Thursday, May 16, 2019

Oops. Another Glacier Prediction Bites the Dust

Smithsonian
"New satellite data shows that oddly, the Jakobshavn Glacier has actually grown thicker in recent years, after decades of discharging tons of ice into the ocean"
Yup, the Jakobshavn Glacier has grown thicker in recent years. Not one year. Years. As in multiple years...
"But a funny thing began occurring in 2013: the Jakobshavn’s ice front stopped thinning and instead began thickening and the trend continued through 2017, according to the European Space Agency, which monitors the glacier with various satellites as part of its Climate Change Initiative. That means the glacier is now flowing more slowly and is no longer retreating inland."
"Funny thing" that glacier thickening beginning in 2013 and continuing through to 2017
“It’s a complete reversal in behavior and it wasn’t predicted,” study leader Anna Hogg from Leeds University and the UK Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling, tells Amos. “The question now is: what’s next for Jakobshavn? Is this just a pause, or is it a switch-off of the dynamic thinning we’ve seen previously?”
 

"Funny thing" that reversal in behaviour not being "predicted"? 

Does that mean the information for the computer models used to "predict" the opposite occurring was bad? Misleading? Agenda Pushing? Fraudulent?
“In recent years, however, temperature measurements show that ocean water in Disko Bay has experienced a series of cooler years more than one degree lower than mean temperature previously observed"
So, the OCEAN water (lots of water and salty too) is more then 1 degree cooler (Celsius) and has been for several years.


Huh! And Bill Nye the "science guy"actor said the planet was on fire....

Who's an 'idiot'?
"Hogg tells Amos at the BBC. “All this is a reminder of how unpredictable glaciers can be. We didn't predict this change in behavior, and if Jakobshavn does start thinning and retreating again—we can’t predict when that will happen"

Speaking of cool weather in Niagara... Though, thankfully, today looks to be seasonal
 Meteorologist making ‘no promises’ that seasonal weather will arrive soon
Environment Canada meteorologist Peter Kimbell is making "no promises" that warm, drier weather is on its way — but says temperatures could rise by the weekend to a "pleasant" level.

So far, the average temperature in May calculated in Welland is 10.3 C. In Vineland, the median temperature this month has been 8.8 C, he said.

"Bottom line — Niagara has been cool — and it has been wet," he said.

The average amount of rain registered in recent years at the Vineland measuring station for the entire month of May is 92 millimetres. From May 1 to May 15 this year, 76 millimetres of rain fell.
In Welland, 68 millimetres have been tallied — on pace to significantly surpass the monthly average of 85 millimetres.
"There's been a cool air mass parked over eastern Canada for quite some time — and it doesn't seem to want to move out," he said.

Gee, I guess the planet is not on fire fake science guy!
Rather a vast swathe of it is cold and wet. Downright soggy with well below normal temps...  
And a big glacier is actually thickening. 
Put your torch down Bill, it's a good prop, to make a really big show.  But we don't need any more showboating!

It should be stated: Bill Nye (fake science guy) actor  said climate change "deniers" are older people and the believers have to wait until us older folk die out..
Courtesy of Yaya:
Bill Nye Feels Threatened by Old People
From Wikipedia:
  • In July 2017, Nye observed that the majority of climate change deniers are older people, and stated, "so we're just going to have to wait for those people to 'age out'...".
 I know why he wants me gone; it's because I have memoriesMemories of hot-hot summers -- 99 in the shade was a brag instead of a moan (we had our own outdoor thermometers) -- and other summers we thought would never warm up; then longer, colder winters, higher snow banks; then rainy winters that ruined Christmas.
 To which I replied:

5/16/2019 07:58:29 am
Hey Yaya: I agree that Bill Nye and other carbon propagandists dislike those in the 'older' age group-
those that remember, like yourself.
and me
Then for myself and hubby because we garden and spend time outdoors daily we become more painfully aware of the weather aka climate-

So it's much easier to target youth with propaganda because their memories are so limited in time span,
then considering the fact that the vast majority of them spend little time outdoors (thanks to social media) that most of them have no physical memories of being out doors- but I do. From when I was young and to this day.

The blizzard of 77? Been there. Done that.
Ice Caves on Lake Erie. Been there, done that.
Lower great lake levels and warmer summers from about lets say 18 years or so ago- Yup, I recall them.
That's the weather for ya!

1 comment:

  1. Nearly a century ago a real scientist of a far greater magnitude than the comedian turned 'science guy', and a profound thinker at that, Max Planck, described the 'progress of science' like that:

    "A new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it". Or, how it was paraphrased: "Science advances one funeral at a time".

    But he knew also that: "We have no right to assume that any physical laws exist, or if they have existed up to now, that they will continue to exist in a similar manner in the future".
    "As a man who has devoted his whole life to the most clearheaded science, to the study of matter, I can tell you as a result of my research about the atoms this much: There is no matter as such! All matter originates and exists only by virtue of a force which brings the particles of an atom to vibration and holds this most minute solar system of the atom together. . . . We must assume behind this force the existence of a conscious and intelligent Mind. This Mind is the matrix of all matter".

    Oh, but he said more, something that the 'global warming' fanatics wouldn't like to hear:

    "Long and tedious reflection cannot enable us to shape our decisions and attitudes properly; only that definite and clear instruction which we gain can form a direct inner link to God. This instruction alone is able to give us the inner firmness and lasting peace of mind which must be regarded as the highest boon in life. And if we ascribe to God, in addition to His omnipotence and omniscience, also the attributes of goodness and love, recourse to Him produces an increased feeling of safety and happiness in the human being thirsting for solace. Against this conception not even the slightest objection can be raised from the point of natural science, for as we pointed it out before, questions of ethics are entirely outside of its realm".
    "No matter where and how far we look, nowhere do we find a contradiction between religion and natural science. On the contrary, we find a complete concordance in the very points of decisive importance. Religion and natural science do not exclude each other, as many contemporaries of ours would believe or fear. They mutually supplement and condition each other. The most immediate proof of the compatibility of religion and natural science, even under the most thorough critical scrutiny, is the historical fact that the very greatest natural scientists of all times—men such as Kepler, Newton, Leibniz—were permeated by a most profound religious attitude".
    "Religion and natural science are fighting a joint battle in an incessant, never relaxing crusade against scepticism and against dogmatism, against disbelief and against superstition, and the rallying cry in this crusade has always been, and always will be: "On to God!"



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