Wednesday, September 28, 2016

Putin to Visit Turkey October 11/16

 Will the US give up Gulen? I don't think so, but, apparently Turkey will find out "in a few days"
Reports that Turkey will have their wall completed by or in February next year
    After stumbling across both the Gulen and Turkey wall news, articles appeared in my news feed regarding Putin visiting Turkey:

    1st News Item:

     Kremlin Spokesman doesn’t rule out Putin’s visit to Turkey in October

    YEREVAN, SEPTEMBER 28, ARMENPRESS. Russian President Vladimir Putin may visit Turkey in October, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said, reports TASS.
    "We do not rule out such possibility," he said. "When all the preparations are completed, we will make a relevant announcement," Peskov added.
    Earlier on Wednesday, the President of the Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey Rifat Hisarciklioglu said at a meeting with Russia’s First Deputy Minister of Economic Development Alexey Likhachyov that Turkish government was expecting the official visit by the Russian President to take place in the beginning of October. 
    "It is a great pleasure for us and we are looking forward to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s official visit to our country, anticipated for the beginning of October. We expect that during this visit, major projects such as the Turkish Stream and a decision on lifting some restrictions imposed on Turkish businessmen in Russia, will be discussed" Hisarciklioglu said.

    2nd News Item:

    Putin due in Turkey on Oct 11 - UPDATED

    Baku – APA. Russian President Vladimir Putin will pay a visit to Turkey on Oct. 11, marking his first visit to the country after relations between Ankara and Moscow were put back on track following a crisis last year, Kanal 24 has reported.

    The Russian president is scheduled to visit Istanbul on Oct. 11, the channel said.
     One item from Armenia and one from Azerbaijain-

    Which seems oddly synchronistic to:

    Arevordi HRR Excerpt: Turkey/Russia/US: Coups and Conflicting Interests

    By the way.... Locally, speaking. The squirrels are getting their winter fur!! Saw a fox yesterday and it too was looking much fluffier then when I had last seen one mid summer- It's may just be an early winter here in southern Ontario.

    That said, back to cleaning my car

    Turkey to Complete Syrian Border Wall Within 5 Months

     In case you are unaware? Or a newer reader? There is an entire post here devoted to the Turkey/Syrian Border wall.  August 29/2016 : Turkey’s Border Wall with Syria

    Alongside additional mentions in older posts.

    A concrete wall being built to stop illegal crossings along the length of Turkey's 900-km (560-mile) border with Syria will be finished by the end of February, an official at a Turkish state institution with knowledge of the project said on Wednesday.

    Construction on a border wall to combat smuggling and illegal migration started as early as 2014.

    The official declined to give an estimate for the cost of construction. But the mass circulation Hurriyet newspaper said that including a road for military patrols planned alongside it, the wall was expected to cost 2 billion lira (£515.4 million).

    Made up of seven-tonne portable blocks topped with razor wire, the wall will be three metres (10 feet) high and two metres (6.5 feet) wide. The official said private companies would be hired once construction tenders were completed.

    Hurriyet cited the head of TOKI as saying that 200-250 concrete blocks were currently being produced daily at five work sites, and that the latest construction work had begun around 20 days ago.
    New watchtowers on roads patrolled by armoured vehicles have already been erected along the border this year as part of increased security measures.

    From earlier today: 
    Within a few days....

    U.S. tells Turkey It Will Respond Soon to Demand's For Gulen's Arrest

    ANKARA (Reuters) - U.S. officials have told their Turkish counterparts they will respond within a couple of days to Turkey's demand to arrest Muslim cleric Fethullah Gulen, blamed for a bloody coup attempt, Justice Minister Bekir Bozdag said on Wednesday.
    Within a couple of days? So, early October? Timing?
    Turkey wants the United States to extradite Gulen, who resides in Pennsylvania, and prosecute him on charges he masterminded the attempt to overthrow the government on July 15. The 75-year-old preacher denies any involvement. Bozdag was speaking to NTV channel in an interview broadcast live. 
    Washington has said it is cooperating with Ankara on the matter and asked its NATO ally for patience as it processes the extradition request for Gulen to meet U.S. legal requirements.
    Will the extradition request meet US legal requirements? What ever those may be?

    Tuesday, September 27, 2016

    Syria: SAA Ground Offensive To Take Back Aleppo From the Terrorists

    SAA Ground Offensive Begins
    News Round Up...........
    I will be updating as new info becomes available or asap!
    G & M
    Tuesday’s assault saw pro-government forces, which include the Syrian army and allied militia from Iran, Iraq and Lebanon, attempt to attack Aleppo’s Old City near its historic citadel, as well as around several of the city’s major access points.
    Troops advanced from the countryside to the north and south, rebels said, leading to intense clashes. The military and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based war monitoring group, said the army had made some gains, but this was disputed by rebels who said they had held them off.
    Senior combatants on both sides said pro-government forces were massing in several parts of Aleppo

    The commander of an Iraqi Shi’ite militia fighting in support of Assad told Reuters a large force spearheaded by the army’s elite “Nimr”, or Tiger, forces had started to move in armoured vehicles and tanks for an attack on rebel-held areas.
    Quelling the uprising in the city would give Assad his biggest victory yet of the war and deliver a powerful blow to his enemies.
     State television reported that the army had retaken al-Farafra district in Aleppo’s Old City and engineering units were clearing mines in the area.
    Al Jazeera 
     Syrian state TV said on Tuesday that troops captured Farafra district, near Aleppo's famous citadel, and fighting was under way near the historic core of the northern city.

    In the district of Handarat, north of Aleppo, government forces also advanced against the rebels, he said.
    Government fighter jets backed by Russia's air force also continued to target the city and its outskirts. 
    Germany calls for Syria Ceasefire
    German Chancellor Angela Merkel says everything possible needs to be done to bring about a cease-fire in Syria but that she's skeptical a no-fly zone can be instituted.
    Merkel told reporters in Berlin on Tuesday that "what we currently see on the ground is very, very brutal and clearly targeting civilians," and that talks are needed urgently.
    Merkel says developments in recent days have been a "deep, deep setback."
    Merkel, pure evil! A deep deep setback for who? NATO? Israel? The US?

    The Gaurdian:  

    Nothing worth reading there. Total shite, typical of the Gaurdian. White helmets trash & spin. No real info on the offensive. Included as an example of spin. And obfuscation. Entirely written from the perspective of NATO backed terrorists. 

     Al Masdar Syrian Army, Hezbollah launch massive assault in east Aleppo

    ALEPPO, SYRIA (1:40 P.M.) - The Syrian Arab Army (SAA), alongside Hezbollah and Kataebat Al-Ba'ath, launched a massive offensive in east Aleppo today, storming the jihadist defenses from four different axes near the Old Aleppo Quarter.
    Led by the 102nd Brigade of the Republican Guard, the Syrian Arab Army and their allies attacked Fatah Halab's positions inside the Farafeera District, capturing several building blocks after an intense battle this morning.
    Meanwhile, at the Old Aleppo Quarter, the Syrian Arab Army and their allies made a big push from the Aleppo Citadel area towards the Bab Al-Nayrab District; this resulted in fierce firefights that are still ongoing at the moment.
    The Syrian Army's assault this morning is targeting the condensed neighborhoods that are located at the eastern fringes of the Aleppo Citadel; this area has long been a thorn in the government's side because of the constant attacks launched by the Fatah Halab militants.
     SAA take your country back! 

    Don't Miss:

    Arevordi HRR Excerpt: Turkey/Russia/US: Coups and Conflicting Interests


    Arevordi HRR Excerpt: Turkey/Russia/US: Coups and Conflicting Interests

    Arevordi from Heralding the Rise of Russia wrote a brilliant post regarding Armenia and the broader geopolitics of the area, titled:  The problem with Armenia is not its government, it's the people - Autumn, 2016

    His post covers much ground and is worth reading entirely, however, I'm only going to post one section of it here. Why? Because the excerpt below relates to the destabilization and remake of the middle east and asia which is a core topic here!  It addresses, in a very rational and level headed fashion, the relations between Turkey/ Russia/US. Also addressing Armenia/Azerbaijan&  Nagorno Karabakh:  Nagorno Karabakh or Why I'm ignoring the Panama Papers.

    I'll have some commentary of my own, of course.
    "Turkey coup may foster better Russo-Turkish relations

    Merely two days before the assault on the Armenian police compound in Yerevan, Turkey was itself embroiled in what also seemed to be a Western sponsored armed rebellion. Thousands of soldiers led by rebellious military officers attempted to overthrow their country's strongman. The coup attempt ultimately proved a failure and Recep Erdoğan has been using it as an excuse to further clamp down on his opposition and further extend his power throughout the country"
    To my understanding many changes have not yet come to fruition, however some have.
    "Under Erdoğan's long rule Turkey had grown more wealthy, more powerful, more independent and more Islamic. Turkey's rise as an independent power in particular was a source of concern for Western powers. From a Western perspective, Turkey had all of a sudden become unpredictable and belligerent. The world saw the first indication of Ankara's independence and belligerence back in 2003 when Turkey, an influential NATO member, refused to allow US forces to use Turkish territory to invade Iraq. Problems also inevitably began rising between Ankara and Tel Aviv as Erdoğan's increasingly Islamic oriented government began getting more involved in Palestine's liberation struggle. Turkey's makeover under Erdoğan was obviously an alarming development for Western powers who had since the Second World War established very close ties with the country's military, political and economic elite. This concern may have been one of the reasons why Western and Israeli intelligence agencies began backing Kurdish autonomy in northern Iraq against Ankara's expressed wishes. As such, relations between Western powers and Turkey gradually grew frigid in recent years. Interestingly, as Ankara grew colder towards the West, its relations with Russia grew increasingly warm. Although Moscow and Ankara had strong disagreements over Syria and Nagorno Karabakh, Russian-Turkish relations were continuing to register unprecedented advances. Then, quite unexpectedly, Turkish forces ambushed and shot-down a Russian warplane over Syria last NovemberTurkey and Russia all of a sudden found themselves on the edge of war"

    Turkey's growing wealth and prosperity has been discussed here previously- enviable gdp- hence the financial warfare being waged against it- Waging Financial Warfare Against Turkey- Downgraded to Junk Status The refusal to allow US forces to station on Turkish territory in 03 has also been broached here, the Turkish state leadership saw the future and it was not rosy.
    "This concern may have been one of the reasons why Western and Israeli intelligence agencies began backing Kurdish autonomy in northern Iraq against Ankara's expressed wishes"  As I've stated repeatedly here- the Kurds are a proxy force of NATO/US/Israel- They have functioned as a "stay behind army" for all intents and purposes for decades, keeping Turkey off balance. Backing kurdish autonomy, going so far as creating greater Kurdistan is an intentional attempt to finally, completely weaken Turkey.
    The shootdown of the Russian fighter jet, was neither in Turkish nor Russian interests, which is why I contended from the outset the shootdown was undertaken by NATO occupied Turkish forces and curiously Prime Minister Davotoglu-  amazingly, took immediate responsibility to solidify the 'blame Turkey' narrative.

    "It is now becoming increasingly apparent that the downing of the Russian warplane by Turkish warplanes was planned by forces within Turkey that were opposed to Erdoğan's government. The working theory is that there were interests inside Turkey that wanted Erdoğan and Putin to go to war against each other. As we saw, Putin did taken the bait. Moscow took the heavy hit but it did not reply in kind. Instead, Moscow began implementing a series of punitive measures. Damaging sanctions against Turkey were introduced and Kurdish separatists inside Turkey were given more advanced arms and seemed to have been encouraged to intensify their military operations on Turkish territory. By early 2016, Turkey was hurting badly as south-eastern parts of the country had essentially become a war zone and several of its cities began getting hit by terror bombings. By the spring of 2016, Ankara was suffering serious military losses against Kurdish separatists inside Turkey and its political agenda inside Syria had been thoroughly defeated. Compounding these already very serious problems was the drastic drop in tourism in Turkey and billions of dollars in revenue losses. Ankara was growing increasingly desperate.
     Flashback March 27/2016: Russia Signals Interest in Warming Ties With Turkey- Russians & the Turkish Riviera

    This was about the time when Ankara secretly began reaching out to Moscow. According to reports that have been put out recently, the rapprochement was started last May when Turkish officials used business channels to contact their Russian counterparts and Turkish law enforcement bodies arrested the militant who had murdered the Russian pilot. Then on June, Erdoğan sent a letter to his Russian counterpart in which he more-or-less apologized for the downing of the Russian warplane and asked to resume bilateral relations. In an interesting twist, the downing of the Russian warplanes last November began being blamed on forces opposed to Erdoğan's government. In an astounding revelation, it was also reported that Davotoglu's resignation may have also been connected to the incident. Some of us had speculated previously that the incident last November may have been orchestrated by forces interested in undermining Russian-Turkish relations. It now appears that this may have indeed been the case"
    The militant that shot down the plane was alleged to have been a 'grey wolf' : NATO Stay Behind Armies: Gladio and Grey Wolves. Updated .Davotoglu suddenly resigned.
    Undermining Russian/Turkish relations? Who would benefit from that?

    "Sensing a historic chance to drive a wedge between Ankara and the West Russians wasted absolutely no time in jumping at the presented opportunity. Needless to say, Western powers will in-turn be pulling Turkey from the opposite direction. I wrote the following comment some time ago -
    "The closer Turkey moves towards Russia, the harder will Anglo-American-Jewish interests pull Turkey from the opposite direction. Turkey will be torn apart in the process. But I have little hope that such a thing will happen. Erdoğan's government will not last forever and whoever comes after it will mostly likely go back to kissing Western asses."
    This pulling in two powerful directions contributes to the why of Turkey's split personality- It should be understood that Turkey is walking the razor's edge. That is how I see it. 
    It should not have surprised us that Turkey experienced a coup d'état on July 15. In the opinion of many, the attempted coup by military units in the Turkish armed forces was a desperate attempt at stopping Erdoğan's rapprochement with Russia. In the days leading to the military coup, we were seeing the following kinds of articles. Pay particular attention to the pre-coup July 15 article about Alexander Dugin's trip to Turkey -
    Syrian rebels stunned as Turkey signals normalisation of Damascus relations:
    NATO Gets Ill at Ease as Revival of Turkish Stream Looms on the Horizon:
    Ankara eyes Azerbaijan-Turkey-Russia cooperation format - foreign minister:
    Ankara was clearly signalling a new political direction in the weeks leading up to the coup. The direction in question was unmistakably oriented towards Russia. Ankara was even signaling its willingness to negotiate with Bashar Assad, angering Turkish-backed rebel groups in Syria. This must have greatly agitated Uncle Sam, as well as Jews. Therefore, more pressure was to be put on Ankara. This may have been the reason behind series of ISIS attacks against civilian and military targets inside Turkey. This may have also been the reason behind the Bundestag's recognition of the Armenian Genocide and Davutoglu's sudden departure. Through it all, a chorus of complaints about Erdoğan's "dictatorial" government could be heard throughout the Western press. But Erdoğan remained unfazed and stubbornly pressed ahead with his plans. Which in my opinion made a Western-backed military coup inevitable. From the West's perspective: If the coup succeeded and Erdoğan was toppled, it would be wonderful. If the coup did not succeed, it would at least send Erdoğan a stark warning. Time will tell what lasting impact, if any, the failed coup will have on Erdoğan's government.

    What we saw in Turkey recently was nevertheless an effort to stop Erdoğan's government from drifting the country too far away from Western interests. Predictably, Turkey is being torn apart to some degree in the process, and it can get even worst. Erdoğan was crazy enough to think that Turkey, being in the Western orbit, could operate independently and assertively; Erdoğan  was crazy enough to think he could antagonize Anglo-American-Jews and still try to fix relations with Russia. Serious cracks are now appearing between Ankara and Western powers. Naturally, Russia wants to fill the void. Moscow will try but it will not ultimately succeed in pulling Turkey out of the Western orbit, at least not in one piece. I say this because Turkey is too deeply involved with the Anglo-American-Jewish world to survive a total divorce. Therefore, if Erdoğan does not give into Western demands, he will risk having his country torn apart. Which is why I want to see Erdoğan continue his agenda. which is why I want to see Moscow continue trying to pull Ankara out of the Western orbit.

    Nevertheless a reminder for Armenians who get hopeful about Western powers abandoning Turkey: The nation of Turkey continues to be very valuable for Anglo-American-Jews because Turkey is a strategic buffer against Russians, Iranians and Arabs. The Western world's problem is not with Turkey but with Erdoğan's government. The Anglo-American-Jewish alliance simply does not like Erdoğan's increasingly independent and belligerent attitude. Western powers will do what they can to oust Erdoğan but they will NEVER abandon Turkey.
    In a sense, military coup was a Western effort to maintain some degree of control over the country or at the very least weaken Erdoğan's government. It was essentially a show-of-force by the CIA. By having thousands of soldiers inside Turkey take up arms against their leader Uncle Sam sent a message to Erdoğan. The recent rash of terror bombings in Turkey had sent a similar message but that apparently was not enough to scare Erdoğan. Nevertheless, Armenians better not get too excited or too optimistic. Western powers will never abandon Turkey. Besides, the Western-backed military and business elite in Turkey is not a lesser enemy to Armenia.
    That said, Turkey can indeed suffer a lot of damage in the current geopolitical climate. The on-going tug-of-war over Turkey between Western powers and Russia has the potential of tearing the country apart. Facing terror bombings and now a bloody military insurrection, Erdoğan now has a choice to make: He can either continue trying to take Turkey further away from Western influence and risk having Turkey be pulled apart in the process or he can swallow his Anatolian pride and be pragmatic and accept his subservience to the Anglo-American-Jewish alliance. The next few months will reveal his choice. How he reacts to recent developments in Turkey will reveal what direction he wants Turkey to go. However, regardless of what Erdoğan does going forward, Turkey is now a broken nation. Serious fissures are appearing throughout Turkish society. There are now serious problems between the country's Kurds, secular/western leaning Turks, conservative/nationalistic Turks and Islamist Turks. The nation of Turkey is gravely ill and the rift between Erdoğan's government and the West is now very deep.

    That said, Turkey has become an independent player in the region, a wildcard, especially now that Erdoğan's government has defeated the coup. Unlike Mustafa Kemal Ataturk's game nearly one hundred years ago, when he fooled the Bolsheviks into thinking he was contemplating an alliance with them, Ankara's current desire to break out of the Western orbit and enter into a closer friendship with Russia is very genuine. Those who planned the ambush of the Russian warplane last November wanted to embroil Erdoğan and Putin into a shooting war thereby derailing Russia's war effort in Syria and ruining Ankara's prospect of fostering better relations with Moscow. Putin did not take the bait. For his part, Erdoğan began efforts to fix the problem by reaching out to Russia using back channels. Disagreements between Moscow and Ankara over Syria's faith also seem to have been resolved. Turkey will therefore play a lesser political role in the conflict. All in all, Turkey may have finally begun its journey away from Western powers. We can all be rest assured that it will be a perilous journey. As I said, the country runs the risk of begin torn apart because Western powers still control a lot of assets inside the country and also because the West will react by giving Kurds more power. Turkey therefore runs the risk of begin torn apart if it indeed breaks its ties with Western powers. It's beginning to seem like Erdoğan's government is willing to take that chance.

    In the big picture, this all is a good development for Armenia because Turkey's problems with Western powers can have one of two outcomes. 1) Turkey may become a weaker nation with serious internal and external problems. 2) Turkey and Russia will enter into a close alliance. Needless to say, a weaker Turkey is fully in Armenia's interests but such a situation runs the risk of creating major volatility on Armenia's western border. Good Russian-Turkish relations can also be in Armenia's interests, as it will pacify the situation in the south Caucasus, which will in turn boost the region's economy. Good relations between Moscow and Ankara should therefore not scare Armenians. Russia may lose Armenia in a major battle but it will never willingly give up or "sell" Armenia to Turks or anyone else for that matter. Regardless of its agenda vis–à–vis Turkey, Russia will always see Armenia as its single greatest ally in the south Caucasus. Moreover, regardless of its relations with Turkey, Moscow will continue basing troops on Armenia's borders with Turkey and it will continue recognizing the Armenian Genocide. Good Russian-Turkish relations simply means good regional economic cooperation and less military tension, both of which are fully in Armenia's long-term interests. More importantly, good Russian-Turkish relations means the expulsion of Western troublemakers from the region, which is in the benefit of all regional peoples.
    Presentation of the Turkish situation as simplistic rather then multi faceted does a great disservice to the reality of the situation. I see too many alt media types engaging in this. It's deceptive.

    Anonymous commenter mentions the Turkish/Iranian oil for Gold transactions- Covered briefly in this post: December 23/2013 Turkey: Halkbank - Role in Iran Gold Transactions Legal
    Notice the multiple mentions in that post of Fethullah Gulen?
    Bloomberg article link left by same commenter: Gold Trader at Heart of Turkey Graft Scandal Charged in U.S.

    In my opinion the trade between Iran and Turkey was their business, to conduct, and no business of the global tyrant USA.