Saturday, May 25, 2019

Friday, May 24, 2019

Why is Carbon the Key to Life? On Earth. Where Lives Live.

Because it is. 
It's everything. 
It is the key to life entirely on this planet.
Which is why, it's regularly stated here the anti-carbon cult is, indeed, an anti- life cult.

US deploys 1,500 troops to Middle East

 The  National
The United States announced on Friday the deployment of 1,500 troops to the Middle East, describing it as an effort to bolster defences against Iran as it accused the country's Revolutionary Guards of direct responsibility for this month's tanker attacks.
US President Donald Trump publicly announced the 1,500 figure and described it as a defensive measure. The troops include personnel manning missile defence systems, aerial surveillance to spot threats and engineers to fortify defences.
"We want to have protection in the Middle East. We're going to be sending a relatively small number of troops, mostly protective," Mr Trump said as he left the White House for a trip to Japan.
The deployment marks a reversal of sorts for Mr Trump, who only on Thursday said he thought more troops were unnecessary. Mr Trump has sought to untangle the US military from open-ended conflicts in places like Syria and Afghanistan.
The deployment is relatively small, compared with the approximately 70,000 American troops now stationed across the region. In addition, some 600 of the 1,500 troops are already in the Middle East manning Patriot missiles, and will see their deployments extended.
The Trump administration this month ordered the deployment of an aircraft carrier strike group, bombers and additional Patriot missiles to the Middle East, citing intelligence about possible Iranian preparations to attack US forces or interests.
Rear Admiral Michael Gilday, the director of the Joint Staff, on Friday described US intelligence portraying a new Iranian "campaign" that used old tactics, and stretched from Iraq to Yemen to the waters in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime choke-point for the global oil trade.

Additional Reading: Here 

“Right now, I don’t think Iran wants to fight. And I certainly don’t think they want to fight with us,” Trump said.
“But they cannot have nuclear weapons,” he continued. “They can’t have nuclear weapons. And they understand that.”

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Who's Stoking War Tensions Between Turkey and Russia?

Think about how disturbed the US is with Turkey's purchase of the s-400. The pipeline deals. Banking/trade deals. All made between Turkey and Russia. The threat to NATO's stability... since Turkey and Russia have been working together. This subject was broached in today's earlier post:

The Day After the S-400: Turkish American Relations Worsen

Then consider what party/ies wants.... needs, Turkey and Russia to be at odds with one another...

"it appears that HTS is seeking to provoke the Syrian regime and Russia into a larger attack with the hopes that Russia and Turkey might end up in a conflict. This is a complex and dangerous game. Turkey has announced numerous times recently that it is acquiring the S-400 air defense system from Russia. Most recently, Turkish personnel were supposed to begin training. At the same time, the US is seeking to keep Turkey as an ally through various threats and rewards, but angry that Ankara is buying the S-400 from Russia. There are hints that US President Donald Trump will speak with Turkey’s president soon. Idlib rebel groups and extremists would like to spoil the Turkey-Russia deal. It’s not clear what they think of the Turkey-US relationship.
 
Russian media may also be playing this up to send a message to Turkey that it needs to rein in the rebels and stop the rockets. In that case, Russia is also making it clear that the Idlib tensions need to be reduced. It is incumbent on Turkey to do more to prevent the groups in Idlib from targeting Russian forces. However, Russia also has a key role to play to prevent the Syrian regime from its recent attacks on Idlib. The Syrian regime’s agenda is also to prevent Turkey from entrenching itself forever in northern Syria. With Russia-Turkey ties increasing over the S-400 deal and energy deals, both Ankara and Moscow do not want war in Syria.
Which begs the questions.. who does want war in Syria?
What party/ies have always wanted Syria balkanized?
Who wants Russia and Turkey at odds with one another?
Who stands to lose large if Russian and Turkish ties grow stronger and deeper?


The Day After the S-400: Turkish American Relations Worsen

The Day After S-400: The Turkish-American Relationship Will Get Worse



For the geo political minded. Excerpts from a large, but interesting article.
"For the 500 or so days since Turkey and Russia signed an agreement for the acquisition and eventual deployment of the Russian S-400 air and missile system, the United States has sought to convince Turkey to back out. The United States is concerned that the Russian-made S-400 will collect valuable electronic intelligence about F-35, the American-made fighter jet Turkey is slated to receive in November. Talks between Washington and Ankara have taken place at the presidential level, amongst different elements of the civilian bureaucracy, between the two militaries, and at the parliamentary level — with no success. At this point, the United States needs to start planning for the day after the first S-400 is delivered. This exercise should inform U.S. thinking about how to plan around an increasingly recalcitrant Turkey and prepare for a future in which Ankara remains a NATO member, but one that operates an advanced Russian system that could help Russia glean useful data about the alliance’s air operations. Turkey risks legacy and current U.S.-Turkish defense co-production and development programs if it continues to deepen defense cooperation with Russia. For the United States, the situation is less bleak — in fact, searching for alternatives to Turkish military assets provide some strategic opportunities in Eastern Europe and the Middle East. Still, working around Turkey will be financially and politically costly for NATO. The deepest, most intractable problem is what the dustup reveals about Turkey’s lack of commitment to the core NATO tenets of interoperability, burden-sharing and collective defense — an outcome that weakens the entirety of the alliance, including the United States......
Deepening Turkish-Russian Defense Ties
Since the late 1970s, in procurement negotiations with Western aerospace firms, the Turkish government has prioritized co-producing and developing defense equipment in Turkey. In the case of S-400, Ankara departed from this historical norm and agreed to weaker co-production terms than it had previously demanded of firms in the United States and Europe. This is disconcerting, but could actually help shield legacy U.S.-Turkish defense cooperation from being negatively impacted by the deal with Russia. However, if Ankara were to actually reach agreement for the co-production of combat aircraft, like the Russian Su-57, as the foreign and defense ministers have hinted is being discussed, things could get worse. Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu has underscored a willingness to explore deeper ties with Russia. In an interview with Turkey’s NTV that “if the F-35s don’t work out, I will again have to procure the jets I need from elsewhere … There are [Russian] SU-34, SU-57 and others. I will absolutely meet my needs from somewhere until I can produce it myself.”

Sergei Chemezov, the CEO of Russia’s Rostec Corporation, has suggested that his firm would consider a request from Turkey “about the production localization or technology transfer” for the Su-57 jet. Chemezov also added that Moscow would consider working with Turkey on S-500, a surface to air missile still under development in Russia, and which President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has cited as missile Turkey intends to “co-produce with Russia.” Moscow has an incentive to hold key technology back, owing to Turkey’s membership in NATO and legitimate concerns that the United States could exploit Russian-origin technology in Turkey.....

 ....if the two sides were to reach an arrangement similar to the now-defunct Russian-Indian partnership for the production of an Su-57 variant that involves Turkish aerospace firms, the risk to U.S.-Turkish defense programs will grow more acute. Specifically, If Ankara were to reach agreement with Russia to co-produce components of either of these systems, the United States could decide that Russia could gain access to U.S. origin defense equipment, resulting in the revocation of licenses for U.S.-controlled technology.

All of this matters for the United States. Independent of the bilateral tensions, Washington has a very strong interest in each NATO member having a strong military, capable of working closely with the United States. But a weakened Turkey, faced with American sanctions, could choose to deepen its reliance on Russia. This outcome will benefit Russia, but at this point, Moscow is playing with house money because of Ankara’s initial decision to purchase the S-400.
America’s Options: NATO’s New Eastern Flank
Beyond the risk to legacy defense cooperation, the United States will soon have to contend with how to plan NATO training exercises if it can’t trust Turkey to protect the F-35. The first and most tangible outcome may require moving the F-35 engine maintenance facility from Eskisehir, Turkey, to the Netherlands. As part of Turkey’s participation in the F-35 consortium, it is currently slated to serve as Europe’s primary engine maintenance hub. This is certain to change, given the concerns about flying allied F-35s in and out of S-400-patrolled Turkish airspace. Second, in any future NATO air exercise in Turkey, NATO countries could simply choose not to send F-35 for joint training.

It would be imprudent not to expect Ankara to take some retaliatory measures, most likely aimed at aspects of the U.S.-Turkish defense relationship. Retaliating in this fashion is complicated because of Turkey’s NATO membership and the terms in the Defense and Economic Cooperation Agreement (DECA). The agreement limits U.S. military activities in and from Turkish military bases to NATO-related missions, meaning the Turkish government must approve any so-called “out of area” missions. In theory, Turkey could retaliate against the withholding of F-35 by preventing the United States from using Turkish territory for combat operations in the Middle East. This reaction would ensure that Turkey’s role within NATO remains intact, but also that the United States feels some pain for the forthcoming sanctions.
This would mean Turkey would still host an American operated TPY/2 radar because it supports NATO’s effort to field ballistic missile defense to protect European populations from missile attack. The radar provides early warning and discrimination data for the two Aegis ashore missile defense sites at Romania’s Deveselu Air Force Base and Poland’s Redzikowo Air Force Base. These two bases also provide the United States with options to work around Turkey. Romania and Poland are two countries that would welcome an increased U.S. presence. The United States should consider increasing funding to support American and NATO air operations from the Polish and Romanian air bases."
NATO's eastern flank has been discussed here previously- It has the convenient aspect of working to keep Russia in check


Going back to 2014: US Paratroopers go to Poland & Poland Largest Nation on NATO Frontline

 "Both Poland and Turkey are frontier NATO states, with Poland being described as “the largest and most important NATO frontline state in terms of military, political and economic power.” These two geostrategic states also have an overwhelming population when compared to their neighbors, as well as national inferiority complexes stemming from their lost imperial legacies (the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth and the Ottoman Empire). They share a significant land border with the states targeted for a ‘democratic transition’, as well as important cultural and political connections with those societies (as a result of the aforementioned imperial legacies)"
 2018: NATO Needs a Strategy for Countering Russia in the Arctic and the Black Sea
Eastern Flank con't:
"This move would increase U.S. basing options in Europe, while using the Russian entente with Turkey as an opportunity to increase NATO presence along the alliance’s eastern periphery. In essence, Washington could flip the script and use Russia’s outreach to Turkey to its advantage, deepening its presence in eastern Europe and reminding Moscow of American capabilities at the edges of Russian territory....."
Greece- An alternative to Turkey
Readers have certainly been informed of this possibility!

Recently: One and Two  reports on the topic
"Greece could emerge as another attractive candidate. One option is Andravida Air Force Base, which hosts the INIOHOS multinational exercise involving aircraft from Cyprus, Italy, Israel, and the United Arab Emirate, alongside the Hellenic and American Air Forces. A second option is increasing the U.S. footprint at Larissa Air Base. The Air Base currently hosts U.S. drones, as their permanent base in Africa undergoes repairs. Moreover, according to the local Greek Daily, Kathimerini, there are talks to base KC-135 tankers at Larissa. A U.S. presence at either Air Base would offer increased protection from long-range Russian missiles, while also increasing the U.S. footprint in the Mediterranean NATO member."

Tuesday, May 21, 2019

U.S. Says Signs Syria May Be Using Chemical Weapons- Response Will Be Quick

Reuters UK
The United States sees signs the Syrian government may be using chemical weapons, including an alleged chlorine attack on Sunday in northwest Syria, the State Department said on Tuesday, warning that Washington and its allies would respond “quickly and appropriately” if this were proven.
“Unfortunately, we continue to see signs that the Assad regime may be renewing its use of chemical weapons, including an alleged chlorine attack in northwest Syria on the morning of May 19,” State Department spokeswoman Morgan Ortagus said in a statement.
“We are still gathering information on this incident, but we repeat our warning that if the Assad regime uses chemical weapons, the United States and our allies will respond quickly and appropriately,” she said.
The State Department statement accused Russia and Assad’s forces of “a continuing disinformation campaign ... to create the false narrative that others are to blame for chemical weapons attacks.” 

This claim is certainly making the rounds:
  1. Daily Mail: Trump Admin Warns Assad Gov 
  2.  CNN
The US State Department issued a warning to the government of Bashar al-Assad in Syria on Tuesday, saying the US is closely watching the regime's military operations against a rebel enclave in northwest Syria and is looking into allegations that Assad's troops have used chemical weapons in recent days.
"Watching the regime's military operations" that is an interesting claim. 
Since I noticed there was little to no western media coverage reporting on the fact that a ceasefire had been declared. Days ago.

 Sputnik

Terrorists in Syria are planning chemical attacks in the Idlib deescalation zone, as well as in the west of the Aleppo province, the head of the Russian center for Syrian reconciliation said on Tuesday.

"The militants plan to stage such provocations in the village of Jarjanaz, as well as in the town of Saraqib, where a group of children and adults — refugees from the southern provinces of Syria — have already been gathered.
Similar preparations are underway in the west of Aleppo province", Maj. Gen. Viktor Kupchishin said at a daily briefing.

Two shells are  reported to have landed in Aleppo

 Two shells fall in the centre of the Syrian city of Aleppo, Reuters reported citing Syria’s Ikhbariya television.

 Gotta say I'm getting that feeling the US and friends are looking for an excuse. Any excuse.
What will tomorrow bring?

Monday, May 20, 2019

Russian Ceasefire Likely Affords Temporary Delay in Idlib

   Agreed that this ceasefire is temporary- It looks, from where I'm sitting on the other side of the world, that SAA got done what it needed to do for now. Meanwhile Turkey and Russia negotiate..
See the earlier post from today.
 Janes

I'm underlining and have placed an * beside the points that seem valid:
 Janes-*The Russian Ministry of Defence unilaterally announced a ceasefire in the opposition-held Idlib pocket on 19 May.
Previously- Syria: Army Declares Unilateral Ceasefire- Israel attacks. Again
 Previously- Turkey and Russia Negotiate to Reach a Ceasefire: Idlib/Syria
Janes: *This followed a limited advance by government forces into northern Hama province in recent weeks, in which the government captured the town of Kafr Nabouda and neighbouring villages, reportedly displacing around 150,000 civilians.

   *The Syrian government's military objective in Idlib is most likely to recapture the M4 and M5 highways and the Sahl al-Ghab valley.
*The Syrian government does not have the military capacity to retake and hold all remaining opposition-held territories in northwestern Syria in a conventional operation.
It is instead likely to rely on the indiscriminate use of airstrikes, artillery, and potentially chlorine, to drive out the civilian population and stoke up a catastrophic humanitarian crisis that will make it increasingly difficult for the opposition to hold ground and ultimately force the opposition and its sponsor  (I do think that) Turkey (is) into negotiating a political settlement on the Syrian government's (and Russia's) terms. (Terms that all three parties will agree to and comply with)
*Offensive ground operations by the Syrian government will most likely focus on capturing areas of strategic value, such as the M4 and M5 highways, which connect Syria's economic capital of Aleppo to Latakia and Homs, and the fertile agricultural land of the Sahl al-Ghab valley.

   * The progress of military action in Idlib is partially dependent on ongoing negotiations between Turkey and Russia over other regional issues.
As critical military sponsors of the Syrian government and armed opposition, respectively, *Russia and Turkey are likely to use their influence over the conflict in Idlib to strengthen their respective negotiating positions on other regional issues, such as the fate of Kurdish-held northeastern Syria, and Turkey's acquisition of Russia's S-400 surface-to-air missile system.
*The success of any Syrian government offensive into Idlib relies on Russian approval and air support. Russia is likely to enable and, if necessary, halt the progress of the government's offensive in line with Turkey's willingness or ability to accede to Russian demands on other issues.
 There's been a whole lot of coverage here on Hama/Idlib, recently. Syria and all that it entails have been a core topic at this blog since 2011.

Related:

  1. Syria: Blow by Blow 4- Hama to Idlib

  2. US Backed Kurds Kill Protestors- Idlib/Hama Update

  3. "Russia and Turkey landgrab 'behind fresh Syria bombardment' "

  4. Syria: Blow by Blow 3- Idlib, Opening Highways/Taking Higher Ground?
  5. Syria: Blow by Blow Updated

  6. Syria: Blow by Blow

Assad: We Met With Hakan Fidan In Tehran & Ready to Meet With Erdogan

I've zero doubt that Syrian intelligence has met with Turkish intelligence. 
And continues to meet with them. It only makes sense that there is communication.

Link

President Bashar al-Assad has revealed that a Syrian delegation met with the head of Turkish intelligence, Hakan Fidan, in the Iranian capital Tehran, and held another meeting at the Kassab border crossing, and expressed his readiness to meet Erdogan.

Assad added that, “the Turkish officers are more understanding about what is happening in our country than Turkish politicians. There are major differences regarding Syria in Erdogan’s government.”

This came during statements Assad made to a Turkish journalist, Mehmet Yuva, from the Aydinlik newspaper, saying: “We are open to cooperating with Turkey … and if it is in Syria’s interests and does not encroach on its sovereignty, we can meet Erdogan.”

Assad held a closed meeting with representatives of official and private media on May 8, 2019, responding to journalists’ questions about all local and regional issues.
For his article, Yuva used the headline: “Paranoia… will a meeting be held between Assad and Erdogan?” He wrote that Assad said that “Turkey is an important country in the region and the Syrian government is ready to cooperate with them.”
In discussing the meeting between the two countries, Assad stressed that, “we are not just negotiating with Turkey through Russia and Iran. Turkish and Syrian officers have discussed a number of points.”
It's been suggested here on many an occasion that Syria negotiates with Turkey through Russia. And vice versa.
Assad revealed that, “The most important of these negotiations were at the Kassab border crossing between the Turkish province of Hatay and the Syrian province of Latakia.”

Assad and delegation were  in Tehran Feb. 25/2019 "Rare trip abroad"


 

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad met Iranian officials in his first visit to the Islamic Republic since the start of the Syrian conflict, Syrian state media reported. 
Assad met Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Hassan Rouhani on his first trip to Iran since the war erupted nearly eight years ago. Assad has only ventured outside his war-ravaged nation twice since the conflict began, both times to Russia.


Turkish Defence Minister Hulusi Akar and his Russian counterpart Sergei Shoigu spoke on Monday about reducing tensions in northern Syria's Idlib, the last major rebel enclave in the country.

"MoD Akar discussed over the phone with his Russian counterpart Shoigu regional security issues, especially the latest developments in Syria’s Idlib province and measures to be taken to reduce the tension in the area, within the scope of the Sochi agreement," the Turkish Ministry of Defence said in a tweet on Monday.

MoD Akar discussed over the phone with his Russian counterpart Shoigu regional security issues, especially the latest developments in Syria’s Idlib province and measures to be taken to reduce the tension in the area, within the scope of the Sochi agreement. pic.twitter.com/ngI9H8T7p2
    — T.C. Millî Savunma Bakanligi (@tcsavunma) 20 Mayis 2019
 

Sunday, May 19, 2019

Syria: Army Declares Unilateral Ceasefire- Israel attacks. Again.

Continuing with coverage of Hama/Idlib. From yesterday: Turkey and Russia Negotiate to Reach a Ceasefire: Idlib/Syria

Link
Russia says Syrian government forces have unilaterally ceased fire in the northern Idlib province, the last major rebel stronghold.
Fighting erupted in Idlib late last month, effectively shattering a cease-fire negotiated by Russia and Turkey that had been in place since September. Russia has firmly backed President Bashar Assad's government in the eight-year civil war, while Turkey has supported the opposition.
In a brief statement on Sunday, the Russian Defense Ministry's Center for Reconciliation of the Warring Sides in Syria said government forces had ceased fire as of midnight. It described the move as unilateral, but did not give details.
Link
The centre continued by saying that the Syrian Army unilaterally ceased fire in Idlib starting from May 18.
"Starting from midnight [21:00 GMT on Friday], the Armed Forces of the Syrian Arab Republic unilaterally ceased fire in the Idlib de-escalation zone. At the same time, the shelling of the government forces' positions and civilian population in the provinces of Hama, Latakia and Aleppo by militants continue", the center said in a statement.

Doesn't mean the situation won't heat up in Idlib again. It just means for now SAA has taken the strategic ground they've needed to take- with coordination from Turkey (removing their rebels) And they are going to hold that area. 

If you've not been following along?
"For Russia and the Syrian regime, Turkish advances have been characterized by land swaps. This process began with the Olive Branch operation, when Turkey’s takeover of Afrin was accompanied by a Syrian military advance toward the former Hijaz railway in Aleppo Governorate. These swaps have not introduced any procedure for withdrawals, so that each side has been left on its respective battlefield."
  1. Syria: Blow by Blow 4- Hama to Idlib

  2. US Backed Kurds Kill Protestors- Idlib/Hama Update

  3. "Russia and Turkey landgrab 'behind fresh Syria bombardment' "

  4.  May 07/2019: Syria: Blow by Blow 3- Idlib, Opening Highways/Taking Higher Ground?
Included personal observations/thoughts as to what was occurring:

Appears a very targeted operation is going on at this moment.

I'm thinking a limited operation to take back specific territory.  

5- Syria: Blow by Blow Updated

6- Syria: Blow by Blow



Lastly: Israel did attack Syria. Again. Twice in 24 hours:
Link

Syria claimed its air defenses on Saturday night shot down a number of missiles fired from Israel, for the second time in less than 24 hours.
The official SANA news agency said the military intercepted “hostile targets coming from direction of occupied territories.” Syrian state TV said the missiles were shot down over Quneitra and near Damascus.
Link 

The report comes less than 24 hours after the Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA) said that Syrian air defence systems shot down a number of "luminous objects" launched from "occupied territories."
On Saturday, Syrian air defences fired at projectiles that were launched from Israeli-controlled areas into southern Syria, according to state media. The SANA correspondent reported from Quneitra Province that the "objects" were dealt with from the ground.
Meanwhile, videos of bright spots in the night, with the caption saying that Syrian air defences fired at targets coming from Israel, were published online. 
​This comes as on late Friday SANA reported that Syria repelled an attack by "luminous" objects launched from Israel and shot down a "number of them". The Ikhbariya broadcaster reported that the projectiles were fired from the "occupied territories," referring to Israel, but didn't specified the exact launch location.

Read more here: https://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/nation-world/world/article230585394.html#storylink=cpy

Saturday, May 18, 2019

Turkey and Russia Negotiate to Reach a Ceasefire: Idlib/Syria

Very early reports that a cease fire is being negotiated and possibly a truce of sorts is already in place. Yes, I'll be looking for more information and updating as soon as possible!
Continuing to follow the situation in Syria:

Syrian Situation Report: Israeli Airstrikes? (Breaking) Hama/Idlib

Link
Negotiations between Russia and Turkey are being conducted as to reach a ceasefire in Idlib governorate, 10 days from the start of the Assad forces’ military campaign in the area.

On Saturday, May 18, Abu Subbhi Nahass, the Head of the Political Office of the “National Front for Liberation” (NFL), said that there are negotiations between the Russians and the Turks as to reach a ceasefire in Idlib, at Russia’s request.

Nahass also told Enab Baladi that the negotiations are yet ongoing and nothing new has taken place.

Providing the details of the negotiation process, the official said that the Russian side demanded a ceasefire in Idlib, on the condition that Assad forces stay in the positions they controlled in western rural Hama in the past a few days.

Turkey approved the ceasefire. However, it stipulated that the Syrian regime withdraws from the areas it advanced to.

According to Nahass, Turkey presented the suggestion to the NFL factions, which they refused unless the regime retracts.

Neither the Syrian regime nor Russia has released any official statements on the ceasefire negotiations.

“A ceasefire was held on the fronts of Idlib and the rural parts of Hama and Latakia for 72 hours,” the Russian news agency Sputnik quoted a field officer of the Assad forces.

The field officer did not provide further details on the ceasefire, its reasons or how it was reached.

Through the generalization of the ceasefire, the Syrian regime, according to Abu Subbhi Nahass, wants to impose pressure on the factions depending on the popular incubator in Idlib.

“The factions agree on the ceasefire on the condition that the regime retreats from the towns and villages it occupied,” he said.

Enab Baladi correspondent for rural Hama reported that the Assad forces’ attacks on areas in rural Hama and the southern rural parts of Idlib have halted after midnight at Syria’s local time.

Quoting troops of the Free Syrian Army (FSA), the correspondent said that the area’s observatory posts have intercepted recordings of Assad forces’, they made through handheld transceivers. The recordings spoke of a ceasefire in Idlib governorate and the Hama countryside.

He said that the Assad forces started deploying Hesco bastions and fortifying the posts they have lately took over in northern rural Hama, which corresponded to the talks about the ceasefire.

In a WhatsApp voice note that reached Enab Baladi, Jaber Ali Basha, the Commander of the Harakat Ahrar al-Sham al-Islamiyya, said that the Russians have urgently called for an overall ceasefire, 12 days from the beginning of the military campaign, through which they realized no territorial achievements.

He added that the Russians have stipulated that they stay in the areas they entered, and “they have made their offer through the neighbors.”

“NFL’s reaction was clear and firm, a refusal of any ceasefire unless the sectarian militias retract from the towns and the villages they have occupied. Otherwise, we would go on with our battle,” the commander pointed out.

In the past 13 days, Assad forces managed to have control over several areas, taking them from the opposition factions in rural Hama. On top of these areas are the towns of Kafr Nabudah and Qalaat Al-Madiq, as far as the town of Al-Hwaiz, in al-Ghab Plain.

Despite their progress, Assad forces were massively repelled by the opposition factions that chose to deploy anti-armor missiles as to obstruct vehicles and tanks.

On September 17, 2018, Turkey and Russia concluded a deal in the city of Sochi, providing for the establishment of a demilitarized zone between the opposition-held areas and those controlled by the Syrian regime in Idlib.

The zone is 15 kilometers deep in Idlib and 20 kilometers in al-Ghab Plain, western rural Hama, from where the radical factions must withdraw.
Link
- A 72-hour temporary ceasefire has been declared in Northern Syria after the Syrian Army made rapid advances in terrorists' key military bases in the region, media reports said.

The Arabic-language version of the Russian Sputnik News Agency quoted a battlefield commander as saying that truce has been announced in battlefronts of Idlib, Hama and Lattakia for the next three days.

However, no further details of the reasons and the manner of implementing the truce have been announced.

In the meantime, the Syrian Army troops warded off attacks by Tahrir al-Sham al-Hay'at (the Levant Liberation Board or the Al-Nusra Front) terrorists on the towns of al-Masaseneh, al-Sahrieh and al-Amiqeh in Northwestern Hama, forcing them to retreat after killing a large number of the militants.

Meanwhile, the Syrian Army took full control of most vital military bases in Northern Hama after inflicting heavy losses on a large number of battlefield commanders.

In a relevant development on Thursday, the Syrian Army's fresh soldiers and military equipment arrived in Lattakia to capture a strategic region as other units of the army are in operation in the Northeastern part of the province.

The Syrian Army has recently dispatched a large number of its special forces together with military hardware to Kabane region in Northeastern Lattakia.

The Syrian Army plans to impose control over the Strategic Kabane region. The army's artillery units have pounded the military positions of Tahrir al-Sham al-Hay'at in Kabane region and its surrounding hilltops over the past two days, destroying several of their positions and tunnels.

Meantime, sources said that the Syrian Army's artillery and missile units hit hard the battlefronts of Tahrir al-Sham stretched from Sahl al-Ghab to Northeastern Lattakia, inflicting heavy losses on the terrorists.

Friday, May 17, 2019

Syrian Situation Report: Israeli Airstrikes? (Breaking) Hama/Idlib

Breaking!!
1. Israeli Strikes Syria- Syria Intercepts.

Quneitra, SANA – The Syrian Arab Army’s aerial defenses on Friday night intercepted hostile targets coming from the direction of Quneitra.

A military source told SANA that aerial defenses detected hostile targets coming from the direction of Quneitra and intercepted them.

Earlier, SANA’s reporter said that aerial defenses targeted luminous objects coming from the occupied territories, shooting down a number of them.
Link 

Loud blasts echoed across Damascus late on Friday, residents said, as Syrian state media reported “enemy targets” coming from the direction of Israel, which has previously acknowledged conducting repeated strikes inside Syria.

Syrian air defenses detected objects coming from the direction of “occupied territory” and brought down several, Syrian state television reported a military source as saying.

The state television channel showed footage of the night sky with a point of light firing up into it and the sound of shooting. It did not immediately report casualties or material damage.
Airstrikes? Will need more info. Surely Syria is on hair trigger

More News:


2. UN Security Council Meeting Today

UNITED NATIONS: The UN Security Council will meet Friday to discuss the escalation of fighting in Syria's northwestern region of Idlib, where hospitals and schools have been hit by strikes, diplomats said.

Belgium, Germany and Kuwait requested the meeting that will be held behind closed doors at 10 am (1400 GMT) on Friday, they said.

3. Turkey and Russia Working Group Convenes Today in Ankara- Met yesterday as well!

"A working group on Syria established by Russia and Turkey convened in Ankara on May 16-17 to discuss latest situation in Idlib and other regional issues, said a statement by Turkish Defense Ministry.

The two countries decided to form the working group after their presidents spoke on the phone on Tuesday in a bid to bring calm to recent escalation in Syria's Idlib within the context of Astana and Sochi Agreements"
3 (a) Report from the other day regarding the creation of this Russian/Turkish working group
"President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin have agreed that a working group on Syria’s northwestern province Idlib should convene as soon as possible, Turkey’s Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu said on May 15.
There are no direct attacks against Turkish military observation posts in Idlib at the moment, but Ankara has its concerns, he added.
Following a phone call between Erdoğan and Putin on May 13, Defense Minister Hulusi Akar and his Russian counterpart discussed ways to reduce tension in Idlib on May 14"
*Related:  A Quagmire in the Making? Turkey to Move East in Syria?

*Related from 2018: Firas Tlass: SAA Will Invade Idleb with Russian and Turkish Help


Son of Mustafa Tlass talking about a future (no date)  move on Idlib and how it would play out

4. US prepares new pressure campaign on Assad

A senior State Department official told Al-Monitor that the Trump administration plans to intensify political and economic pressure on Syria in the coming months to compel the Bashar al-Assad government to “see reality and make concessions” regarding the stalled UN-backed peace process.
The remarks come as a bipartisan study group of experts and former policymakers commissioned by Congress shared similar recommendations with lawmakers earlier this month even as it tacitly acknowledged the long odds of success.
“Assad is unwilling to compromise and intends to retake all of Syria,” the Syria Study Group wrote in an interim report obtained by Politico.
Have a look at the report (pdf)
The report then goes on to list key recommendations including “continu[ing] to isolate the Assad regime through sanctions, diplomatic pressure, and denial of reconstruction aid.”
The pressure campaign comes as Assad’s forces are stepping up their offensive against the last rebel-held province of Idlib, which is largely under the control of al-Qaeda breakaway group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. Meanwhile, talks on Syria’s political future are being led by Russia, Iran and Turkey, with the US-backed peace process called for under UN Security Council Resolution 2254 largely sidelined.
 5. Deir Ezzor province is without oil products … How does this relate to the Coalition?
 see: US Pressure Campaign. Number 4 above
The areas controlled by the Assad regime are suffering from a severe fuel crisis in Deir Ezzor province, eastern Syria, where unexpectedly gasoline was unavailable in the markets.
Local source in Al-Mayadeen city who requested to remain unnamed told D24 network that there is no fuel in the gas stations in Al-Mayadeen and Deir Ezzor city, and that people have to stand for long hours in order to get fuel.
The source pointed out that there is not much choice for the people to get their need of the oil products, noting that the Assad regime militias and intelligence branches can get fuel easily and directly, while people who have no connections can’t get it.
The fuel crisis in the Assad areas came as a result of the actions taken by the international Coalition in the east of the Euphrates, as it expelled the companies which were working with the Assad regime and facilitating the process of exporting the crude oil and petroleum products to its areas of control in the west of the Euphrates.
More recently the international coalition has sought to prevent the oil flow to the Assad areas, as part of a new policy followed by the international Coalition to impose an economic blockade on the Assad regime.

Regionally speaking...

Interesting news you may have missed.. 


U.S. terminates Turkey's preferential trade agreement.... Economic warfare continues

 While reducing steel tariffs back to the level they were before the Brunson affair, when Trump doubled the tariff’s to pressure Turkey.

Reuters.com
"WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States on Thursday terminated Turkey’s preferential trade treatment that allowed some exports to enter the country duty free, but it has halved its tariffs on imports of Turkish steel to 25%.

The U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) in early March said Turkey was no longer eligible to participate because it “is sufficiently economically developed.” It had begun reviewing the NATO ally’s status in the program last August when the two countries were embroiled in a diplomatic row.

During last year’s spat, Trump had imposed higher tariffs on imports of Turkish steel and aluminum to put economic pressure on NATO member Turkey to force it to release Andrew Brunson, an American pastor who was detained there over terrorism charges. Brunson was released last October.

Trump’s move had sent the Turkish lira into a tailspin. Since then, the ties between the two countries have remained tense over disagreements ranging from Ankara’s planned purchase of a Russian missile system to diverging interests in Syria.

In a subsequent statement on Thursday, the White House said it was reducing the 50% tariff, doubled last August, to 25%."
Reuters, again:
"The lira has weakened as much as 15 percent further this year, partly from concerns about a re-run of the Istanbul mayoral election and the risk of U.S. sanctions. It fell again on Friday after the latest U.S. moves.

“The U.S. decisions were negatively priced, but the decisions do not have a clear economic impact,” said a treasury desk trader at one bank. “Markets will monitor political statements regarding relations between the two countries, given the risks that they have recently entailed.”

Ties between Ankara and Washington remain tense over disagreements ranging from Turkey’s planned purchase of a Russian S-400 missile defence system, which could trigger sanctions, to diverging interests in Syria.  
U.S. officials say Turkey’s planned purchase of the S-400s would jeopardise its role in building F-35 fighter jets as well as its purchase of the aircraft, which Washington says would be compromised by the Russian system.

Turkey wants the United States to extradite Fethullah Gulen, a Pennsylvania-based Muslim cleric who Turkish authorities say masterminded the 2016 coup attempt against Erdogan in which 250 people were killed. Gulen denies the allegation"

US Sanctions Turkey Over the arrest of CIA Pastor Brunson

Thursday, May 16, 2019

Oops. Another Glacier Prediction Bites the Dust

Smithsonian
"New satellite data shows that oddly, the Jakobshavn Glacier has actually grown thicker in recent years, after decades of discharging tons of ice into the ocean"
Yup, the Jakobshavn Glacier has grown thicker in recent years. Not one year. Years. As in multiple years...
"But a funny thing began occurring in 2013: the Jakobshavn’s ice front stopped thinning and instead began thickening and the trend continued through 2017, according to the European Space Agency, which monitors the glacier with various satellites as part of its Climate Change Initiative. That means the glacier is now flowing more slowly and is no longer retreating inland."
"Funny thing" that glacier thickening beginning in 2013 and continuing through to 2017
“It’s a complete reversal in behavior and it wasn’t predicted,” study leader Anna Hogg from Leeds University and the UK Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, tells Amos. “The question now is: what’s next for Jakobshavn? Is this just a pause, or is it a switch-off of the dynamic thinning we’ve seen previously?”
 

"Funny thing" that reversal in behaviour not being "predicted"? 

Does that mean the information for the computer models used to "predict" the opposite occurring was bad? Misleading? Agenda Pushing? Fraudulent?
“In recent years, however, temperature measurements show that ocean water in Disko Bay has experienced a series of cooler years more than one degree lower than mean temperature previously observed"
So, the OCEAN water (lots of water and salty too) is more then 1 degree cooler (Celsius) and has been for several years.


Huh! And Bill Nye the "science guy"actor said the planet was on fire....

Who's an 'idiot'?
"Hogg tells Amos at the BBC. “All this is a reminder of how unpredictable glaciers can be. We didn't predict this change in behavior, and if Jakobshavn does start thinning and retreating again—we can’t predict when that will happen"

Speaking of cool weather in Niagara... Though, thankfully, today looks to be seasonal
 Meteorologist making ‘no promises’ that seasonal weather will arrive soon
Environment Canada meteorologist Peter Kimbell is making "no promises" that warm, drier weather is on its way — but says temperatures could rise by the weekend to a "pleasant" level.

So far, the average temperature in May calculated in Welland is 10.3 C. In Vineland, the median temperature this month has been 8.8 C, he said.

"Bottom line — Niagara has been cool — and it has been wet," he said.

The average amount of rain registered in recent years at the Vineland measuring station for the entire month of May is 92 millimetres. From May 1 to May 15 this year, 76 millimetres of rain fell.
In Welland, 68 millimetres have been tallied — on pace to significantly surpass the monthly average of 85 millimetres.
"There's been a cool air mass parked over eastern Canada for quite some time — and it doesn't seem to want to move out," he said.

Gee, I guess the planet is not on fire fake science guy!
Rather a vast swathe of it is cold and wet. Downright soggy with well below normal temps...  
And a big glacier is actually thickening. 
Put your torch down Bill, it's a good prop, to make a really big show.  But we don't need any more showboating!

It should be stated: Bill Nye (fake science guy) actor  said climate change "deniers" are older people and the believers have to wait until us older folk die out..
Courtesy of Yaya:
Bill Nye Feels Threatened by Old People
From Wikipedia:
  • In July 2017, Nye observed that the majority of climate change deniers are older people, and stated, "so we're just going to have to wait for those people to 'age out'...".
 I know why he wants me gone; it's because I have memoriesMemories of hot-hot summers -- 99 in the shade was a brag instead of a moan (we had our own outdoor thermometers) -- and other summers we thought would never warm up; then longer, colder winters, higher snow banks; then rainy winters that ruined Christmas.
 To which I replied:

5/16/2019 07:58:29 am
Hey Yaya: I agree that Bill Nye and other carbon propagandists dislike those in the 'older' age group-
those that remember, like yourself.
and me
Then for myself and hubby because we garden and spend time outdoors daily we become more painfully aware of the weather aka climate-

So it's much easier to target youth with propaganda because their memories are so limited in time span,
then considering the fact that the vast majority of them spend little time outdoors (thanks to social media) that most of them have no physical memories of being out doors- but I do. From when I was young and to this day.

The blizzard of 77? Been there. Done that.
Ice Caves on Lake Erie. Been there, done that.
Lower great lake levels and warmer summers from about lets say 18 years or so ago- Yup, I recall them.
That's the weather for ya!

Wednesday, May 15, 2019

A Quagmire in the Making? Turkey to Move East in Syria?

 Previously discussed has been this idea of the Adana Agreement being in play, present time, in Syria. I've read claims that allege Turkey is sending slews of fighters to block SAA in the Hama/Idlib area. That seems not likely for a number of reasons already mentioned. 
 If we also consider the possibility that Turkey is 'poised to expand' eastward, which would be Adana in action, then it's not likely Turkey is behind any mass movement of fighters towards the region that SAA is retaking. 
 At the same time some are claiming Turkey is behind the flow of fighters heading SAA off, there have been reports that Turkey is removing their fighters from the general area.
 If Turkey is actually going to make a move eastward then it's more sensible they are withdrawing fighters and resources from the area and positioning to make a move east. Taking us back round to Adana.

Carnegie- Middle East Insights

Mohanad Hage Ali
"Turkey is poised to expand its “safe zone” in northern Syria toward regions eastward controlled by the Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). With this goal in sight, Ankara will seek to contain Kurds affiliated with the Kurdistan Workers Party, which Ankara considers a terrorist organization, who are fighting under the banner of the SDF.

Turkey is setting high expectations. Recently, Turkish President Recep Tayyib Erdogan claimed that this expansion would allow for the return home of 4 million Syrian refugees currently residing in Turkey. However, such a swift return is unlikely given the security challenges in the Turkish-dominated region. Failure to fulfill his promises could cost Erdogan politically, as the Turkish leader has faced more organized domestic political opposition recently.

Once it takes place, the move east would represent Turkey’s third military expansion inside Syria—following the Euphrates Shield Operation that began in August 2016 and the Olive Branch Operation that started in January 2018. Expanding the areas under Turkish military control is now officially Ankara’s policy. Turkey has pursued this through a series of understandings with Russia on the one hand, and the United States on the other. For Russia and the Syrian regime, Turkish advances have been characterized by land swaps. This process began with the Olive Branch operation, when Turkey’s takeover of Afrin was accompanied by a Syrian military advance toward the former Hijaz railway in Aleppo Governorate. These swaps have not introduced any procedure for withdrawals, so that each side has been left on its respective battlefield.

Now, it appears that such an arrangement is being replicated. A Turkish-led expansion into Manbij and Tal Rif‘at would see Russian-backed regime forces storm into opposition-controlled territories in Hama and Aleppo Governorates. The details have not been disclosed. However, the Guardian quoted two “senior diplomats” referring to such a quid pro quo, which would see a “limited campaign that gives Russian and Syrian forces a foothold in Idlib, in return for allowing Turkey to deepen its current zone of control further to the east.”
This quid pro quo was discussed in one of my earlier reports regarding the situation present day in Syria

"Expanding the Turkish zone is one thing, but keeping it secure is another. There are two main challenges to stability in the Turkish-dominated zone. The first is the internal divisions and violence among the various militant groups. These are often the result of their coming from different areas of origin, tribal rivalries, or competition over resources. The Euphrates Shield area, which is approximately 2,000 square kilometers, has turned into a melting pot for communities from Homs, Damascus, and Aleppo, among other places, as the vast majority of the zone’s population is made up of refugees. These refugees live in communal clusters, often under the protection of armed groups whose members fled with them. These groups frequently clash with other groups.  
Bombings and firefights are now recurrent in Turkish-controlled areas, which are home to a diverse mix of Turkmen, Arab, and Kurdish communities. Under the umbrella of a so-called “Syrian National Army,” the Turkish authorities have been trying for the past year and a half to build a more coherent force and contain the large number of militias operating in the region. Their divisions can at any time escalate into a wider communal conflict. This occurred last January, when members of Ahrar al-Sharqiyyeh, a militant group whose members hail from Deir Ezzor, killed a Damascene merchant. It quickly led to fighting between the group, and Jaish al-Islam, which in Afrin has claimed to be a protector of refugees from the region of Damascus. Such disarray deprives Ankara of the tools needed to implement a coherent security strategy in the region, one that accompanies its efforts to provide services and an economic framework for the areas under its control.
A second challenge is the growing insurgency in the region, specifically in the Kurdish zones. Kurdish insurgents, often operating under the name of the Afrin Freedom Movement, have launched attacks against Turkish forces deployed in Kurdish areas. Earlier this month they attacked a Turkish military vehicle, killing a soldier and injuring five others. Such attacks have become recurrent. Adding to Turkey’s trouble is the lack of organization among pro-Turkish militias, who often respond to attacks by targeting Kurdish civilians, which further alienates the population.

In parallel to its military efforts, Turkey has been pursuing a holistic cultural and economic policy, further Turkifying the region. Turkish is now taught in schools, alongside Arabic and English, while Turkish post office branches and hospitals, often staffed by Turkish doctors, have been opened across the region. This underlines Ankara’s long-term commitment to maintaining its presence in northern Syria.
As Turkey prepares to widen its “safe zone” again, new challenges will most likely emerge, though not only because of the Kurds. The region’s security void and disarray could potentially create opportunities for other actors—from the Syrian regime to jihadi groups—who are increasingly wary of Turkish policies in Syria and Ankara’s understandings with Russia and the United States."
Thoughts? 

Related:
  1. Syria: Blow by Blow 4- Hama to Idlib

  2. US Backed Kurds Kill Protestors- Idlib/Hama Update

  3. "Russia and Turkey landgrab 'behind fresh Syria bombardment' "

  4. Syria: Blow by Blow 3- Idlib, Opening Highways/Taking Higher Ground?
  5. Syria: Blow by Blow Updated

  6. Syria: Blow by Blow

Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Dr Willie Soon: The Sun Warms-Correlation Between Sun's Energy and Temperatures

hattipin Yaya for leaving the link to this video

Carbon free sugar? Culture creation (think about that an entire cult-ure being created around a sales pitch) via the "climate change" meme?

The climate always changes. When my region was under two miles of ice... it was not man that caused the glaciers to recede.  

The Ice Age





Therefore there had to be some other activities at play.
The sun would come to my mind. Alongside ocean currents.
"Dr. Soon probed the long history in the quest to understand Sun-climate connections. He presents clear evidence of a strong urban heat island effect that contaminates the government temperature data sets. Using a rural temperature data set, he shows strong correlations between the sun's energy and temperatures. The sun's irradiance varies much more than sunspots."

Monday, May 13, 2019

Ontario: Widespread rain, risk of snow on Monday- Where’s the warming?

Ontario: Widespread rain, risk of snow on Monday- Where’s the warming?

It isn’t here. Over all it isn't in the northern hemisphere, either. And, yes, that’s right. Risk of snow in Ontario, Canada, this week Mid may.
"There is a risk for snowflakes Monday morning for some parts of southern Ontario, as temperatures remain below seasonal

Below-seasonal temperatures are widespread across southern Ontario, thanks to easterly winds blowing across Lake Ontario and Lake Erie.
Indeed, easterly winds. I can attest to that. Easterly winds and below seasonal temps. All in all we’ve had a handful of days that have been around the normal “seasonal” temp this entire spring.
Most of southern Ontario is typically around 16°C ( I’d say more typical is 22C) at this time of year, but Windsor through east of the GTA will be up to 10 degrees below seasonal. Meanwhile northern Ontario will enjoy temperatures that are closer to seasonal on Monday and will be 10°C warmer than the GTA. 
 And non stop rain. Last week I turned the furnace down, foolishly. Yesterday, I turned it up because it was so cold and damp in the house it was uncomfortable and yes we were wearing an extra layer of clothing.

LAKE ONTARIO, ERIE FLOODING CONCERNS
Water levels in Lake Ontario have topped 75 metres and are currently sitting at 75.55 m -- about 30 cm shy of the severe flooding levels that swamped the Toronto Islands in 2017.

The body responsible for regulating flow from the lake -- the International Lake Ontario – St. Lawrence River Board -- expects water levels to continue rising until late May or early June, and puts the forecast peak somewhere between 75.65 to 75.95 metres. That would top 2017's record levels by about two centimetres.

"Water levels will continue to rise about a centimetre every single day," warns Weather Network meteorologist Tyler Hamilton.

Yes, the lake levels are up
- Melting snow
- Lots of rain
- No Sunshine to cause evaporation
- No HEAT to cause evaporation

Solar Energy and the Water Cycle

Geofish: How to live with no warmth

The Grand Oscillation is upon us.  That's when the oceans decide to shift all the heat to the Southern Hemisphere, instead of us.  Although you think it is cold now, wait until next year.  Colder and colder is our future.
Look to the right- I've left the post Changes in ocean 'conveyor belt' foretold abrupt climate changes by four centuries  there for a reason.....

Monthly Global Temps- Geofish, again

We have global warming again!  But wait, why does it feel so cold?  Is there a problem here?

Yes, the northern mid-latitudes (us suckers) are down, and it's Spring!

Look at the chart- It's showing Northern mid latitude tempertures very clearly down- and moving downward

"So, what to do, what to do...   This is merely a shift in latitude.  We, in Toronto, will be more like Northern Sweden, and they will be the north pole.  Plant everything in poly tunnels.

Have nice indoor hobbies, like growing magic mushrooms.  Use blue light to wake up in the morning.  Use grow lights for your cannabis.  Laugh at people worried about carbon dioxide.  We can survive this"
Geofish recommends using poly tunnels to garden- This is something we are definitely going to have to consider... because the past several years have brought us a shorter growing season. And this year is looking to be the worst still. Where is the “global warming”? Why hasn’t carbon dioxide warmed us as claimed.? Of course when “global warming” failed to appear the mythos was rebranded to “climate change”. News flash the climate always changes. It would be absolutely absurd to believe anything other then that reality.

Yaya’s been doing some really great reports on the CO2 scam

Sun, not C02, driving "Climate Change"?

One of my favourite links contained within the above report. And there is so much good information to avail oneself of.

PREPRINT: A Fatal Flaw in Global Warming Science

The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) climate theory assumes nature is constant. This assumption forces IPCC’s invalid claim that human emissions have caused all the increase in atmospheric CO2 above 280 ppm. IPCC’s argument to support its failed theory also fails logic because the argument itself assumes nature is constant.

Nature is not a constant. Never has been. Never will be. If one starts with a false premise as a basis of a theory.. All that follows afterwards will be flawed. That's just the way it is

Who are the real friends of science?-Yaya's


Speaking of kids: Friends of Science tells a story about Greta and friends that you're unlikely to readily find in the corporate media, and it answers my question as to who provided those marching kids with their very professional-looking banners. "WDHT - We Don't Have Time" is a booming business:

Greta, Inc. (April 2019):

  • WDHT is half climate campaigner, half tech start-up. Launched on Earth Day, 2018, WDHT soon attracted 435 investors who now own 75% of its stock. WDHT currently claims 718,000 member/followers.
  • Rentzhog’s forte is utilizing all manner of social media to spread messages. Interviewed in a business zine he declared: “our goal is to be the biggest player on the internet.” WDHT sells carbon offsets; provides internet advertising services for sustainable development firms; and prepares climate ratings on businesses and politicians. WDHT’s board includes directors connected to Hewlett-Packard and Microsoft.
Greta and the Green Blob (that's the green of money that supports fake environmentalism which masks tyranny and birth to death control)

 


The fake progressive crowd have no problem with child exploitation when it suits an agenda they believe is their own.

Saturday, May 11, 2019

Syria: Blow by Blow 4- Hama to Idlib

Following up on the earlier post from today:

Turkey’s S-400 & Iranian oil purchase/EU Idiocy/Hama/Idlib

Blow by blow:

1-Syrian army reaches Idlib border
"The Syrian military forces have liberated five settlements in the northwest of Syria from terrorists on Saturday, reaching the administrative border between the provinces of Idlib and Hama, the Al Mayadeen TV channel informed.

According to the channel, the Syrian fighters had managed to destroy a command center and several warehouses belonging to the Jabhat al-Nusra terror group (outlawed in Russia).

It was informed earlier that Syrian troops had thwarted terrorists’ offensive attacks in the north of Hama province, eliminating more than 40 Jabhat al-Nusra members.

The military operation the Syrian army launched on May 6 is aimed at taking control over a highway connecting Hama and Aleppo and ensuring the safety of settlements in the Sahl al-Ghab valley that militants are shelling on a regular basis."
 I'd mentioned earlier this week it looked possible the Adana agreement was at play...

2- Russian-Syrian forces pound Idlib, Turkey shifts attention to Kurdish positions
"The operation in Idlib remains confined to aggressive aerial bombardment, aimed more at breaking moral of the opposition than ejecting it from the Syrian city. That will be the task of the Turkish Army, through an agreement between Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan reached last September.

The Turkish president reverted to his earlier agreement with the Russians, seeking Putin’s support for a limited operation in the Kurdish territories in exchange for cleansing Idlib on Russia’s behalf, both from the Islamic State (ISIS) and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS).
In theory, once the city was “clean,” Syrian government forces would be ushered back into Idlib, under the watchful eye of the Russian Air Force, with implicit approval of the Turks. A Russian-led reconciliation process would follow, like those in East Ghouta and Daraa. Until that happens, the Russians will bomb HTS on Erdogan’s behalf, which is what they have been doing since late April.
The two leaders had worked together in the past on similar agreement. In 2016, Erdogan looked the other way as the Russian Air Force pounded his Syrian proxies in Aleppo. In exchange for letting them retake the city in full, the Russians did nothing to prevent the carving of a Turkish-administered “safe zone” along the borderline, free from any Kurdish presence."
Have long suggested to readers here there has been cooperation between Russia and Turkey for some time now..... It sure looked as if there was coordination in many instances.
"Three years ago, the Turks took control of Jarabulus, Azaz and al-Bab and, in mid-2018, marched on Afrin, west of the Euphrates, also within Russia’s sphere of influence.
A similar scenario is in the making, amid Turkish silence over the attacks on the Idlib-Hama axis. Turkish troops at nearby positions have looked the other way as Russian bombs were dropped on Idlib.
Simultaneously, however, Turkish troops advanced on Tell Rifaat in the Aleppo countryside, where, Erdogan claims, thousands of Kurdish fighters fled from Afrin last year"
Go to the May 04 post: Syria: Blow by Blow
It appears Syria and Russia are working one location. As Turkish backed rebels work another. Moving on Idlib? Limited fighting? Something else? Perhaps cooperative? 
In the spirit of Adana? 
"It has been on Erdogan’s hit list since December, along with Kobane and Ras al-Ayn. The last two were problematic, because of a heavy concentration of US troops but Tell Rifaat was accessible, situated within the Russian zone.

The devil, however, lies in the details. For starters, how will the Kurds of Tell Rifaat respond to the Turkish operation? After their defeat in Afrin, they regrouped and rearmed, making Tell Rifaat far more difficult to overrun than Afrin.
Second, will the Americans stand by and watch their Kurdish allies being exterminated (drama) in Tell Rifaat, as they were defeated in Afrin?
Third, what will be the fate of Turkey’s remaining forces in Idlib, known as the National Liberation Front, once through with their operation against HTS? "
I've never been a big believer in the idea that Turkey supports all the factions in Idlib. 
Some, yes. But not all.
"In the past, armed groups who said no to the Russians were shipped off to Idlib but now, with Idlib poised to return to government control, where will the militants go? There are very few pockets left in Syria that are under control of the armed opposition and those that are will refuse to welcome a contingent from HTS and the Islamic State.
Meaning either the Russians will have to come up with another Idlib or defeat them fully in Idlib itself, something that will probably take a very long time and is easier said than done."

Syrian army reaches Idlib border

More:
http://tass.com/world/1057797