured problem with criminals and crime? 
Criminals aren’t law abiding.
Just stating the obvious. Or what should be obvious?


From 2016: Canadians crack down on guns, alarmed by flow from U.S.

"Canada bans most guns and has a minuscule number of gun-
related homicides a year. But, worried about smuggled firearms from the United States, its government is preparing to stiffen its already tough gun laws....

 “Canada overhauled its gun-control laws after the country's worst mass shooting in 1989, when gunman Marc Lepine killed 14 women and himself at Montreal's Ecole Polytechnique college. It is now illegal to possess an unregistered handgun or any kind of rapid-fire weapon. Canada also requires training, a personal risk assessment, two references, spousal notification and criminal record checks”
Apparently Canada's not alarmed enough to impede the guns coming through the borders.
Though they've known for years it's a problem. 
Or would they rather use this gun trafficking as an excuse to crack down on the Canadian populace of law abiding citizens to dis arm and dis empower them?
While not bothering to address the real issues?

Recapping.........

Already tough gun laws- Set to get tougher still before a gun man for no particular reason, with no motivation, no known training and no idea how a gun came to be in his possession walked the Danforth shooting people.

Cui Bono? Really.

Recall my discussing the ‘strategy of tension’ tactic?  If you didn't you'll find that topic in this post:  Toronto Shooting Distracts from Canada's "Legal Obligation" to Resettle White Helmets? Governments love that type of tactic. 
It makes the populace literally beg for the changes a government, any government, wants to enact anyway. Who’s going to say no at this time to new legal gun ownership restrictions?
 If you said no one you're right! No one.

 In fact the begging for protection by the state has already begun.
Here’s why: Trauma induces dependency and learned helplessness


Feelings of fear, anxiety and powerlessness are a normal response to such violence, said Dr. Katy Kamkar, a clinical psychologist at the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health
The populace feels powerless and they look to big brother/big government for protection. Big, big mistake. You see why/how the strategy of tension can be an effective tool of control?
 Coincidentally, but not likely, Toronto’s government had been criticized for cutting the budget of Toronto Police- Which is really a lot more like a localized military force then a protect and serve kind of operation.

"There was also ongoing criticism directed at them from some front-line officers and their union that spending cuts to the $1-billion police budget and other attempts to modernize the force have contributed to the crime rate."
Have the cutbacks to Toronto police really contributed to an increased crime rate?
No socio economic factors involved in the increasing violence?
No degradation of societal bonds factoring into an increasingly fractured society
Not quite sound bit material, right? But more then likely the cause of most of these violence issues.  Just give more money to the police and all problems will be solved? 

Yah, that’s deluded thinking!

So far we’ve got two identified beneficiaries of the Danforth Shooter.

1-The Trudeau government.- Super Nanny State
2-The Toronto Police Force - Local militarized enforcers of nanny state edicts


The Danforth Shooter ? 'Like 2 different people'

 CBC
"It's like two different people, it doesn't make sense," Sukhera told CBC
CBC
Hussain's family emailed a statement to CBC Toronto saying they are devastated by what happened and that their son was struggling with "severe mental health challenges," including psychosis and depression.
Hussain’s family emailed a statement to CBC? Was that even verified by CBC? 
I'd like to know that!

Image of alleged shooter
I've yet to see any recent images of Hussain not connected to the Danforth incident. Has anyone else?

Link
Where or how Hussain could have obtained a gun remains a mystery to the family friends and neighbours who spoke with CBC News.
Yet...........

CTV
"Video taken at the scene shows Hussain demonstrating a level of familiarity with his weapon, as he was able to aim and reload the gun quickly and efficiently"

CP24
 The 29-year-old man who gunned down 15 people on the Danforth Sunday night had previously been investigated by Toronto police under the Mental Health Act, CP24 has learned.

A police source told CP24 that in 2010, Faisal Hussain made comments to school officials at Victoria Park Collegiate Institute that led them to contact police.

According to the source, Hussain spoke about being “The Joker” from the Batman movie and talked about “liking death” and “explosions.”

Interesting that this man had been ‘investigated’ by Toronto Police 8 years ago for random comments he had made.  At least according to some unnamed source.

UPDATED 3:25 pm est 

Thinking more about this random news story, directly above, about some unnamed person claiming 8 years ago the alleged shooter had been investigated by the police under the mental health act.  What's the point? Then, I had an aha moment! 
This unsubstantiated bit of gossip connects Canada's new planned gun legislation directly to this most recent incident- Directly. I can draw a straight line to this 'news' aka spin and the new legislation

From this link which is already embedded above

How will licensing requirements change?

When a person in Canada currently applies for a gun permit, authorities do a background check that goes five years into the individual’s past to look for criminal convictions, mental illness associated with violence or a history of behaviour that includes violence or threats to commit such acts. 
Under the new legislation, authorities assessing applications for a gun permit will now consider all of those factors going back for the applicant’s entire life.
Strategy of tension in action! This hearsay spread through the media provides the necessary background rhetoric for the impending spin to justify the passing of the new gun legislation- 
I can already hear the media delivering there serious sermons from their pulpy pulpits 
Cui bono? 
Not me and you! 
But at least now I understand why this 'news' was planted in the media.

Additional Reading @