Friday, October 5, 2012

Georgia's election: Will Saakashvili play Spoiler? You can bet he will!

Recall this post from a couple days ago?  Georgia: Saakashvili’s election loss. Will he relinquish power?

  Before Turkey false flagged on Syria? It was an important post, in my opinion, for the very question I asked in the title. With more then a year left on his term, will Saakashvili relinquish power?
I will repeat from the previous post the West seems to be very sanguine that all is well in Georgia. When reality tells us they should not be. It makes me suspicious.

"Much can happen in a year. Perhaps Ms Clinton was very happy with the facade of "democracy" at this time. "

 Georgia is pivotal to the expansionist NATO agenda.

From the Atlantic: Geogia's election aftermath: Will Saakashvili play Spoiler?
 Maybe he's not so preoccupied with saving his legacy as a democratic reformer after all.
Included with the article is an appropriate image

Storm over Tblisi

Just 24 hours after Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili conceded the defeat of his United National Movement (ENM) in the October 1 parliamentary elections, it's already clear that the ideological and tactical battle between the ENM and Bidzina Ivanishvili's victorious Georgian Dream (KO) bloc is far from over. Statements by both Saakashvili and his closest entourage suggest that they will continue to snipe at and seek to undercut Georgian Dream at every possible opportunity. 

The first salvo in the postelection struggle came from Saakashvili himself. In his televised address to the nation, he again stressed that he considered Georgian Dream's program unacceptable and fundamentally wrong. With a face like thunder, Saakashvili also implied that the new leadership would try to destroy everything positive the ENM had accomplished under his leadership over the past nine years. He vowed that the ENM will continue to fight to preserve those achievements for future generations.
Ivanishvili for his part compounded the humiliation of the ENM's defeat by suggesting that if Saakashvili truly had Georgia's best interests at heart, he should step down and schedule an early election, rather than wait until his term expires in January 2013. Saakashvili's voluntary resignation, Ivanishvili said, would help prevent the current situation of "dual power" evolving into a constitutional crisis.

Outgoing parliament speaker Davit Bakradze, who had been spoken of as a possible successor to Saakashvili as president, immediately ruled out an early presidential ballot. So too did National Security Council Secretary Giga Bokeria, who implied that Ivanishvili's proposal was unconstitutional. Bokeria warned Georgian Dream that "experiments [that] threaten the constitutional system [are] a very dangerous game."

Ivanishvili has since repeated that his proposal was not intended as a "political demand" or "an ultimatum." He stressed in a written statement that "I have said on numerous occasions that we are ready for constructive relations with the representatives of present authorities, including with the Georgian president."
Whether the ENM and Saakashvili are ready to reciprocate is more than debatable, however. Deputy Prime Minister Giorgi Baramidze made clear that "there is and will be no talk of [the ENM] joining a coalition government." "We exclude that...not a single one of us intends to cooperate with him [i.e. Ivanishvili] at the ministerial level," Baramidze said. Why Baramidze made that statement is unclear, given that Ivanishvili had already said that not a single current minister could become a member of his team.
Bakradze for his part said that in its capacity as parliamentary opposition, the ENM would monitor closely the extent to which Georgian Deal delivers on its election campaign promises. He said he is "very interested" to see how KO sets about fulfilling the "social commitments it made so prolifically" during the election campaign.

Meanwhile, Georgian Dream has signaled its intention of utilizing its victory to the full, by holding its defeated rival responsible for suspected electoral violations. Former human rights ombudsman and leading KO member Sozar Subari has said a commission will be formed to probe alleged violations in the course of the October 1 vote.

A second leading KO figure, former Georgian Ambassador to the UN Irakli Alasania, who ran as the bloc's candidate in the western town of Zugdidi, has called for the results of the vote there to be annulled and a repeat ballot scheduled. Alasania claims the outcome was rigged in favor of ENM candidate Roland Akhalaia, father of now-disgraced former Interior Minister Bacho Akhalaia, who resigned last month in the wake of the protests triggered by revelations of torture in Georgian prisons.
Ivanishvili has made clear that the new leadership will not proceed with one of Saakashvili's most cherished schemes, the construction of a huge new port, Lazika, on Georgia's Black Sea coast. Saakashvili had pledged at a campaign rally on September 23 that "I will not quit politics without turning Lazika into the most brilliant city on the Black Sea."

The latest, still incomplete data released by the Central Election Commission suggest that Georgian Dream will have some 82 parliament mandates, compared with 68 for the ENM. That is enough for Georgian Dream to endorse its candidate for prime minister (almost certainly Ivanishvili himself), but fewer than the 100 needed to amend the constitution.

Georgian Dream is also likely to face problems at the level of local government. All provincial governors are ENM stalwarts appointed personally by Saakashvili, as are lower-level district heads. And unlike under former President Eduard Shevardnadze, the ENM in its capacity as (now former) ruling party currently has a virtual monopoly on membership of district councils.


  1. Jaemstown posted on this yesterday...

    "Before anyone is swept along by the most sweeping of these commentaries—forgetting that Saakashvili will remain president for another year and that the devil will be in the details of the new parliament—it is worth focusing on just why Saakashvili and his party lost, why Ivanishvili’s Georgian Dream won, and most importantly, why Ivanishvili’s victory represents a major step forward in the development of Georgian democracy and a change in tone but not in substance of Tbilisi’s approach to both Moscow and the West."[tt_news]=39927&tx_ttnews[backPid]=27&cHash=640a6d039aea21de6712615b8bdb1e26

    What is curious is the victory from defeat meme regarding democracy in spite of the PM/Presidential changes in the lead-up.

    And this as the jamestown clincher

    What the change in government will definitely not mean is a wholesale shift in Georgia’s relations with Russia. As Yusin points out, “Russian politicians must not have any illusions: no Georgian leader, unless he is a political kamikaze, will recognize the separation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia,” “break ties with the West,” or “return to Moscow’s orbit.” And that in turn may mean that Tbilisi may become a bigger problem for Moscow than it has been in the past: it will no longer serve as Putin’s bugaboo, but rather be a model of how citizens can change their government by democratic means. If Russians begin to view what has happened in Georgia with that in mind, the Georgian Dream could become a Russian one as well (

    1. A few more regional developments this AM:
      Putin Criticizes NATO as Cold War Throwback:

      Russia to Keep Tajik Military Base Until 2042 also Russian and Central Asian military pilots are carrying out joint exercises to repel missile strikes over Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, Russian Defense Ministry Air Force spokesman Lt. Col. Vladimir Deryabin said on Friday.

      Russia backs Pakistan’s stance on drone strikes

      Don't discount he major Russian spy scandals that keep breaking out. the Canadian arrest earlier this year was said to be a major breach (Russia mentioned as recipient). The recent NATO base arrest in Germany and the couple arrested this week. All this as USAID is thrown out of the country

      The Reset is dead

    2. Aim of the Russian exercises:

      The Clear Sky 2012 military exercises get underway on Friday and run through October 16, with planned scenarios including intercepting cruise missile attack.

  2. Interesting on many levels Penny.

    I'm always on the look out for the secret backstory or possible psychological or secret operation so with that in mind . . .

    Georgia's Dream sounds a lot like Golden Dawn. I know both names are both not originally in English so I don't know if this is important or not. The party Georgian Dream coalition was supposedly named after a rap song:,0

    It's hard to figure out the politics of the Georgian Dream coalition but it doesn't seem to be as radical or even oppositional to Saakashvili as is being stated in the press.

    2. The lame duck period before the new president takes over will give Georgia cover for going along with a NATO war. Saakashvili can take all the heat--kind of like he did the last war in Georgia. And he appears to deserve the heat . . .

    This will also give Russia cover for going along with NATO's war--or not doing much to stop it--they could have their hands full with Georgia after all. It could create a distraction from the Syria/Iran war (which may spread) and will make it seem like Russia has to tread carefully.


  4. RE: The current so-called microchip smuggling ring looks like a straight propaganda offensive. No military sensitive parts at all were procured, & the chips are readily available across the world.

    What they have been charged with is improper registration in regards to export controls, & they are trying to add in that atleast several members should of been made to register on the 'foreign agent' list (ie. similar to the lobbying register).

    What it looks like is a very ordinary electronics firm that imports/exports parts has been targeted because they are Russian.
    They probably do sell to a couple of military related companies in Russia, but it's your everyday stuff they can pick up anywhere, ie. nothing they're going to use in weaponry.

    All this is going to do is drive out US companies from the very fast rising Russian tech sector, & stop Russian tech firms from doing business in the US - they'll just switch to dealing with German & Asian firms, where cross-sountry business is booming.

    The attempt at charging them with failing to register as 'foreign agents' is also going to backfire bigtime, as the Russians are just going to see this as yet another reason to clamp down hard on the US 'NGO' crowd, of which there is a very large number of.
    These should of been made to register as they are genuine representatives of a foreign power, but the double standards have now reached ridiculous levels, & after this there will likely be very little leeway given to any.

    PS. I did a google search to look for the original article that mentioned the types of chips - standard A/D converters, etc. & instead found almost a thousand articles mostly recycling an NYT piece of blatant propaganda, with all the boxes ticked - Russians incompetent but scary, can't even make everyday chips that are readily available in the great USofA, etc etc.

    The US fell behind chip manufacturing to Asia decades ago, & they should of been thanking the Russian's for helping keep their small chip manufacturing base going. Over now, & good luck finding a new market...

    The Litveneko case is even dodgier, & a couple of good expose's have been written about it, & William Dunkerly has been following the case since it started. Will dig up some links.

  5. William Dunkerley is the Senior Fellow at the American University in Moscow, & has been following the Litvinenko case almost from the beginning, & his articles on the case are well worth checking out.

    Dunkerley after investigating, found out that "Litvinenko wasn't a spy, he never worked for the KGB, and the claim that Vladimir Putin ordered the murder is not fact-based. It was merely an allegation made by an arch-enemy of Putin's. What's more, the London coroner hasn't ever concluded that Litvinenko was even murdered.

    The widely-disseminated news stories about Litvinenko don't match the facts. The stories appear to have been fabricated."

    More articles by William Dunkerley at OpEd News

    Alexander Litvinenko: The Who-Done-It Fraud -- Video Supplement No. 1
    Alexander Litvinenko: The Russian Spy Story Unraveled -- Video Supplement No. 2

    Purchase the The Phony Litvinenko Murder by William Dunkerley at:
    "William Dunkerley is a media business analyst and consultant based in New Britain, CT. He works extensively in Russia and other post-communist countries, and has advised governments on matters of press freedom and media sector development. He has written and spoken widely about media issues related to Russia. In 2007, Dunkerley was commissioned by the organizers of the World Congress of the International Federation of Journalists to study the media coverage of the Litvinenko poisoning. The Congress was held in Moscow, where he presented his report."


    Excellent article by Edward Jay Epstein on the Litvinenko case:

    Mary Dejevsky with an extremely detailed follow-up on Epstein's investigation. Well worth reading:
    The Litvinenko files: Was he really murdered?

    Another article on Litvinenko:
    The Litvinenko murder - a story of betrayal

  6. More links for my links file!!!!

    Ken M

    I always had some serious doubts about the Litvinenko narrative
    As is the case with all of this "news" the one thing no the two things we can count on are
    we are not being told the truth
    we are being told only what the ptb's want us to know

  7. Excellent post, and Georgia is a very interesting little outpost of the Empire.
    The Kremlin Stooge blog also has a good discussion on some of the background, with some very informed commentators at:
    (NOTE: well over 500 comments by some well informed commentators, so be prepared)

    Apparently Saakashvili has been playing around with constitutional amendments for quite a while now, looking to set himself up with some kind of imperial Prime Ministership.
    However he didn't seem to be of expecting the loss in elections, so how this plays out will be very interesting.

    Other very good blogs/sites that follow Russia related news are: