Monday, October 22, 2018

Idlib Agreement: Which Parties Want Success? Which Parties Want Failure?

Short list of who wants the agreement to succeed:
  • Syria
  • Russia
  • Iran
  • Turkey

Short list of who wants the agreement to fail:

  • US
  • Israel
  • PKK
  • France

US Backed Terrorists Behind Idlib Attack
"The Arabic-language website of Sputnik news agency quoted retired Colonel Mar'ei Hamdan as saying on Monday that the terrorist groups in Idlib have close ties with a number of states which oppose stability in Syria, spearheaded by the US, and they persuade them to violate the ceasefire agreement in the weapons-free zone in the province.

"The US should be blamed for the troubled move of the political process to resolve the crisis in Syria," he added.

Meantime, Head of the Russian Reconciliation Center Vladimir Savchenko said that despite the ceasefire in Idlib, the terrorist groups still target the demilitarized zone in Idlib"

Mar’ei Hamdan is a Syrian


"Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, an extremist group that controls roughly two thirds of Idlib province and counts former al-Qaeda-linked fighters in its ranks, has arrested 184 people since the beginning of September, according to a war monitor.

Hayat Tahrir al-Sham has announced a number of  operations in Idlib which it said was aimed at rooting out Isis sleeper cells and “collaborators” with the Syrian government. As far back as August, the group announced it had arrested 30 people who it said were attempting to reconcile with Damascus.

“Hayat Tahrir al-Sham is a smart military-political actor, whose history shows a consistent willingness to assert and preemptively protect itself from any existing or potential future threats,” said Charles Lister, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute.

“There’s a clear concern about security threats posed by reconciliation and the return of an Isis presence in Syria's northwest. Security operations that have resulted from both of those perceived threats have resulted in widespread arrest campaigns and military operations,” he added."

HTS is fighting ISIS? That’s what Charles Lister wants you to believe as he speaks admiringly about them "smart military- political actor" But not terrorists? Wonder why that is?
Oh, ya Charles Lister: Neo Con/Middle East Institute & Syria Expert?
"As Syria expert Charles Lister wrote earlier this year, “In fact, while rarely acknowledged explicitly in public, the vast majority of the Syrian insurgency has coordinated closely with Al Qaeda since mid-2012—and to great effect on the battlefield.”
There's that admiration for terrorists again!

Kurdish spin omitted:

"According to the agreement reached between Turkey and Russia on 27 September, the militia in Idlib had to withdraw their heavy weapons from a 15 to 20 kilometer wide buffer zone by 15 October. The Ankara regime continues to claim that the militias directly under its jurisdiction have complied with the agreement"

But HTS and AQ are not under Turkey’s jurisdiction:
The militia Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), which was founded by al-Nusra and controls most of the area, has announced that it will not withdraw, but continues to be overcast.

Deadline extended:
"Without an official statement, both states have extended the deadline and are now aiming for a summit in Istanbul on 27 October"

New summit after deadline
The Istanbul Summit will bring together French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Main topic of the meeting is Idlib. Macron and Merkel have confirmed their participation, but Macron announced at the same time that the summit meeting would take place only if no offensive had been started on Idlib until then.

Macron doesn’t want the Idlib agreement to succeed, which is why he’s set pre conditions for his participation- See opening list of parties wanting Idlib agreement to fail.
Syrian Army on the move?

Military maneuvers of the Syrian army

"Just over a week before the planned summit, an important general of the Syrian army arrived at the Abu Zuhur air base to the east of Idlib. General al-Hassan is commander of the Tigris units and has been ordered by the Syrian army to station in that region. Together with other military officers he has examined the eastern front line. According to Syrian media, the deferred offensive is meant to be prepared.

Meanwhile, the Syrian army has begun military maneuvers in the region. In addition, reconnaissance flights are reported over Idlib"

Turkey has made clear that if the thugs don’t move Syria and Russia will move them

“Turkey, in its last message, has warned the terrorists that have refused to leave demilitarized zone that if the Sochi Agreement collapses, the Syrian army and the Russian Air Force will force the terrorists to leave their last strongholds in the Northern and Northwestern Syria.”

Assassination of SDF/PKK/YPG leadership continues
One of the SDF commanders named Haji Dikiyeh was killed by unknown assailants in the town of Qamishli in Northeastern Hasaka.

According to the report, another member of the SDF forces was also severely wounded by unknown gunmen in Hasaka city's al-Nashwah district.

As the  SDF Kurds continue on with their forced recruitment of children:

Meantime, local sources in Hasaka province reported that the SDF has detained at least 30 young people in the villages of Kaskas Jabour and al-Zayanat near the town of al-Shadadi in Southern Hasaka and a number of others in the village of al-Qara in Western Hasaka.

While distrubuting expired foodstuffs and medicine to displaced Syrian residents
The sources said that a large number of refugees at the SDF-run Mabroukah camp in Northern Hasaka took part in a demonstration against severe shortage of food stuff, medicines and other vitally needed items in their camp.

The sources said that many similar protests have been suppressed by the SDF, adding that the SDF had been intentionally worsening the living conditions in the camps to force the refugees, especially young men, to join the militia.

They went on to say that the SDF had sent expired consignments of medicines and food stuff to the camp, which intoxicated a number children in Mabroukah.
The sources underscored that the entire SDF-run refugee camps in Deir Ezzur and Hasaka are suffering from shortage of sanitary services and acute shortage of food stuff.
I've written previously on the topic of the SDF run camps- Keeping the UN money and goodies for themselves- starving the very people they have displaced.

Kurdistan 24- Syrian government arrests Kurdish religious official in Hasakah
"In addition to holding a position in the local self-administration, he was the imam of the Badr Mosque in the Hilaliye neighborhood of the city of Qamishlo"
Wonder what he was preaching in the mosque? Murder? Mayhem? Abuse the civilians cause it's okay to do? Wouldn't doubt it.

 "Talks between the US-backed, Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Council (SDC) and Damascus were halted after brief clashes broke out in Qamishli on Sept. 8 between the Kurds and Syrian government forces.
I think that's around the time Kurds ambushed and slaughtered a slew of SAA.. 

Updated October 23/18: Indeed, the talks were halted after the Kurds attacked SAA, while on routine patrol killing 11 of them in a brutal ambush.
Covered here
"Pro-government sources told state media an army patrol was attacked by Kurdish forces while on its way to the airport. It said several troops were killed. 

“Negotiations with Damascus did not stop because of US pressure but the limited path set by the regime, which was not enough to achieve any progress,” SDC spokesperson Amjad Othman said in a statement.

“The US is an important partner in the fight against terrorism, and its role will be significant in the future of any political solution,” he added"

1 comment:

  1. Putin should send Lavrov to these meetings. It is too dangerous for him to go personally.