Saturday, April 4, 2020

US NATO Rep Kay Bailey Hutchison: US Ready To Help Turkey If They Remove the S-400's?!?!

  Needing a break from the covidsanity.

 Was Kay Bailey Hutchison attempting to be funny? I thought perhaps she was being tongue in cheek? Facetious? Seriously though if the US, was ever going to "help" Turkey they wouldn't have purchased the S-400's.  I expect she was may have been appealing to some deep state minions still embedded in Turkey.  Think of Ergenekon? Gladio and Gulen included.

Turkish Minute 

Kay Bailey Hutchison
The US is ready to help Turkey against the Syrian army if Ankara removes the S-400 air defense system purchased from Russia, Kay Bailey Hutchison, the US permanent representative to NATO, said during a telephone briefing on Wednesday, according to the Bulgarian Military website.

“We hope that Turkey will be able to repulse Syrian aggression, as a result of which many Turkish soldiers were killed. We hope that we can collect a package of assistance to Turkey. We hope that Turkey will not deploy the Russian air defense system in its country – it holds back the potential that we can provide them to counter Syrian aggression,” Hutchinson said.“We hope that the Turks … will remove the air defense system, which is located in the very center of Ankara,” she added.
Turkey’s purchase of the S-400 system has led to a rift with the US, with US and NATO officials repeatedly warning that the Russian-made system could undermine NATO systems by serving as a Trojan horse to gather intelligence for the Russian government.
Turkey went ahead with the purchase despite the warnings and started taking delivery of equipment last July.        
The deliveries were well covered here at the time they took place. Including the FACT that Syria's Ambassador to Russia was unconcerned about the deliveries to Turkey taking place.

July 2019:
"At the present moment, Turkey is playing the role of a guarantor country along with Russia [for the ceasefire in Syria] and is coordinating its steps with the Russian leadership and that is why this is outside our attention," the envoy said.

Friday, April 3, 2020

Ontario Premier Doug Ford Set To Up The Fear & Inevitable Stupidity.Today’s buzzword “Stark”

And the extreme paranoia will kick it up a notch. If one can even imagine that occurring?
"Stark " is looking to be the fear word of the day. (Harsh or Blunt BUT also RIGIDLY CONFORMING) Which is sooo interesting, because, while the masses are going to see this as harsh or blunt- I  understand this  coordinated move as a push for rigid conformity. Because that's the goal rigid conformity!

*Premier to release 'really stark' projections Friday as Ontario confirms 401 new COVID-19 cases While it’s being admitted that yes, obviously,  there are  many different outcomes for this flu.  Ontario is going to get the worse case scenario, via computer modelling,  presented today
because* “You deserve to know”

Ontario health officials will release modelling data that shows the worst-case scenario for the province during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Ford had resisted calls to release that modelling as recently as Wednesday, saying there were many different scenarios, but said medical experts will now provide a public briefing.
Ford resisted calls? I don’t know that he did. Nor do you? It seems to me this unsubstantiated claim of Ford “resisting” is the lead up to us believing a reluctant Premiere, who now has his “back against the wall” was simply forced into this decision! Me, I see It as so much more fear mongering.
The myriad of problems with modelling was addressed in a recent report:
Given that Dougie is a named global warming questioner thanks in part to all those erroneous climate models, it’s alarming to find that he willing to use computer models to spread fear. Same as the AGW crowd Mr Ford claims to question. Just a reminder that  PM Doug appointed a “climate change denier” to oversee Ontario Hydro
 And the "denier" speaks specifically of computer models overestimating warming.
"Predictions have also been wrong, sometimes spectacularly, about temperature increases, endangered polar bears, disappearing polar ice and islands sinking into the sea. As well, computer models consistently overestimate warming," he said.
Clearly models can be wrong. They can be very wrong. And yet, today, Doug Ford's government as well as the Alberta government (also climate change"deniers") are going to spread yet more fear by presenting the worst case model for the flu outbreak, exactly as the fear mongering carbon cult has done.

* Stark Projections show Alberta on track for an overwhelmed healthcare system
And look at that! The buzzword "stark" is in the headline 

Have you noticed the “huge spikes” in covid cases the last week or so? You should have had you paid attention? This was obviously because of the clearing of backlogs and does not represent a real increase in daily cases.

From a National Post article with tips to find useful information. Spikes in cases indicates backlogs being cleared.
Furthermore, beware of misleading spikes in daily case counts. They tend to be due to backlogs being cleared or a change in how tests are processed, not a real daily increase in cases.   
Clearing backlogs and spinning numbers was mentioned in the previous post:
"That’s the image you might have in your head given all the hype. However the increase in numbers came about as the province has massively increased testing. It was inevitable that a whole bunch of new cases would arise and sure enough, they did. Doesn’t mean these people are sick. Or that they require hospitalization. Or that they are contagious. It just means this virus, in their system, was found  due to the massive increase in testing! (I won't even get into the problem with false positives other then to say inform yourself- It's an issue)"
The Public Relations (PR) perception managing  "stark "press release and coordinated 'tell all"is being done for the express reason of spreading yet more fear.

Corona Pandemic Hysteria = Global Psychological Operation??
Don’t Panic It Makes You Stupid 
The amygdala, known as the fear center, one of the most primitive brain regions, overrides the prefrontal cortex, which handles working memory and executive function. "When those deep brain areas are active, they shanghai your cortical neurons," says psychiatrist Edward Hallowell, author of CrazyBusy. "Your IQ plummets. Your creativity, your sense of humor — all of that disappears. You're stupid."
Fear makes people act irrational, and then they are easier controlled, willingly giving up freedom, rights, etc. It activates the reptilian brain of pure physical survival instinct.It’s easier to mind control people when they are in a state of fear. People then also start to police each other and keep each other in check. They can even become afraid of each other because of fear of getting infected. They turn into authoritarian followers to the extreme, following all orders, laws, and rules without questioning driven by fear (most people anyway).                      
This is how the government has  terrorized the citizens into compliance while turning them into snitches and rats.

And Canadian's are snitches and rats- 

They've turned themselves into the worst kind of totalitarian/fascist informants one could have ever imagined. I can literally find thousands of these reports that suggest the snitch lines are well used by virtue signalling Canadians helping to grow the POLICE STATE.


*Toronto COVID-19 snitches are watching

* Municipality opens COVID-19 snitch line 
 
* Provinces open up COVID-19 snitch lines

the bodies of lost souls neither alive nor dead -
 I've been married for nearly 35 years and still hold my husband's hand to this day. I've no intention of being outdoors and social distancing from him. We've lived together for decades now. We share the same property, house, bathroom and bedroom. The very idea of us "social distancing" while out doors is bizarre. No, it's beyond bizarre!!  And yet some snitch could turn us in to the authority. Think about that?
 We'll happily stay away from other people. Frankly the way most people looks these days with their faces filled with fear is reason enough to want to keep away from them!

I sure as hell don't want to catch stupid and fearful from these zombies.

 Long term the problems that will arise from all these manipulations will manifest in destroyed communities, lacking trust and having no ability, desire or will to cooperate within them. That's a very bad prognosis. For all of us

The  OVERreaction of fearful people is more frightening and dangerous

Thursday, April 2, 2020

3- Temporary Global Government To Tackle Covid Problem? Gordon Brown Makes The Call.

Questions, questions, questions.....
 Temporary Global Government? Oh, really?!
 
hattip Gwen!
I think they're working like beavers on the next stage:

https://www.globalgovernmentforum.com/ex-uk-pm-gordon-brown-calls-for-global-government-to-tackle-coronavirus-pandemic/

Ex-UK PM Gordon Brown calls for global government to tackle coronavirus pandemic

Former UK prime minister Gordon Brown has urged world leaders to create a temporary form of global government to deal with the coronavirus crisis.  
Brown said the proposed global taskforce should oversee and support the development of a vaccine and the production and distribution of medical equipment, and help to deal with the economic fallout of the crisis. To do the latter, it should coordinate the efforts of central banks; take steps to prevent the flight of capital from emerging market economies; and agree a joint approach to the use of government spending to boost growth.
Brown, who was at the centre of international efforts to lessen the impact of the 2008 financial crash, told The Guardian the taskforce should comprise heads of state, health experts and the heads of international organisations. I would need the executive powers to coordinate the response, he argued.
“This is not something that can be dealt with in one country,” he told the British newspaper. “There has to be a coordinated global response.”
We already have the UN. And don't need more bureaucrats.
On Thursday, G20 leaders agreed during a virtual summit to do “whatever it takes” to minimise the social and economic damage of the COVID-19 pandemic. A statement issued after the meeting said G20 members had undertaken a $5 trillion (€4.5 trillion) stimulus through targeted fiscal policy and insurance schemes, and members would look to increase funding to multilateral bodies as required. Central bank governors were urged to draw up an action plan with finance ministers.
 Can we understand why the WHO changed the definition of a pandemic?
Can we see planning for the future in that move?

Covid "Pandemic" Brought to You by WHO Pandemic Definition Change- Numbers of Dead Too Low?


2- Do We Know Enough To Justify the Extreme Security Measures Taken?

Continuing on with the asking of questions

1-Did Covid 19 Come From the US?


hattip yaya- who had this excellent video posted at her place- 

It's german with english subtitles

heroes in our time

 

1- Did Covid 19 Come From the US?

hattip majestika

https://youtu.be/3J6zm6zgah0

Forgive me if this has already been posted 'the coronavirus conspiracy' by Nathan Rich, interesting watch.

Hope everyone stays safe and well in these troubling times x



Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Covid "Pandemic" Brought to You by WHO Pandemic Definition Change- Numbers of Dead Too Low?

 Long time readers here may recall that just prior to the "swine flu pandemic" the World Health Organization changed their definition of pandemic. This change in definition that took place more then a decade ago, made it possible for the WHO to label the Swine Flu of '09 a pandemic. It wasn't. This change also made it possible for them to claim Covid is a pandemic as well. So far it's looking much like the swine flu pandemic, which didn't manifest and might explain why it's being claimed the numbers of dead are too low. We'll get to that in the second part of this report

First the definition change

 However, if you wish to create the illusion of a pandemic, spread fear for political and pharmaceutical profit purposes, the hysteria surrounding H1N1 has been ideal.
Just create the right balance of fear and reassurance. Come up with fancy slogans like "this year it is a different flu season" but also reassure the populace that the vaccine is coming, and most cases are mild.
We've got lots of fancy slogans this time round too! 
  • "We're all in this together"
  • "Flatten the curve"
  • "Clap for healthcare workers"
Of course that's simple reinforcement of propaganda through repetition.
'09- But, how to get all this started? I know, lets start the show with a bang by (LA Times)  changing the very meaning of pandemic, as was done by the WHO, so that you can hype a pandemic out of just about any influenza situation.For visuals, see here (WND)

This is how WHO once defined pandemic:

"The WHO definition for "influenza pandemic" once required "several, simultaneous epidemics worldwide with enormous numbers of deaths and illness."

Now it requires "sustained chains of human-to-human transmission leading to community-wide outbreaks" in two parts of the world, with this addition: The cause must be an animal or human-animal flu virus; the latter is known as genetic reassortment.
Conveniently Covid-19 is exactly that. A animal or animal human flu virus. Which fits many viruses, really.
What makes this interesting is this-
Under this new definition, "community-wide outbreaks" of swine flu in two South American countries and somewhere in China could qualify as a pandemic. No deaths required.
To claim a pandemic no deaths were required. 

As has so often been written here language creates the reality. A change in definition alters reality by altering perceptions. By changing the definition the WHO changed the reality of what constitutes a pandemic. This is Propaganda. To the core. 

Below is some additional information included at WND from an interview with Der Spiegel
Epidemiologist Tom Jefferson, formerly a general practitioner in the British Army, has worked for the Cochrane Collaboration for 15 years. He evaluates all published flu-related studies.
In a July 21 interview with Der Spiegel magazine, Jefferson asked, "Don't you think there's something noteworthy about the fact that the WHO has changed its definition of pandemic?"
It seemed to me there was something noteworthy about the WHO changing the very definition of a pandemic 11 years ago- Which is why it was written about here!
He continued, "The old definition was a new virus, which went around quickly, for which you didn't have immunity, and which created a high morbidity and mortality rate. Now the last two have been dropped, and that's how swine flu has been categorized as a pandemic."
Jefferson said there's money to be made when a pandemic occurs.
"The WHO and public health officials, virologists and the pharmaceutical companies. They've built this machine around the impending pandemic," he said. "And there's a lot of money involved, and influence, and careers, and entire institutions! And all it took was one of these influenza viruses to mutate to start the machine grinding."
He said he saw no difference in the definition between the swine flu and a normal flu epidemic. Jefferson told the magazine that there are hundreds of other viruses that can be deadly, but researchers aren't as interested in those because the money isn't as readily available.
"With rhinoviruses, RSV and the majority of the other viruses, it's hard to make a lot of money or a career out of it. Against influenza, though, there are vaccines, and there are drugs you can sell," he said. "And that's where the big money from the pharmaceuticals industry is. It makes sure that research on influenza is published in the good journals. And that's why you have more attention being paid there, and the entire research field becomes interesting for ambitious scientists."

 Then the Lives lost figure too low 

That's an odd claim. Lives lost figure too low. Too low, why? Too low for who? 
Or too low for WHO?  And, here I thought we were locked down for the express purpose of saving lives? 
The tone of the CTV article struck me as odd, since, it's asking if we "should be comparing countries?" Isn't that what this has all been about?  No one cared when it came to spreading the fear porn far, wide and liberally if it was right or wrong to compare? 

Sure as hell CTV didn't give a WHOot!
"TORONTO -- In a little more than two months, SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, raced around the world and turned a handful of known cases to more than three quarters of a million, with at least 36,000 lives lost - reported figures that the scientific and health communities widely agree are too low.
"with at least 36,000 lives lost - reported figures that the scientific and health communities widely agree are too low."

Why would 36, 000 lives lost globally be considered too low?
How could anyone really ask that?
Isn't it enough that many people lost their family members? 
That vast swathes of the alleged free world are locked down due to this alleged "pandemic"

Or is the question being asked because 36,000 deaths globally isn't really a pandemic when one considers the multi billion population of this planet?

Hell, 36,000 deaths is not even a bad global flu season on an annual basis.

* the article regarding "low death rates" is a few days old. Today's global count is 44,264 as of the time this report is published- Still not into the numbers of a bad global flu season!

Is that the reason CTV is finally questioning the narrative?

Lastly: Since there is always money to be made from pandemics you can of course, purchase a "covid plushy"


Monday, March 30, 2020

Canadian Households Vulnerable to Income Interruption- Two Crisis Unfold: Corona and Consumer Debt Bubble Bursting

Continuing on the financial theme:
This fear is very real as the COVID-19 pandemic has many losing their income overnight. While delinquencies in the past have been low, we know some Canadians are living paycheque-to-paycheque, with little wiggle in household budgets for this sort of major income disruption.
And my fear is it’s only going to get worse.
“Our results underscore how vulnerable Canadian households are to income interruption. Over the next few months we’ll likely see an unfolding of two crises: the global pandemic and the bursting of the Canadian consumer debt bubble,” said MNP President Grant Bazian in a release.
This is a very scary time and sadly there is not a quick fix. If you can avoid it, don't resort to high-cost payday loans or high-interest credit cards.
Instead, consider the following:
  • Pay the minimum for now on outstanding debt
  • Pay the most expensive debt first
  • Cut back on everything but necessities. Don't panic buy.
  • Consolidate your debt. You may even consider financing your mortgage or explore a consolidation loan.
  • Consider speaking with a credit counsellor. There are programs and options available that the government has now put into place to assist you through a challenging financial situation. 
But the most important step is acknowledging you might be in over your head and you can’t do it alone. There’s no shame in that. It takes courage and strength to get through this difficult time.

The Ties That Bind Bankers and Government Tighten During Covid Crisis


From the past
  Canadian government bailed the banks out by providing liquidity
“At its peak in March 2009, support for Canadian banks reached $114-billion. To put that into perspective, that would have made up seven per cent of the Canadian economy in 2009 and was worth $3,400 for every man, woman and child in Canada.”
The Harper government stepped in and used a number of measures to free up money for Canada’s banks during the financial crisis — including buying mortgage-backed securities and providing short-term loans.
In 2013 Banking legislation was changed to favour, you got it, banks.
 2020 and the Covid Crisis:

Close ties between big banks and government get even closer during Coronavirus Crisis
 Historic collaboration to support businesses and individuals through difficult times shows Canada’s banking industry is political — and always has been   
Such close collaboration would be a curious sight at any other time. (It's actually the norm) Yet during the current crisis, the federal government and the banking industry have been working together, by hook or by crook, to try to support consumers and businesses. And as the crisis has continued, it has served as a reminder that Canada’s banking industry is political — and always has been.

The very first session of Canada’s parliament saw an “Act Respecting Banks” passed (the norm very clearly) noted Charles Calomiris and Stephen Haber in their 2014 book, Fragile by Design: The Political Origins of Banking Crises and Scarce Credit. The new Canadian government then tried to strike a deal with the Bank of Montreal, offering “to create a privileged position for the bank in exchange for its providing finance” for the fledgling regime.
Over the protests of other banks and merchants, it didn’t happen, but one of the main themes of Fragile By Design is “that chartered banks represent a partnership between the parties in control of the government and the founders and shareholders of the banks,” Calomiris and Haber write.
“Bank chartering in the Dominion of Canada was no exception,” they added.
The partnership has held up in more modern times, such as during the global financial crisis a decade ago, which Canada’s banks weathered better than most. Lines of communication remain open as well, as evidenced when the prime minister tweeted thanks to the CEOs of the Big Five for their advice during recent North American free-trade talks.

Deferring mortgage payments came out of a “two-way conversation” between the regulators and the banks, which can provide cash to the real economy in ways that may be difficult for regulators to do directly, according to Andrew Moor, the president and chief executive officer of Toronto-based Equitable Bank.
The banks are doing you no favour by allowing the deferral of mortgage payments
The Canadian Bankers Association has noted banks are offering “flexibility on credit cards and lines of credit, including deferrals and low minimum payments,” albeit with no mention of outright rate cuts, which is something Trudeau raised on Thursday, and that the government then walked back.
Canadian Bankers made NO Concession on credit card rates- NONE.
“the government then walked back” from asking for cuts. 
Trudeau understand who gives the orders.
Granted, it could be to the banks’ mutual advantage to go along with governments. Debt ratings agency DBRS Morningstar said Friday that there are “two crucial elements” that will determine how COVID-19 affects banks’ creditworthiness around the world: the economic fallout and the level of government and central bank support.   
The banks are working to their own advantage. “Banks mutual advantage”
“The details and implementation of many of these packages are still being finalized, but they will mitigate some of the impact of the economic shutdown, reducing pressure on banks,” DBRS Morningstar analysts wrote. “Many of the measures directly involve the banking sector and confirm the importance of the role banks are being asked to play in ensuring individuals and corporates can eventually recover from this shutdown and that credit continues to flow through to the economy.”
“It’s not at all unusual for the banks to cooperate on sort of broad macroeconomic issues, that individually they might benefit but in aggregate they’d lose,” he added. “And it’s symptomatic of the very close relationships between the banks and the central bank. They’re constantly talking to each other.”

Canada’s central bank, the Bank of Canada, has been in close contact with the country’s biggest commercial banks. Governor Stephen Poloz said Friday, after the Bank of Canada announced its third rate-cut this month, lowering its policy benchmark to 0.25 per cent, that both he and Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins were meeting twice a week with the chief executives of the Big Six.

“We have a high level of collaboration, even in peacetime,” Poloz said. “We can’t do all this by ourselves, that’s for sure.”
They have a high level of collaboration all the time. War time. Peace time. Makes no difference.
 

Covid Cash Vaccine Needs A Booster- U.S. Stimulus Package Is Biggest Ever, But May Not Be Big Enough


Reuters Monday March 30, 2020 01:43 via Kitco News

Perhaps this is why Trump has changed his tune?
The stimulus package is not enough- Gotta give the powers that shouldn't be more and keep the pandemic hype going as a distraction
BOSTON/WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve has offered more than $3 trillion in loans and asset purchases in recent weeks to stop the U.S. financial system from seizing up, but it has not yet directly helped large swaths of the real economy: companies, municipalities and other borrowers with less than perfect credit.

That is partly because America’s central bank is not allowed to take much credit risk itself, and loans to lower-rated borrowers have a higher chance of losses. (Oh, the irony...)The risk is exacerbated by efforts to stop the spread of coronavirus which have brought economic activity to a screeching halt.

To alleviate that constraint, the U.S. Treasury - whose job it is to manage the government’s finances and help the Fed keep the economy steady - has taken on some of the risk that Fed loans will not be paid back.

It has contributed about $50 billion from a pool of money called the Exchange Stabilization Fund. That money will be used to absorb losses from Fed loans that go bad. Assuming only a fraction of loans will default, the Treasury contribution has allowed the Fed to lend much more without taking on additional risk.

On Friday, the Treasury got about $450 billion more from Congress as part of a $2.2 trillion U.S. stimulus package, greatly increasing its ability to support the economy. Before the bill passed, the stabilization fund had about $93 billion in assets as of the end of February.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Fox News on Sunday he believed the additional funds could help the Fed and Treasury provide about $4 trillion in loans.
But investors and economists said even this additional money may be insufficient, and Congress will likely need to pony up trillions of dollars more before the Fed and Treasury can make a significant dent in the real economy. If it does not, many U.S. companies and local governments are at risk of defaulting on debt or even going under.
That is because of the sheer size of the world’s largest economy, the unprecedented scale of economic disruption caused by attempts to contain the virus and higher credit losses if the government has to step in to support weaker borrowers, according to these experts.

Scott Minerd, chief investment officer of Guggenheim Partners and member of an investor committee that advises the New York Federal Reserve on financial markets, told Reuters he believes the government needs to give the Treasury about $2 trillion to help prop up the economy.

Using expected losses from companies in the lowest tier of investment grade, Minerd estimates that the money approved last week might be only enough to absorb losses on loans of about $900 billion. 
*BARE MINIMUM

That is just a fraction of the roughly $9.5 trillion in outstanding U.S. corporate debt, much of which is either in the lowest-tier investment grade rating or already rated as junk, with a higher risk of default. Other areas that need support - such as the commercial paper market where borrowers go for short-term funding or the municipal market that local governments use to raise money for roads and schools – total trillions of dollars more.
That is just a fraction of the roughly $9.5 trillion in outstanding U.S. corporate debt.....
“I think we’ll be back at the table with another program before this is over,” Minerd said in an interview.
 “I think we’ll be back at the table with another program before this is over,” Minerd said in an interview.
With the $2 trillion that he recommends, he said, “you’re on your way to have something of a big enough scale to get things propped up.”

In a research note last week, Bank of America analysts said the aid package passed last week was the “bare minimum.” They estimated the government will need a total of $3 trillion in fiscal stimulus and more if the recession deepens.
 Bank of America analysts said the aid package passed last week was the “bare minimum.” 
The Fed declined to comment. The Treasury did not respond to a request for comment on Sunday.
The Fed has so far kept its pledge to lend to companies with investment-grade ratings, and to buy other high-quality assets such as Treasury securities.

The aim of the Fed’s support is to encourage banks and investors to lend to weaker, and therefore more risky, companies and local governments, where they can earn higher returns, giving them access to the funding they need to continue operating and paying staff.

In some of the Fed’s funding facilities, the Treasury put up $10 billion as loss-absorbing capital for every $100 billion of loans. Mnuchin’s comment that the Fed and Treasury can now lend $4 trillion suggests he expects the rate of losses on the new loans to be similar, less than 10%. 
*WEAKER CREDITS

Investors said losses would likely increase, however, if the government has to reach deeper into the economy. And they are betting the Fed will have to do so - junk bonds rallied last week, for example.

“‘We’re only going to lend money to really good credits’ is a good model if you’re a bank,” said Charles Lemonides, founder of New York-based investment firm ValueWorks LLC. “But if you’re trying to rescue businesses that are otherwise failing, it’s not a very good strategy.”

Fed officials have signaled they are not ruling anything out in their efforts.

In its support for the commercial paper market, for example, the Fed allows for companies that are downgraded after March 17 to return at least once more to the trough for funding.
"companies that are downgraded after March 17 to return at least once more to the trough for funding"
In its facility to make loans to investment-grade companies through a special purpose vehicle, the Fed said, “The scope of eligible issuers may be expanded in the future.”

But officials know that reaching lower down the credit-quality spectrum entails greater risk and might require a larger contribution from Treasury to account for it.

In time, as they see how the programs for higher-quality borrowers play out, they may grow more comfortable with casting a wider net and explore ways to get cash to shakier corporate borrowers while limiting their risk.

Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser to the German insurer Allianz SE (ALVG.DE), said backstopping non-investment grade credit would be a much harder decision for the Fed, given the degree of corporate credit and default risks involved.

“I suspect that any move in that direction would need to come with a massive fiscal backstop to protect the integrity of the Fed’s balance sheets,” El-Erian said.
*LIMITING LOSSES

The Fed’s initial steps into the corporate bond market, limiting its scope to investment grade issuers, essentially avoids rewarding or bailing out badly run companies.

The Fed is justifying its move as help to companies that are caught in a situation not of their making, said Nellie Liang, former head of the Fed’s financial stability office and now at the Brookings Institution think-tank.

“It is a question of limiting losses,” Liang said in a webinar last week organized by Princeton University.

But the pressure on the Fed and Treasury to lend to riskier borrowers is only likely to increase if quarantines, stay-at-home orders and other economy-killing restrictions persist.

In the weeks ahead, the pool of high-grade borrowers currently allowed in the program will likely shrink.

The three major credit ratings agencies - Moody’s, S&;P and Fitch - are certain to cut a number of companies now at the lowest tiers of investment grade into junk territory, as happened last week to Ford Motor Co .
Ford was downgraded to junk territory but they can have two turns at the trough!
That could become an issue, said Kathy Bostjancic, chief U.S. economist at forecasting and analysis firm Oxford Economics.

“You can argue there is a need and the Fed has a lot more insurance backing from the U.S. Treasury” to delve into the riskier part of the bond market, Bostjancic said.

“However, it could entail significant losses and so risky for the Fed and they might stay away from it,” she said.

Sunday, March 29, 2020

Mathematics of Life and Death - The Trouble With "Modelling" Epidemics .........


 .....Is the Same as "Modelling" Man Made Climate Change. (Modelling -Since I'm not American)

 Way too many real world variables that may or may not be intentionally included or excluded.
Sometimes the variables are unknown and can't, therefore, be considered.
And sadly sometimes it just comes down to garbage in and garbage out. 
Despite the many, known issues or shortcomings  with modelling,  we are witnessing in real time the damaging effects on society, the spreading of fear,  the tyranny of so called democratic governments, the loss of our liberties and freedoms based on computer "epidemic modelling"

Coronavirus modelers factor in new public health risk: Accusations their work is a hoax

The attacks from Trump supporters against epidemiologists ratcheted up several bars on Thursday as pundits on the political right took aim at one of the world’s leading epidemiologists, Neil Ferguson of Imperial College in Britain.

Hate the partisan game being played by NYT's- It's idiotic. But, what else can be expected?

Ferguson had co-written a paper this month estimating 510,000 deaths in England and 2.2 million in the United States — if those countries did not take drastic actions. The paper’s conclusions were so chilling that they launched leaders in both countries into action. The next day, Trump abruptly stopped encouraging Americans to go on with their lives and began urging them instead to work from home and not meet in groups of more than 10.

March 16/2020

Pg.7/20

A Wall Street Journal columnist wrote that the revision “raises serious questions about the radical countermeasures inspired by public-health experts like Mr. Ferguson.” Even one of Trump’s coronavirus task force coordinator, Deborah Birx, seemed to lean into the questioning of Ferguson. “I’m sure many of you saw the recent report out of the U.K. about them adjusting,” Birx said. “If you remember, that was the report that said there would be 500,000 deaths in the U.K. and 2.2 million deaths in the United States. They’ve adjusted that number in the U.K. to 20,000. So half a million to 20,000. We’re looking into this in great detail to understand that adjustment.”
 Birx said:
“When people start talking about 20 percent of a population getting infected, it is very scary but we don’t have data that matches that based on the experience,” Birx said.
Birx, an HIV/AIDS expert from the State Department who was brought on to coordinate the federal government’s response to the coronavirus, noted that 19 of the 50 U.S. states are showing a persistently low level of coronavirus cases despite reporting early infections. These 19 states each have fewer than 200 cases, Birx said, and are still working to actively contain the virus rather than mitigate its spread.
“That’s almost 40 percent of the country with extraordinarily low numbers and they are testing,” Birx said.
Perhaps if 20 percent of the population were to get infected, as had been modelled, one would have the resulting deaths, or not?

 Mathematics of life and death: How disease models shape national shutdowns and other pandemic policies
COVID-19 isn’t the first infectious disease scientists have modeled—Ebola and Zika are recent examples—but never has so much depended on their work. Entire cities and countries have been locked down based on hastily done forecasts that often haven’t been peer reviewed. “It has suddenly become very visible how much the response to infectious diseases is based on models,” Wallinga says. For the modelers, “it’s a huge responsibility,” says epidemiologist Caitlin Rivers of the Johns Hopkins University Center for Health Security, who co-authored a report about the future of outbreak modeling in the United States that her center released yesterday.
Introduction:
The use of infectious disease modeling to support public health decision making, referred to in this report as “outbreak science,” has increased in prominence in the past decade. It has been used in the responses to several major outbreaks, from severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003, to H1N1 influenza in 2009, to the 2 most recent Ebola outbreaks in West Africa (2014-2016) and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (2018-current).
Epidemic modelers are the first to admit their projections can be off. “All models are wrong, but some are useful,” statistician George Box supposedly once said—a phrase that has become a cliché in the field.
Still, models can produce vastly different pictures. A widely publicized, controversial modeling study published yesterday by a group at the University of Oxford argues that the deaths observed in the United Kingdom could be explained by a very different scenario from the currently accepted one. Rather than SARS-CoV-2 spreading in recent weeks and causing severe disease in a significant percentage of people, as most models suggest, the virus might have been spreading in the United Kingdom since January and could have already infected up to half of the population, causing severe disease only in a tiny fraction. Both scenarios are equally plausible, says Sunetra Gupta, the theoretical epidemiologist who led the Oxford work. “I do think it is missing from the thinking that there is an equally big possibility that a lot of us are immune,” she says. The model itself cannot answer the question, she says; only widespread testing for antibodies can, and that needs to be done urgently.
Different models giving us vastly different pictures of what might be occurring. 
As admitted above "both scenarios are equally plausible"
Why choose the most terrifying scenario as the model of choice?
 One can conclude that the terror scenario was chosen. Opted for. Decided upon. To give cover to the bailouts and keep the masses so deeply mired in fear, that the powers that shouldn't be could have their way. No questions. No problems.  
That seems the highly likely reason for the choice of scenarios.
 In the meanwhile we are denied our right to live our lives. To work. To assemble. To exercise outdoors freely. To be out, anywhere, without being confronted by scarred, terrorized people. Who won't make eye contact or smile at another human being. To watch neighbours afraid to come out. To fear that your neighbour will snitch to the 'authorities' on your or  other neighbours. Is that how communities should function? I don't think so.

Greencrow reports on the problems with modelling as well
Recent previous reports:

The Greatest Depression: James Corbett - Globalism's Crowning (Corona) Moment:

 Corona = Crown

Show Us the Money: Bailout Cash Vaccine for Covid Pandemic- History Repeats


 An excellent, very excellent, episode from Mr Corbett:





SHOW NOTES:
Steven Bikofsky’s WTC7 9/11 Footage
Event 201 Pandemic Exercise: Segment 3, Finance Discussion
Let us never tolerate outrageous conspiracy theories about 9/11
Let us never tolerate outrageous conspiracy theories about coronavirus
Feb 1 – More than half of China extends shutdown over virus
Feb 11 – China is struggling to get back to work after the coronavirus lockdown
Feb 12 – Coronavirus could start to empty shelves in some U.S. stores by mid-April
February 24 – The Dow tumbled more than 1,000 points on Monday and marked its third-worst point drop in history
February 25 – Airborne Nitrogen Dioxide Plummets Over China
Feb 27 – Dow falls 350 points Friday to cap the worst week for Wall Street since the financial crisis
The Rollercoaster Ride Has Begun
March 2 – Dow surge is the biggest-ever point gain
March 3 – Dow drops nearly 800 points after the Fed’s surprising news about the economy
March 4 – The Biden Bounce: Dow Futures Up 666 As Traders Forget About Panicking Fed
March 5 – Global Markets Follow U.S. Stocks Higher
March 12 – The Dow Jones had its biggest point drop in history Monday
March 15 – Fed Panics: Powell Cuts Rates To Zero, Announces $700BN QE5, Unveils Enhanced Global Swap Lines
March 15 – Federal Reserve Actions to Support the Flow of Credit to Households and Businesses
March 17 – Federal Reserve launches crisis-era commercial paper funding facility
March 22 – Morgan Stanley Joins Goldman, JPM In Predicting A Depressionary Crash; Expects Q2 GDP To Plunge 30%
March 22 – Fed will make up to $4 trillion in loans to businesses to rescue the U.S. economy, Mnuchin says
March 23 – This was the fastest 30% sell-off ever, exceeding the pace of declines during the Great Depression
March 24 – Dow Soars More Than 11% In Biggest One-Day Jump Since 1933
March 25 – Here’s what’s in the $2 trillion coronavirus stimulus deal for businesses
March 25 – Negative rates come to the US: 1-month and 3-month Treasury bill yields are now below zero
What Are All the Fed’s Corporate & Investor Bailout Programs and SPVs? Here’s the Whole Shitload of Them
Covid-19 Bill WOuld Give Liberal Government Power to Raise Taxes Without Parliamentary Approval Until End of 2021
Japan to spend 15 trillion yen
Coronavirus Stimulus Offered By House Financial Services Committee Creates New Digital Dollar
EARN IT, Digital Dollars, Covid Tracking – New World Next Week
Why COVID-19 Stimulus Should Incorporate Digital Dollars
We Sent a Man to the Moon. We Can Send the Dollar to Cyberspace
Digital Dollar Project
Davos Discusses Digital Dollar
Gates on vaccine certificates
Bill Gates, MIT Develop New ‘Tattoo ID’ to Check For Vaccinations
James Corbett on the Pandemic of Social Control (17m46s – 21m49s)
Solutions, Solutions, Solutions!
Solutions: Building Communities
Solutions: Freedom Cells
Complementary Currencies: A Beginner’s Guide
Interview 638 – Paul Glover on How to Create a Community Currency
Solutions: Pirate Internet

Saturday, March 28, 2020

"Coronavirus and Autocrats: Never Let A Pandemic Go to Waste"

WSJ

For authoritarian-minded leaders world-wide, health emergency presents opportunity to weaken democracy

With much of the world on lockdown, the coronavirus pandemic has chipped away at individual liberties everywhere. (Authoritarian minded leaders are everywhere)
 In more places, however, it is also being used as an excuse to weaken democratic institutions and oversight—an authoritarian slide that could endure once the current health emergency subsides.
In Russia, President Vladimir Putin this month pushed through parliament the removal of term limits, ensuring he could remain in power for life, just as the fear of the coronavirus has rendered public protests against these constitutional changes impossible.
And in Canada our federal and provincial leadership rendered millions of us unemployed amid mass lock downs. Including the padlocking of parks and the fencing off of play grounds.  Oh and encouraging snitching on neighbours...👀
But, ya know "Putin" is an autocrat? Really? Just Putin? Cause right about now Trudeau and Doug Ford are lookin' pretty dang autocratic to me and many others.
Autocratic: relating to a ruler who has absolute power
taking no account of other people's wishes or opinions; domineering
"In Bolivia, the interim and unelected government has canceled presidential elections slated for May. In Hungary, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is moving ahead with legislation that would allow him to rule by decree and imprison people spreading “falsehoods.”  
And in Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party this week used the coronavirus crisis to prevent the opposition, which gained a majority of seats in the March 2 elections, from taking control of parliamentary proceedings. The gambit Thursday resulted in the opposition’s breakup, with part of it opting for a unity government. A separate decision by the Israeli government to shut down courts also scuttled Mr. Netanyahu’s corruption trial, which had been set to begin March 17.
Haven't we been repeatedly told, I mean over and over that Israel is the "only democracy in the Middle East" 
"According to the Democracy Index 2016 study, Israel (#29 worldwide) is the only democracy in the Middle East"
Obviously there is a very fine line between Autocracy and  Democracy. The line is so fine, its no longer discernible.
To authoritarian-minded politicians world-wide, the coronavirus emergency is turning into a godsend, said Kati Piri, a Hungarian-born Dutch member of the European Parliament.

“These people never let a good crisis to be wasted,” she said. “We have only been in this crisis for about 10 days, and we know that, unfortunately, this will last not weeks but perhaps many months. With an anxious public in already very polarized countries, anything can happen.”

Indeed, the gravity of the coronavirus pandemic—which just in the past two weeks killed several thousand people in Europe and in the U.S.—has already generated unprecedented restrictions on fundamental liberties in much of the West.
 Europe, Canada and the US can't let a good crisis go to waste, quite obviously.
Following China’s apparently successful example in containing the virus through shutting down public life, Italy and then other European nations, as well as state and local governments in the U.S. in recent weeks banned citizens from leaving homes except for basic necessities. Countries such as South Korea and Israel have used intrusive surveillance and phone-tracking technology to find and isolate suspected coronavirus carriers. “End of Freedom,” went the banner headline in London’s Daily Telegraph when the U.K. became the latest European nation to go on lockdown earlier this week.
Autocrats and Totalitarianism often walk hand in hand:
Totalitarianism is a system where the state strives to control every aspect of life and civil society.[2] It can be headed by a supreme leader, making it autocratic, but it can also have a collective leadership such as a commune, junta, or single political party
The State is certainly striving to control every aspect of life and civil society in Canada, the US, Europe and many others places... Just something to think about. Things that need considering.
"These restrictions, even if they lead to the postponement of elections in some countries, don’t by themselves alter nations’ democratic nature. ( Didn't this article open with the insinuation the Bolivia's interim leadership was being an Autocrat? Yes, it did! ) that the The U.K., after all, remained a democracy through World War II even though its draconian wartime legislation was used to imprison suspected subversives without trial, said François Heisbourg, a former French national-security official and a scholar at the Foundation for Strategic Research in Paris. “In wartime, freedom goes down the tube, but democracy doesn’t go down the tube.” (that's contradictory)

With the world on a war footing these days, national leaders will be judged primarily by whether they are able to contain the disease, he added. “The relevant question is, are we going to win or lose in the face of an enemy, and the enemy happens to be the virus,” Mr. Heisbourg said. “Some politicians will want to do it to preserve our way of life and our democracy, and others—the autocrats—will do it to increase their power. But what will determine who profits is who will be more effective in beating the virus.”

The problem, of course, is that the coronavirus pandemic swept the world at a time when democracy was already under attack—both because of the rise of authoritarian politicians in nations from the Philippines to Turkey to Brazil, and because of China’s effort to present itself as an alternative model to the Western liberal order.
Freedom House, an organization that tracks political freedoms and individual liberties world-wide, has noted that 2019 marked the 14th consecutive year of the global freedom decline.

“We were already at the precipice. The fears and the anxieties were already there, and now you inject the virus on top of that,” said Alina Polyakova, president of the Center for European Policy Analysis, a Washington-based research institute. “We now find ourselves in a really dangerous place for maintaining a democratic future. I can see us coming out of the public-health crisis that we are currently in with many more people buying into the notion that authoritarian states are better equipped to deal with future crises.”

China’s propaganda apparatus (?) has already launched an all-out effort at home and abroad to portray its ability to contain the virus as testament to the superiority of its party-state system—and is sending planeloads of medical supplies and doctors to virus-stricken European nations. (So, it's autocratic to help other nations?)
The Kremlin has joined the bandwagon, with Russian military trucks laden with supplies parading through the streets of Italy this week. The initial wavering and slow decision-making that allowed the virus to spread in Europe and the U.S. have been described with near-glee on Russian TV. Moscow insists that it is able to keep the infection at relatively low levels—despite reports of many hidden cases—and hasn’t imposed a lockdown so far."
Russia hasn't imposed a lockdown, but Canada did. The US did. And those two nations are supposedly democracies???  And speaking of sending medical supplies. Hasn't the US, in fact, been quite the dictatorship, autocratic like, with regard to helping Iran and Venezuela.

Britain, China and Russia, among others, have called on the United States to ease sanctions so that Iran can respond more effectively, but the Trump administration has displayed no signs of heeding such pleas. Instead, last week the United States announced a new round of sanctions.
“As far as the Russian leadership is concerned, this crisis confirms its worldview that the Western systems are inefficient, and that the liberal political model simply can’t cope,” said Andrey Kortunov, director-general of the Russian International Affairs Council, a government think tank in Moscow.

Other authoritarian regimes are drawing similar conclusions. In Azerbaijan, President Ilham Aliyev last week labeled his political opposition as national traitors endangering public health. “During the existence of the disease,” Mr. Aliyev said, “isolation of the representatives of the fifth column will become a historical necessity.”

Though Azerbaijan is an extreme example, the coronavirus pandemic potentially threatens democracy in many other places.
“In a moment of crisis, when people are fearful, they are looking to authorities to reassure them, and they are willing to give leaders additional tools to manage chaos and limit risk,” said Daniel Shapiro, a fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv and a former U.S. ambassador to Israel. “The danger is that these tools that exceed the limits of the normal democratic system may not be returned after the crisis is over. That’s the balance that every democracy faces in a moment of crisis like this.”

 The limits have been well exceeded. And the tools we've allowed these leaders to use had better be returned in better shape then they were given! While I'm shocked to see Israel shown in an unflattering way the Wall Street Journal piece was heavily skewed to demonize Russia and China, while failing to really address and acknowledge the heavy handed tactics being wielded against citizens in the  so called "free world"

Friday, March 27, 2020

Greeda, the Globalist, Thunberg Claims "Extremely Likely" She Had Coronavirus

Who, other then a total attention seeking, self promoting, ego maniac  would make a completely unsubstantiated claim in order to get attention and keep her BRAND at the forefront?

Undoubtedly she's still desirous of that Nobel Prize!
Greeda Globalist Thunberg

NYT's
"Greta Thunberg, the 17-year-old Swedish climate activist, announced on Tuesday that she and her father, Svante, had symptoms of Covid-19 and that while hers were mild, it was “extremely likely” that she had contracted the virus"
 Greeda, the globalist, Thunberg can make any bizarre claim she wants. Of course she has. And it's entirely meaningless.
 I was under the weather at the start of the New Year... As was my husband. We're both fine. That said it would never occur to either of us to make such a wild claim. But then wild claims and Greeda walk hand in hand.

Where was Globalist Greeda when she claimed such nonsense? 
At an EU lawmakers meeting in Brussels, of course! Just like us regular folk, right?


Globalist Greeda's Words To Live By
"Ms. Thunberg spoke to European Union lawmakers at a meeting in Brussels in early March.
In an effort to protect her mother and her sister at home in Stockholm, Ms. Thunberg said she and her father, who accompanies her on her travels, had isolated themselves in a separate apartment."

  
 Wow, how fortuitous for Greeda that her and Daddy could "isolate" themselves in a separate apartment!  How f'n elitist is that? Certainly the masses cannot afford such luxuries.  Nor can they afford first class travel on trains and yachts...

Hubby and I are  presently in "quarantine" together.  Or should I use the term "lock down" like the prisoners we've all been turned into?!

  Greeda is outrageous. Her spin is outrageous. Her absurd utterances are insults to everyone.
And her followers? Those that "believe" in her proclamations are clearly dimwits.
If that insults you or your feelings are hurt, too bad!

Disgusted, truly.  

Would you consider it too shocking to call her an "attention whore"?
It certainly entered my mind.
By definition, the label  does fit:
 a person who behaves in a provocative, outrageous, or reprehensible manner in order to attract attention.

hattip to Martin and Gwen: I will call Arnold Schwarzenegger and Madonna both attention whores! Go away all of you