Monday, May 25, 2020

"Novel" Coronavirus and Climate Change: A Tale of Two Hysterias

Playing catch up with a bunch of good articles I've stumbled across recently!
From Forbes via WUWT
"Up to a few months ago, life was normal. Well, sort of. In that pre-coronavirus normalcy, the reigning narrative was that of mankind facing assured destruction if we did not amend our wasteful – read carbon-intensive — ways. Short of a drastic curtailment in our use of fossil fuels, we would all perish in the not too distant future.

How distant depended on who one listened to. At the radical end of the spectrum — US Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, teenage icon Greta Thunberg and the Extermination Rebellion folk among others — gave us a decade or less before we would face the fury of the elements, be they fires, droughts, floods, and other horrors of biblical proportions.

The “moderate” position held by the mainstream climate change establishment — ranging from the key multilateral organizations such as the UN’s IPCC to the private sector with oil majors such as Shell and leading environment and social governance (“ESG”)  practitioners like Larry Fink, CEO of the world’s largest hedge fund BlackRock held that we had to reach the “net-zero” rate of carbon emissions by 2050 lest the world climate “tip over” to Armageddon."
It's been stated here an innumerable number of times that "big oil" was on board with the anti life carbon cult led by Greeda- Meanwhile Larry Fink and his hedge fund sit waiting to rake in the profits.. 
But then, something happened along the way. Up popped a particularly contagious virus, first in its birthplace in Wuhan, China, and then spreading across the world. In a mere couple of months, the novel coronavirus began to wreak death and economic mayhem, the latter caused primarily by governments panicked into shutting down entire swathes of the economy to “flatten the curve” of infections to avoid health systems from being overwhelmed.
It did not take long after the onset of the global pandemic for people to observe the many parallels between the covid-19 pandemic and climate change. ( Didn't take long at all to notice the parallels- In fact it was mentioned here more then once ) An invisible novel virus of the SARS family now represents an existential threat to humanity. As does CO2, a colourless trace gas constituting 0.04% of the atmosphere which allegedly serves as the control knob of climate change. Lockdowns are to the pandemic what decarbonization is to climate change. Indeed, lockdowns and decarbonization share much in common, from tourism and international travel to shopping and having a good time. It would seem that Greta Thunberg’s dreams have come true, and perhaps that is why CNN announced on Wednesday that it is featuring Greta Thunberg on a coronavirus town-hall panel alongside health experts.
In response to both threats, governments and their policy experts habitually chant the “follow the science”  mantra. In everything from face masks and social distancing (1 or 2 meters, depending on the relevant jurisdiction) to the duration of lockdowns, governments were  “led by the science”.  California governor Gavin Newsom told protestors last month “We are going to do the right thing, not politics, not protests, but by science”. In banning the sale of mulch and vegetable seeds and such-like as non-essential, Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer proclaimed in a New York Times op-ed that “each action has been informed by the best science and epidemiology counsel there is.” (My husband say's this governor is obviously a f'n idiot- I concur)
But, beyond being a soundbite and means of obtaining political cover, ‘following the science’ is neither straightforward nor consensual. The diversity of scientific views on covid-19 became quickly apparent in the dramatic flip-flop of the UK government. In the early stages of the spread in infection, Boris Johnson spoke of “herd immunity”, protecting the vulnerable and common sense (à la Sweden’s leading epidemiologist Professor Johan Giesecke) and rejected banning mass gatherings or imposing social distancing rules. Then, an unpublished bombshell March 16th report by Professor  Neil Ferguson of Imperial College, London, warned of 510,000 deaths in the country if the country did not immediately adopt a suppression strategy. On March 23, the UK government reversed course and imposed one of Europe’s strictest lockdowns. For the US, the professor had predicted 2.2 million deaths absent similar government controls, and here too, Ferguson’s alarmism moved the federal government into lockdown mode. 
As we all learned later Neil Ferguson was not practicing that which he preached. He wasn't alone, of course- But it was his extremism that got most of us in lockdown. 
 .....Is the Same as "Modelling" Man Made Climate Change. (Modelling -Since I'm not American)
 Way too many real world variables that may or may not be intentionally included or excluded.
Sometimes the variables are unknown and can't, therefore, be considered.
And sadly sometimes it just comes down to garbage in and garbage out.
Oh, geez there is that similarity between the two hysterias
Unlike climate change models that predict outcomes over a period of decades, however, its takes only days and weeks for epidemiological model forecasts to be falsified by data. Thus, by March 25th, Ferguson’s predicted half a million fatalities in the UK was adjusted downward to “unlikely to exceed 20,000”, a reduction by a factor of 25. This drastic reduction was credited to the UK’s lockdown which, however, was imposed only 2 days previously, before any social distancing measures could possibly have had enough time to work.
For those engaged in the fraught debates over climate change over the past few decades, the use of  alarmist models to guide policy has been a familiar point of contention. Much as Ferguson’s model drove governments to impose Covid-19 lockdowns affecting nearly 3 billion people on the planet, Professor Michael Mann’s “hockey stick” model was used by
As politicians abdicate policy formulation to opaque expertise in highly specialized fields such as  epidemiology or climate science, a process of groupthink emerges as scientists generate ‘significant’ results which reinforce confirmation bias, affirm “scientific consensus” and marginalize sceptics.  
Two more paragraphs- get them at either opening link 
From earlier

More of that Hand Sanitizer Insanity- Harmful to Pregnant and Nursing Mothers (Ends Will Not Justify The Means)

 Already touched on the expected growth in superbugs due to excessive use of hand sanitizer. Everywhere. All the time.

A Saskatoon mother is concerned the Saskatchewan Health Authority is using a hand sanitizing gel that may be harmful to individuals who are nursing or breastfeeding. 

A May 21 memo obtained by CBC sent to staff across the authority indicated a type of Health Care Plus Sanitizing Hand Gel "is unsafe for pregnant and nursing women" as it uses "technical grade ethanol alcohol" as opposed to medical grade isopropyl alcohol.
The product has been used in some authority facilities in recent weeks, as global demand for medical grade isopropyl alcohol has been growing exponentially since the beginning of the COVID-1984 fear pandemic.
The product has been approved by Health Canada for use in hand sanitizers, but it comes with many conditions including directions that it only be used by adults, that it contains a warning for pregnant and nursing individuals and that it clearly lists its medical ingredients. 
Harder said the SHA should be providing better alternatives for both its staff and the public, pointing to things like portable hand-washing stations that could be installed at the facilities.
She said while she understands use of the product may be low-risk for her and her family, she has concerns for people pregnant and nursing individuals who regularly frequent the hospital for treatment or work. 
"That's a big risk for them," she said. Based on conversations she's had with other moms in Saskatoon, she says there's a lot of feelings of being let down, disappointment and feelings their trust was taken advantage of.
Big risk for them, but, none of the real covidiots will concern themselves with anything but their own overzealous use of hand sanitizer.

 An aside; we were at the grocery store over the weekend- hubby took the cart from a gentlemen, who quickly said, "it hasn't been sanitized yet". Hubby said, I'm not that concerned. Obviously it had just been 'sanitized' for this gentlemen, anyway. We wash our hands when we get home from the store, with soap and water. Same as always.

Why Didn't the 1958 &1918 Pandemics Destroy the Economy? Hint: It's the Lockdowns (The Means Will Not Justify The Ends)

Scapegoating a virus is all the rage. You see/read/hear it all over the place.
Deaths in long term care homes?- Scapegoat the virus- Ignore the systemic negligence
Crashing the economy? - Scapegoat the virus- Ignore the role of government and banks
 Reality is altogether different then scapegoating. It is the lockdowns that have destroyed vast swathes of the global economy and thrown millions and millions into despair.  

It was not the virus, because we deal with viruses every single second of every single minute of every single day of our lives- That's reality
 So we're on the same page- Scapegoat: something or someone blamed for the wrongdoings, mistakes, or faults of others, especially for reasons of expediency. 
 Expediency: convenient and practical despite being wrong, inappropriate or immoral) 

Excerpting from a lengthy piece:Mises Institute
Media pundits and politicians are now in the habit of claiming it was the pandemic itself that has caused unemployment to skyrocket and economic growth to plummet. The claim is that sick and dying workers, fearful consumers, and disrupted supply chains would cause economic chaos. Some have even claimed that economic shutdowns actually help the economy, because it is claimed allowing the spread of the disease will itself destroy employment and economic growth.1
Leaving aside the fact there's no evidence lockdowns actually work, we can nonetheless look to past pandemics—where coercive government interventions were at most sporadic—we should see immense economic damage.  Specifically, we can look to the the pandemic of 1957-58, which was more deadly than the COVID-19 pandemic has been so far. We can also look to the 1918-19 pandemic. Yet, we will see that neither produced economic damage on a scale we now see as a result of the government mandated lockdowns. This thoroughly undermines the claims that the lockdowns are only a minor factor in economic destruction, and that the virus itself is the real culprit.

Economic Reactions in 1957–58, and in 1918–19

The CDC estimates that as of May 18 this year approximately ninety thousand Americans have died of COVID-19. Adjusted for population size, that comes out to a mortality rate of 272 per million.
This is (so far) less than half the mortality rate for the 1957–58 flu pandemic. In that pandemic, it is estimated that as many as 116,000 Americans died. Yet, the US population was much smaller then, totaling only 175 million. Adjusted for population size, mortality as a result of the "Asian flu" pandemic of 1957–58 was more than 660 per million.
That's the equivalent of 220,000 deaths in the United States today.
Yet, Americans in 1957 did not respond by shutting down commerce, forcing people into "lockdown," or driving unemployment up to Depression-era levels.  (Obviously there has been another decisive factor in taking these actions- I'd look to the massive bailouts) In fact, reports show that Americans took little action beyond the usual measures involved in trying to slow the spread of disease: hand washing, staying home when ill, etc.
Although the virus does appear to have been a factor in the 1958 recession, the economic effects were miniscule compared to what the US now faces from the reaction to the COVID-19 virus. This suggests that most of the economic damage now being experienced by workers and households in the US is more a product of the policy reaction to the virus than to the virus itself.

Overall, the economy declined by approximately 2 percent during both the first and second quarter of 1958, but this could not all be attributed to the effects of the virus. Unemployment at the time also surged, peaking at 7.5 percent during July 1958. Economic growth was positive again, however, by the fourth quarter of 1958 and had soared to over 9 percent growth in 1959. Unemployment had fallen to 5 percent by June of 1959.
But the overall economic impact of the virus itself was hardly disastrous. Henderson, et al conclude:
Despite the large numbers of cases, the 1957 outbreak did not appear to have a significant impact on the U.S. economy. For example, a Congressional Budget Office estimate found that a pandemic the scale of which occurred in 1957 would reduce real GDP by approximately 1% ‘‘but probably would not cause a recession and might not be distinguishable from the normal variation in economic activity.’’
The 1918–19 pandemic, which caused an astounding ten times as many deaths per million as the 1957–58 pandemic, also failed to produce economic disaster. Although the US entered the 1918–19 pandemic in poor economic shape thanks to the Great War, according to economists Efraim Benmelech and Carola Frydman,
The Spanish flu left almost no discernible mark on the aggregate US economy….According to some estimates, real gross national product actually grew in 1919, albeit by a modest 1% (Romer 1988). In new work, Velde (2020) shows that most indicators of aggregate economic activity suffered modestly, and those that did decline more significantly right after the influenza outbreak, like industrial output, recovered within months.

The Reaction in 2020

Needless to say, the economy today appears to be in far worse shape in the wake of the 2020 pandemic than in the days following the 1957–58 outbreak, or even in 1919.
As of April 2020, the unemployment rate has ballooned to 14.4 percent, the highest rate recorded since the Great Depression. The Atlanta Federal Reserve, meanwhile, forecasts a drop in GDP of more than 40 percent. More mild estimates suggest drops of 8 to 15 percent. If the milder predictions prove true, then the current downtown is "only" the worst since the Great Depression. If the Atlanta Fed is right, then we're in an unprecedented economic disaster.
The World Bank's estimates of even a "severe" pandemic, which predicted a GDP drop of around 5 percent, don't even come close to the estimates for the 2020 collapse. And why should they? The World Bank report didn't anticipate the global economic shutdown imposed on billions of human beings by the world's regimes. Thus, the bank's estimates assumed that economic losses would be limited to absenteeism, disrupted trade and travel, and declining demand due directly to disease or fear of disease.
So why the enormous difference in economic effects? The answer almost certainly lies in the fact that governments in 2020—unlike in any other period in American history—engaged in widespread business closures, "stay-at-home" orders, and other state-mandated and state-enforced actions that led to widespread layoffs and plummeting economic output.
Defenders of government-coerced "lockdowns" have insisted that fear of the virus would have destroyed the economy even without lockdowns, but there is no historical precedent for this claim, and no current evidence to support it. Although some survey data has been proffered to suggest that more than 60 percent of Americans say they plan to comply with stay-at-home orders, this merely tells us how people make plans when threatened with fines, police harassment, and other coercive measures.
In reality, the experience of the 1957–58 pandemic—or even the 1918–19 pandemic—gives us no reason to believe that joblessness should be increasing at unprecedented rates and that GDP would collapse by catastrophic levels. In a modern industrialized economy, that sort of economic damage is only achievable through government intervention, such as socialist coups, wars, and forced economic shutdowns in the name of combating disease.
The cost in terms of human life will be significant. One study contends that the current economic downturn could lead to seventy-five thousand "deaths of despair." This is not shocking, however, since the fatal effects of unemployment and economic decline have been known for decades.
Deaths of Despair.  Suicides. Overdoses. Deaths from surgeries and medical procedures not being done.  It's already occurring. The advocates of home  invasion/snatch and grabs who think it's okay to traumatize children should rethink their insane suppositions. But, they won't.
Defenders of lockdowns will likely continue to claim that "we have no choice" but to continue lockdowns for long periods of time. At the very least, many claim that the lockdowns until now have been "worth it." Yet the efficacy of lockdowns remains an open question, and has hardly been proven. Meanwhile, the world faces the worst economic disaster experienced in centuries. It didn't have to be this way.
  • 1. a. b. For example, Politico this week quotes an economist who says  the disease itself is the cause of the economic downturn. “The economic story really isn’t about lockdowns, and we’re going to make mistakes by pursuing that narrative. It really is about the disease."
No, it really is about the lockdowns- that failed to protect the elderly and the vulnerable and  while pushing many people to their limits. There were other options. 

Assad Family Discord: Rifaat Assad, Brother to the late Hafez Assad, “looking forward to building Syria”

Rifaat has an interesting bio.  I'm wondering where his loyalties lie? After all he's been "exile" in France for 36 years, after he attempted to overthrow his brother Hafez.

Given his exile in France, it seems most likely France and friends were behind the overthrow attempt and gave their man safe haven.

Rifaat Assad


Link

Duraid Assad, the cousin of Syrian president Bashar Assad, revealed that his father, Rifaat, was interested in taking part in the country’s political process.

In a post on his official Facebook page, Duraid revealed that his father “was looking forward to building Syria – a Syria which all national political forces can take part in a comprehensive political operation” in shaping the country’s future.
And Duraid will take the reigns from his father?
“Just as Rifaat had distanced himself from developments in Syria for 36 years, due to the major political dispute with the ruling power and the way it has handled several political, economic and social files, he and his family are distancing themselves from what is happening in Syria today,” said Duraid.

Rifaat is the younger brother of late president Hafez Assad and staged a failed coup against him in 1984. He has been in exile in France ever since.

The 82-year-old, dubbed the "Butcher of Hama" for allegedly commanding troops who put down an uprising in central Syria in 1982, has been under investigation in France since 2014. 

Under investigation since 2014?? France began investigating Rifaat Assad 30 years after giving him exile? Strange.

He is standing trial in Paris for crimes allegedly committed between 1984 and 2016, including aggravated tax fraud and misappropriation of Syrian funds.

Indirectly referring to the dispute between Bashar and Makhlouf, Duraid said his father “is above all petty disputes,” adding: “We are, once again, rising above our wounds and pain.”

Sunday, May 24, 2020

US Set Fire to Wheat and Barley Fields in Syria- Not Turkey, As Kurds (ypg/pkk) claimed

Interesting as reported by Prensa Latina

We're these crops going to be purchased by the central government in Damascus?
Which would be why the US set fire to them.
Meanwhile the USrael Kurds claimed it was the Turks to deflect from US actions. (standard propaganda tactic) 
And many Syrians will be food deprived.
The US committed a war crime, clearly.
 
United States military forces started fires in wheat and barley fields in the Syrian Hasakeh province, 866 kilometers northeast of Damascus, as reported by local media.
Several US helicopters dropped incendiary bombs that caused the burning of 250 hectares in the towns of Hwesh, Um Ghadir, Hwesmeh and Yuelieh.

Villagers denounced that these fires are intentionally caused by the occupation forces and are part of the economic terrorism carried out against the Syrian people and to end the cultivation of wheat, which is the main food of the Syrians.

The United States maintains illegal bases in the provinces of Deir Ezzor and Hasakeh, the main wheat producers in Syria and where the largest oil fields in the country are located.

Damascus denounced to the UN the illegitimate presence that has the objective of destabilizing the country and depriving the Syrian people of their own natural resources.
Daara remains very violent. Very problematic.  Assassinations. Bombings.
Recently:

Covid-1984: Coronavirus Disappearing So Fast- Vaccine “has only 50 percent chance of working”

Yup, lamenting the disappearance of the virus.  But wait, why might the virus be disappearing?
Because it’s warming up in the northern hemisphere? And that is what viruses have always done when it gets warmer- they go away!  As covered months ago


March 21/20: Warmer Weather To Slow the Spread of Coronavirus- A "Global Warming" Plus?
“ Higher temperatures and humidity are correlated with a lower rate of the novel coronavirus’s spread, according to early research.”

There’s precedent for the idea that the COVID-19 outbreak will collapse with the onset of summer.
“warm, humid weather can make it harder for respiratory droplets to spread viruses.”

Skynews" Coronavirus 'disappearing' so fast Oxford vaccine has 'only 50% chance of working'

Professor Adrian Hill, director of Oxford University's Jenner Institute
There is only a 50% chance of the Oxford coronavirus vaccine working because cases in the UK are declining so fast, one of the scientists behind it has warned.

The University of Oxford's Jenner Institute and the Oxford Vaccine Group began developing a COVID-19 vaccine in January using a virus taken from chimpanzees.
Another monkey virus.. Cause the last one worked out so well for us humans, eh? 

The polyomavirus simian virus 40 (SV40) is a potent DNA tumor virus, and mounting evidence suggests that it is an emergent human pathogen (, , , , , , , , , ). Recently, the Institute of Medicine of the National Academies concluded that “the biological evidence is strong that SV40 is a transforming virus” and that “the biological evidence is of moderate strength that SV40 exposure could lead to cancer in humans under natural conditions”
A little knowledge goes a long way. Fear takes you nowhere at all
"But with the number of UK coronavirus cases dropping every day, there may not be enough people to test it on, according to the institute's director Professor Adrian Hill.

He told The Sunday Telegraph: "It's a race against the virus disappearing, and against time. We said earlier in the year that there was an 80% chance of developing an effective vaccine by September.

"But at the moment, there's a 50% chance that we get no result at all. We're in the bizarre position of wanting COVID to stay, at least for a little while."
I don't want the virus to stay. No one does. Except for big brother and it's profiteers And didn't the leaders that shouldn’t be do all they could to make the virus stay for a little while longer?  They did. That was the real reason for the lockdowns. And the social distancing.  To lengthen the “pandemic”

At this time I’m directing you to a video interview with Professor Knut Wittkowski except big brother removed it. Fortunately, I knew what he’d stated since I did view the video before the big hammer came down! So, read here-  YouTube censors German epidemiologist Knut Wittkowski for opposing the lockdown and going against WHO recommendations
“ Dr. Wittkowski is a ferocious critic of the nation’s current steps to fight the coronavirus. He derided social distancing, saying it only prolongs the virus’ existence and has attacked the current lockdown as mostly unnecessary. He later went on YouTube to post his views about the lockdown. However, YouTube censored him for opposing lockdown and pulled down his video after racking up more than 1.3 million views.”
The lockdowns prolonged the existence of the virus. I can think of so many reasons why the psychopaths we allow to lead us wanted that to happen. But nature has it's own rules!
 Back to Sky News: Trials of the vaccine - officially known as ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (pronounced Chaddox One) - began with an initial phase of testing on 160 healthy volunteers between the ages of 18 and 55 to see if it could effectively fight off the virus.

The study is set to progress to a second and third phase, which will involve testing up to 10,260 people and expanding the age of participants to include children and the elderly.

 If not enough people are able to catch the virus, scientists will not have enough evidence to prove it is effective and roll it out for NHS use.

ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 is made from ChAdOx1, a weakened version of the common cold virus (adenovirus) which causes infections in chimpanzees.
The virus has been manipulated so that it cannot harm humans, but also contains part of the coronavirus so that it would trigger the body's immune response to COVID-19's spike proteins which it uses to enter human cells and multiply.
The monkey virus has been "manipulated" so it can't harm humans.... Where have I read that before?
See Simian Virus 40 and the polio vaccine- It wasn't supposed to harm us either. But it caused and continues to cause us immense harm. 

Before closing I'd also like to point out that Scott @ Nomadic Everyman also pointed out that the immoral leaders/profiteers were attempting to protect the virus.

Lockdown Isn't Being Done to Protect Us... It's Protecting the Virus 

Saturday, May 23, 2020

Storms Return to Syria's SouthWest- Der'a: Israel & Jordan Are Watching: Likely Actively, Very Actively

I came across the report that will be the last link in this post It's a very telling report from Carnegie Middle East Yup, back where it all started. So many have forgotten this fact. It wasn't forgotten here.  The destabilization did not begin with Turkey. It began with Israel and Jordan in that part of Syria that is surrounded by both those nations. Surrounded and infiltrated.
And if you pay attention you will see that the Muslim Brotherhood from Jordan played a major role.
Daara is a border town, located right next to Jordan. Conveniently, it is also located very near to the Golan Heights, which are presently occupied by Israel.
Jordan's Islamic Action Front has a significant following in the nearby city of Irbid.
This group has close ties to the Muslim Brotherhood.
 Journalists working for regional and international media were tweeting news before reporting it to their news rooms. So the media started using tweets as a source for information and they sometimes took citizens for journalist and thus fell into reporting false information at some times.
Imagine that, the media reporting false information? Nothing has changed. Not when it comes to Syria and most certainly not when it comes to Covid-1984. Not ever!

 Carnegie Middle East
 Last week the Syrian regime mobilized its military forces in the southwestern governorate of Der‘a for what appears to be a military operation to impose full security control on the town of Tafas and its surrounding areas. Tafas, along with other localities, was one of the areas covered by a Russian-brokered agreement in 2018. The agreement greatly limited the return of the regime’s military and security forces in exchange for the rebels’ submission. Russia has sought to maintain a status quo in the south to avoid intervention by Israel and Jordan, who fear that the regime’s military and security forces would open the door to the deployment of Iranian and pro-Iranian forces in the border area. To shed light on this, on May 15 Diwan interviewed Armenak Tokmajyan, a nonresident scholar at the Carnegie Middle East Center who specializes on borders and conflict in Syria.
Michael Young: What is currently taking place in Der‘a Governorate?
Armenak Tokmajyan: On May 4, the bodies were found of nine dead policemen serving in a town in southwest Der‘a Governorate. The person who killed them, Qasem al-Subaihi, is a former rebel who later joined the regime’s security forces. He was acting in retaliation for the killing of his son and son in law the previous Sunday, for which he accused the regime. However, the policemen were not involved.
After the incident, notables in Der‘a issued a statement condemning the action and disowning Subaihi, which in tribal tradition means the perpetrator does not have the support of his clan. The regime, however, has vowed to bring the loosely-controlled areas of the region under its firm security control. In subsequent days, military reinforcements began arriving, suggesting that the regime wants to use the incident as an excuse to impose a stronger presence there.
MY: Is the military escalation in the Der‘a unprecedented?
AT: The potential scale of the escalation is unprecedented since summer 2018, when the regime retook control of Syria’s southwest, despite the fact that tensions and armed violence have become defining characteristics of the situation in Der‘a after the regime’s return. The most recent example of a military operation by regime forces occurred in March 2020, when they successfully reimposed their authority in parts of Al-Sanamayn city that until then had been out of their control. The current development, however, is unprecedented in several ways.
First, the scale of regime reinforcements is quite significant, an indication that a major military operation could be forthcoming. Second, the town of Tafas has avoided a direct regime presence as a result of a Russian-brokered agreement for the area, to which Moscow has thus far remained committed. Third, former rebels in Tafas and surrounding areas are well armed. If a military confrontation were to take place, there could be high levels of violence.
MY: How might Russia react to this escalation, given that it brokered an agreement for parts of the southwest that effectively sought to coopt former rebel areas and avoid major clashes?
AT: Ever since regime’s return to Der‘a, Russia has been committed to this agreement. There is an ongoing debate over the extent to which this is true. Some opposition actors have criticized Moscow for not being proactive enough against the regime, while others have suggested that Russia has been committed, though in varying degrees depending on the locality. There is some truth to these claims.
However, at the very least, the Russians have stuck to a core rationale for the agreement, namely limiting or preventing a direct regime presence in many areas. That, in turn, could be interpreted as an effort to avoid arousing Israeli and Jordanian anxieties about Iranian and pro-Iranian forces deploying to the southwest region alongside regime forces. Russia’s repeated interventions to mitigate escalations that could lead to the collapse of the agreement has, retrospectively, clearly manifested its commitment.
The fact that there are ongoing negotiations, with Russian participation, could be an indication that Russia is not in favor of a full-scale escalation. It might be doing what it did in the past, namely averting a conflict and seeking to deescalate the situation through symbolic or small concessions to the regime.
Given the unprecedented levels of regime military reinforcements, another scenario could be that Russia indeed seeks to avoid a military confrontation, but this time aims to push the rebels into making more concessions. A further possibility is that Russia could be looking to turn the crisis into an opportunity to recruit former rebels into pro-Russian units of the Syrian army—for instance the Russian-backed Fifth Corps—thereby extending its protection to them.
MY: Does this escalation contain a hidden message to Russia?
AT: Sending the Syrian army and security reinforcements from units that are strongly associated with Iran to a region that has been under Russian protection might conceal a hidden message. Overlapping reports suggest the participation of army units, such as Maher al-Assad’s Fourth Division, that have strong ties to Iran. This is a risky calculation, not just on a regional level but with respect to the order that Russia has established in Der‘a. As I said earlier, this is an order that, among other things, is specifically designed to keep the influence of Iran and pro-Iranian forces at bay in the southwest.
MY: In light of this, how might the situation in Der‘a impact the broader region?
AT: The southwest corner of Syria is no ordinary border region. It is a contentious regional frontier where any major instability or military escalation would have transboundary effects. Therefore, escalation by a pro-Iranian wing within the Syrian regime is very problematic for Israel and Jordan. Both countries, especially Israel, have made it clear that they would not tolerate the presence of Iran or its proxies near the occupied Golan Heights in ways that would endanger its security. Russia, despite the many downsides of the order that it was instrumental in establishing in the southwest, has acted in a way to provide assurances to the neighbors.
That said, even if the Fourth Division reinforces its presence in Tafas and surrounding areas, that would not immediately translate into an Iranian presence endangering the regional order. If we assume that the regime and Iran are behind this ploy, then their aim should be understood more as a tactical step to prove their relevance to the game, rather than an attempt, or rather a very risky gamble, to fracture the cautious balance that exists in a sensitive border area.
The birth pangs continue on

Friday, May 22, 2020

Covidocracy News....

1- UK tests reveal 17% of Londoners have COVID-19 antibodies
The UK health secretary, Matt Hancock, says sample testing has shown that approximately 17 percent of London's population now have COVID-19 antibodies.

The government has been criticized for its lack of testing across the country but has stepped up its efforts in recent weeks after setting a target of carrying out 200,000 tests a day by the end of May.

Part of that process has included sample antibody testing in different regions of the UK to produce an estimate of the number of people who have contracted the virus.

With a population of 8.9 million, the data mean roughly 1.5 million Londoners have had the disease during the crisis and produced antibodies that will fight the virus if they encounter the disease in the future.

2- Trump’s Vaccine Chief Has Vast Ties to Drug Industry, Posing Possible Conflicts
Moncef Slaoui, a former pharmaceutical executive, is now overseeing the U.S. initiative to develop coronavirus treatments and vaccines. His financial interests and corporate roles have come under scrutiny.

The chief scientist brought on to lead the Trump administration’s vaccine efforts has spent the last several days trying to disentangle pieces of his stock portfolio and his intricate ties to big pharmaceutical interests, as critics point to the potential for significant conflicts of interest.

The scientist, Moncef Slaoui, is a venture capitalist and a former longtime executive at GlaxoSmithKline. Most recently, he sat on the board of Moderna, a Cambridge, Mass., biotechnology firm with a $30 billion valuation that is pursuing a coronavirus vaccine. He resigned when President Trump named him last Thursday to the new post as chief adviser for Operation Warp Speed, the federal drive for coronavirus vaccines and treatments.

Just days into his job, the extent of Dr. Slaoui’s financial interests in drug companies has begun to emerge: The value of his stock holdings in Moderna jumped nearly $2.4 million, to $12.4 million when the company released preliminary, partial data from an early phase of its candidate vaccine trial that helped send the markets soaring on Monday.   

Ms. Canter, a former ethics lawyer in the Obama and Clinton administrations, the Securities and Exchange Commission and other agencies, pointed out that GSK’s vaccine candidate with Sanofi could wind up competing with other manufacturers vying for government approval and support.

“If he retains stock in companies that are investing in the development of a vaccine, and he’s involved in overseeing this process to select the safest vaccine to combat Covid-19, regardless of how wonderful a person he is, we can’t be confident of the integrity of any process in which he is involved,” Ms. Canter said.

In addition, his affiliation with Medicxi could complicate matters: Two of its investors are GSK and a division of Johnson & Johnson, which is also developing a potential vaccine.
Moderna has already received nearly $500 million from the government to help scale up production.
Oh, there’s Moderna, again.  Fauci's darlings

3. From Yaya: Fighting Disinfo is one thing, but ...

Dr. Peter Gøtzsche, former head of Cochrane [Wiki], expelled after publishing this book.
You can, however, read his article: Corona: an epidemic of mass panic
LINK

(The sad thing about the book is that it apparently can only be read with something like Amazon's "Kindle". It would be interesting to find out why.)

You can read more about Dr. Gøtzsche at the blog of Dr. Malcolm Kendrick who states:
  • ...when an organisation that I had a lot of time for, the organisation now known as Cochrane, which used to be the Cochrane Collaboration, loses its way, one wonders if the lamps truly are turning out across the world. Perhaps never to be turned on again.

4.  Corona: An epidemic of mass panic- March 21/20

By Professor Peter C. Gøtzsche
Almost everyone I talk to, lay people and colleagues (I am a specialist in internal medicine and have worked for two years at a department of infectious diseases) consider the Coronavirus pandemic a pandemic of panic, more than anything else.
On 8 March, I published in the BMJ about this. I wrote: “What if the Chinese had not tested their patients for coronavirus or there had not been any test? Would we have carried on with our lives, without restrictions, not worrying about some deaths here and there among old people, which we see every winter? I think so.”
The WHO estimates that an influenza season kills about 500,000 people, or about 50 times more than those who have died so far during more than 3 months of the Coronavirus epidemic.
I also wrote: “Is it evidence-based healthcare to close schools and universities, cancel flights and meetings, forbid travel, and to isolate people wherever they happen to fall ill? In Denmark, the government recommends cancellation of events with over 1000 participants.”
Our main problem is that no one will ever get in trouble for measures that are too draconian. They will only get in trouble if they do too little. So, our politicians and those working with public health do much more than they should do. No such draconian measures were applied during the 2009 influenza pandemic, and they obviously cannot be applied every winter, which is all year round, as it is always winter somewhere. We cannot close down the whole world permanently.
Should it turn out that the epidemic wanes before long, there will be a queue of people wanting to take credit for this. And we can be damned sure draconian measures will be applied again next time. But remember the joke about tigers. “Why do you blow the horn?” “To keep the tigers away.” “But there are no tigers here.” “There you see!”
The harms include suicides that go up in times of unemployment, and when people’s businesses built up carefully over many years lie in ruins, they might kill themselves. The panic is also killing life itself. John Ioannidis’ article from 17 March is the best I have seen so far: “A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data.”

5. Suicides on the rise amid stay-at-home order, Bay Area medical professionals say

Medical professionals at John Muir Medical Center in Walnut Creek, California have revealed their experiences in the hospital's trauma center after mental health took a nosedive amid lockdown.
Dr Mike deBoisblank told ABC 7 News: 'We've never seen number like this, in such a short period of time. I mean we've seen a year's worth of suicide attempts in the last four weeks.'
His colleague, nurse Kacey Hansen, has worked at the medical center for 33 years and has never seen so much 'intentional injury'.
'They intend to die. Sometimes, people will make what we call a "gesture". It's a cry for help,' she added.

Thursday, May 21, 2020

“Science by Press Release”: Moderna’s Sensational Covid Vaccine Trials

 Science by press release is a really good descriptor of what science has been reduced to.
Sensationalism, promoted through mass media coverage, that has little to nothing to do with reality. And science, itself, has become little more then system of belief, that generates ‘celebrity’ status and profits.  That reality saddens me, personally. I like the idea of reproducible results and being able to verify results.. Nature has that down pat. Science, does not.


Vaccine experts say Moderna didn’t produce data critical to assessing Covid-19 vaccine   
"But was there good reason for so much enthusiasm? Several vaccine experts asked by STAT concluded that, based on the information made available by the Cambridge, Mass.-based company, there’s really no way to know how impressive — or not — the vaccine may be.

While Moderna blitzed the media, it revealed very little information — and most of what it did disclose were words, not data. That’s important: If you ask scientists to read a journal article, they will scour data tables, not corporate statements. With science, numbers speak much louder than words.

Even the figures the company did release don’t mean much on their own, because critical information — effectively the key to interpreting them — was withheld.

Experts suggest we ought to take the early readout with a big grain of salt. Here are a few reasons why."
The silence of the NIAID
"The National Institute for Allergy and Infectious Diseases has partnered with Moderna on this vaccine. Scientists at NIAID made the vaccine’s construct, or prototype, and the agency is running the Phase 1 trial. This week’s Moderna readout came from the earliest of data from the NIAID-led Phase 1.

NIAID doesn’t hide its light under a bushel. The institute generally trumpets its findings, often offering director Anthony Fauci — who, fair enough, is pretty busy these days — or other senior personnel for interviews.

But NIAID did not put out a press release Monday and declined to provide comment on Moderna’s announcement."

The  n = 8 thing
"The company’s statement led with the fact that all 45 subjects (in this analysis) who received doses of 25 micrograms (two doses each), 100 micrograms (two doses each), or a 250 micrograms (one dose) developed binding antibodies." ( Did they?)

*45 subjects - keep that in mind because as you’ll read the numbers change..
"Later, the statement indicated that (just)  eight volunteers — four each from the 25-microgram and 100-microgram arms — developed neutralizing antibodies. Of the two types, these are the ones you’d really want to see.

We don’t know results from the other 37 trial participants."

*So 45 test subjects, drops down to eight subjects? Where did the other 37 go?
"Separately, while the Phase 1 trial included healthy volunteers ages 18 to 55 years, the exact ages of these eight people are unknown. If, by chance, they mostly clustered around the younger end of the age spectrum, you might expect a better response to the vaccine than if they were mostly from the senior end of it. And given who is at highest risk from the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus, protecting older adults is what Covid-19 vaccines need to do."

* Eight of the 45 tests subjects, age unknown? Quite an omission. Yet the age of test subjects who had an immune response is of the utmost importance!  If no immune response occurred in the older test subjects the vaccine would fail to help those that need it the most. One wonders why Moderna omitted that data? Unless it would have shown that it was only or mostly the youngest test subjects that had the response? Yes, that would be a problem

"There’s no way to know how durable the response will be
The report of neutralizing antibodies in subjects who were vaccinated comes from blood drawn two weeks after they received their second dose of vaccine."

* Two weeks.
“That’s very early. We don’t know if those antibodies are durable,” said Anna Durbin, a vaccine researcher at Johns Hopkins University.
There’s no real way to contextualize the findings
Moderna stated that the antibody levels seen were on a par with — or greater than, in the case of the 100-microgram dose — those seen in people who have recovered from Covid-19 infection.

But studies have shown antibody levels among people who have recovered from the illness vary enormously.
So though the company said the antibody levels induced by vaccine were as good as those generated by infection, there’s no real way to know what that comparison means.
STAT asked Moderna for information on the antibody levels it used as a comparator. The response: That will be disclosed in an eventual journal article from NIAID, which is part of the National Institutes of Health."
*Moderna didn't disclose the requested information
“The convalescent sera levels are not being detailed in our data readout, but would be expected in a downstream full data exposition with NIH and its academic collaborators,” Colleen Hussey, the company’s senior manager for corporate communications, said in an email.
Durbin was struck by the wording of the company’s statement, pointing to this sentence: “The levels of neutralizing antibodies at day 43 were at or above levels generally seen in convalescent sera.”
“I thought: Generally? What does that mean?” Durbin said. Her question, for the time being, can’t be answered"

Moderna’s approach to disclosure
"The company has not yet brought a vaccine to market, but it has a variety of vaccines for infectious diseases in its pipeline. It doesn’t publish on its work in scientific journals. What is known has been disclosed through press releases. That’s not enough to generate confidence within the scientific community.

“My guess is that their numbers are marginal or they would say more,” Rose said about the company’s SARS-2 vaccine, echoing a suspicion that others have about some of the company’s other work.

“I do think it’s a bit of a concern that they haven’t published the results of any of their ongoing trials that they mention in their press release. They have not published any of that, Durbin noted."
* Well none of that is confidence inspiring, in fact, it reads very much like other vaccine information I've researched.

Potential additional problems

 "Researchers are still trying to determine, from the blood samples of recovered patients, what a meaningful immune response looks like. Specific numbers of antibodies initially observered could therefore be misleading, Zaks suggested.

"I don't think it'd be appropriate to just give a number out there because what's relevant is not the number; it's our confidence and context of what that number means," Zaks told analysts in a conference call Monday"
* Confidence and context as opposed to accurate data is what's important? Inaccurate data, that's a real problem running through the Covid-1984 crisis
"Moderna recognized this issue in its Securities and Exchange Commission filing on its share sale, stating blood samples "have been taken from a small number of people and may not be representative of the antibody levels in a broader population of people who have recovered from COVID-19."
* That's a change in tune from what we've read earlier
"The vaccine's safety profile is still uncertain, despite the early and generally positive results. This is especially noteworthy because Moderna's technology, which tells cells to produce the coronavirus' characteristic spike protein, triggering an immune attack, has never been used in a drug that has received Food and Drug Administration approval
Patients receiving the 25 and 100 microgram doses experienced mostly mild injection site reactions, but a third dose group, receiving two shots of 250 micrograms, produced severe "systemic symptoms," which Moderna described as fever-like"
*Severe systemic symptoms? What does that mean exactly? And fever like doesn't seem to cut it! 
* Severe "(of something bad or undesirable) very great; intense."
* Systemic: "relating to a system, especially as opposed to a particular part."
* Systemic disease A systemic disease is one that affects a number of organs and tissues, or affects the body as a whole.
Rheumatoid Arthritis is an example of a systemic disease- so it's really unclear what is being referred to when it's claimed those receiving the higher dose had "severe systemic symptoms" 

Finally: Anthony Fauci is a big fan of the Moderna vaccine
Pushing it in the investment news department

From earlier:

The Covidocracy's Planned Manipulations To Make You Conform to Social Segregation

The Covidocracy's Planned Manipulations To Make You Conform to Social Segregation

Lest you had any doubt at all that you were being manipulated to conform.
Far be it from me to single out BoJo. How could I, when the same type of manipulations are occurring right here in Canada?   In fact that topic was just covered yesterday. As the theatre of fear kicks it up a notch.
So check out the pdf below:

25 Options for increasing adherence to social distancing measures

Persuasion 2.Perceived threat: A substantial number of people still do not feel sufficiently personally threatened;it could be that they are reassured by the low death rate in their demographic group (8), although levels of concern may be rising(9). Having a good understanding of the risk has been found to be positively associated with adoption of COVID-19 social distancing measures in Hong Kong (10).The perceived level of personal threat needs to be increased among those who are complacent,using hard-hitting emotional messaging.

I've often talked about heart tugging manipulative messages in many circumstances as something to be very leery of.Never mind leery, just outright avoid, because it's such an obvious manipulation. The Covid crisis has been nothing but heart tugging, tear jerking manipulations. Yes, some people are dying. As they do every day. In horrific circumstances, war, famine and crimes that we know nothing of.  If not for tell a vision and dramatics from our leaders most of us would be unaware there was a "pandemic"

From yesterday's post:
The political optics  (the aspects of an action, policy, or decision (as in politics or business) that relate to public perceptions ) around the Covid “crisis” have always been about conjecture, not backed by data  but bolstered with an overabundance of fear mongering


Incentivisation 6.Social approval: Social approval can be a powerful source of reward. Not only can this be provided directly by highlighting examples of good practice and providing strong social encouragement and approval in communications;members of the community can be encouraged to provide it to each other. This can have a beneficial spill-over effect of promoting social cohesion (15). Communication strategies should provide social approval for desired behaviours and promote social approval within the community.
Where this goes is up to each of us as individuals.

Wednesday, May 20, 2020

Theresa, the Sham, Tam- Did She Endorse Mask Wearing As A True Measure of Safety? She did not!

So you and I are on the same page.. 

Sham: 1: a trick that deludes not genuine : false, feigned2 : having such poor quality as to seem false
3: to act intentionally so as to give a false impression   

The political optics
  (the aspects of an action, policy, or decision (as in politics or business) that relate to public perceptions ) around the Covid “crisis” have always been about conjecture, not backed by data  but bolstered with an overabundance of fear mongering. As crony capitalism reigned supreme

 Related: Could Covid-1984 "Be Less Dangerous Then We Thought?" Without Data All We've Had Was Speculation.

In fact if there is one starring feature of this whole episode it is the overwhelming, oppressive, relentless fearmongering that has been front and centre to this all. As you cowered the rich and powerful aided by their respective toady governments have done their worst

* The astronomical bailouts for the banksters and their lackies that you failed to notice you're on the hook for as you crouched in fear.

Go back to March of this year:

*To “iron rings” that failed to protect the elderly and vulnerable. And still you hid from what was going on right in front of you all

* To the pay out of hush money to Canadians content to take paltry handouts they will pay for down the road. The latest one being some bribe to Canadian parents.

The Covidocracy has run amok. And still you truckle (love this word)

Considering all that, it should come as no surprise to anyone at all, after months of stating masks won’t make a difference Theresa Tam gives into the manipulative machinations of the Covidocracy to contradict her own sensible advice, while still presenting her "consent" in such a way as to not fully commit to the safety of NON MEDICAL masks. In other words there is only so far she'll go in her lies.

Let's read what Tam the Sham states. Let's read this together- 

From the CBC, of course. Canada's Bigbrother Corporation

"For the spring and summer months, strict adherence to the public health basics of physical distancing, handwashing and cough etiquette must continue as the bare minimum," she said
"In addition, where COVID-19 activity is occurring, use of non-medical masks or face coverings is recommended as an added layer of protection when physical distancing is difficult to maintain. And staying home when sick is a must, always and everywhere."

Asked if the federal government could issue a directive to make mask-wearing in public mandatory, Tam said it remains a recommendation at the national level
She won't even suggest it be made a directive, because she KNOWS, that wearing masks is a false security measure.
"She also warned that wearing a mask won't protect an individual from infection on its own, and stressed that physical distancing remains fundamental."
Trudeau is going to wear a mask for the theatrical effect as well:
 Trudeau said he will wear a mask to in-person sittings of Parliament but will remove his mask once at his desk to engage in parliamentary debate.
Trudeau said again that the best measures to limit the spread of COVID-19 are to stay two metres apart, to stay at home whenever possible and to wash hands regularly and frequently.
No one is committing to a masks as a means to stop the spread of Covid 1984.  Only  as a theatre for the fear porn show  


Additional reading :Do Masks and Respirators Prevent Viral Respiratory Illnesses?